Duke is easy money and the easier game to bet out of the games you ahve. In order to beat Duke you MUST have great/very good guard play. Miami does not have this. Also, they are not that great of a shooting team. Only advantage Miami has is being home. West Virginia vs Kansas is not really an easy game to cap when it comes to a spread. Those guys kind of offset one another. Kansas is the better shooting team, but West Virginia obviously is the better defensive team. Should be a game with plenty of swings.
Kansas has never won at West Virginia FWIW. Can't see them winning tomorrow, but spread is high enough they could hang within the 5.5 and lose IMHO. Don't have Self's numbers as dog in front of me, but he's typically tough in this situation vs the spread.
That being said, KU has major freaking issues with rebounding and defense.
Trends dont really mean anything though. If you notice, alot of trends are getting broken this year. Mich state beating north carolina, florida state beating north carolina, Kansas loasing to Texas Tech @ Allen fieldhouse. Reality is both of these teams will probably trade though and it's best to either not play the game or take the straight up imo. It's basically the better offensive team vs the better defensive and that is going to result in a split more than likely.
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