well cost myself a play yesterday, but tried to get people to maybe not follow but it was a small play, won delaware, won the OVER James madison went over easily, and the line dropped 3 points last hour too, crazy....and won Portland -4.5 1st half said it was good to 7-8 and they were up 38-30 did lose elon a game i had no write up on, and some odd way maybe no sleep posted one way but the bet was the other and lost tex am cc even said it was a gamble but oh well , 3-2 2-0 on big plays which puts me at 14-4 on bigger plays and 30-13 on the year so far with 1 game left took Montana-3 late start line has dropped to 2.5 so we will see
anyway for Monday
got 1 play for tomorrow, i am going with N.Florida -4 at S C state , N.florida has already won on the road this year at Charleston southern and thet is huge i think for this game as S C st is picked last in their conf, N.Fla is only picked 8th out of like 14 teams but what i liked was they did get 4 1st place votes only 3 teams got 1st place votes and they got 4, also N.Fla does like to score , i think around 80 or so is what they like, they beat a nobody 92-55 then won on the road at charleston southern, might have been on them, sc st lost to USF thats the game where the O/u landed at 148 and it opened at 147 went to 149 and s c st missed 18 3 pointers were 0-18 so maybe thats why the o/u lost but that makes me like N.Fla even more here, they shot 45% from 3 last game and shot 85% from the ft line , i think 4 is fine i think they get this by 7+, if they get into the 80's they will win by more i think
N.FLORIDA-4 bigger play
1
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
well cost myself a play yesterday, but tried to get people to maybe not follow but it was a small play, won delaware, won the OVER James madison went over easily, and the line dropped 3 points last hour too, crazy....and won Portland -4.5 1st half said it was good to 7-8 and they were up 38-30 did lose elon a game i had no write up on, and some odd way maybe no sleep posted one way but the bet was the other and lost tex am cc even said it was a gamble but oh well , 3-2 2-0 on big plays which puts me at 14-4 on bigger plays and 30-13 on the year so far with 1 game left took Montana-3 late start line has dropped to 2.5 so we will see
anyway for Monday
got 1 play for tomorrow, i am going with N.Florida -4 at S C state , N.florida has already won on the road this year at Charleston southern and thet is huge i think for this game as S C st is picked last in their conf, N.Fla is only picked 8th out of like 14 teams but what i liked was they did get 4 1st place votes only 3 teams got 1st place votes and they got 4, also N.Fla does like to score , i think around 80 or so is what they like, they beat a nobody 92-55 then won on the road at charleston southern, might have been on them, sc st lost to USF thats the game where the O/u landed at 148 and it opened at 147 went to 149 and s c st missed 18 3 pointers were 0-18 so maybe thats why the o/u lost but that makes me like N.Fla even more here, they shot 45% from 3 last game and shot 85% from the ft line , i think 4 is fine i think they get this by 7+, if they get into the 80's they will win by more i think
got a 2nd play here, i am going with W.Carolina, this is a pretty good team here, but they are on the road at MTSU who has already covered for me once when they came back in the 2nd half to get the win was laying 2 , this is a closer play, i mean MTSU has beaten NKY, and came back to beat S.F Austin, and they are at home, and were for all 3 , and w.carolina is on the road again after beating N.Dame at N.Dame saturday by 10 71-61 so they can win on the road, they have 3 players on the 1st team all conference this year, they are experienced and have the talent to be in this game, I can get 3.5 right now, but the other book should be putting up their lines soon, i would like 4 even though i think they could win, MTSU is a good team for sure, the line says this should be close and i do expect a close game, either way i am taking w.carolina...both these teams are identical so far both averaging like 70 a game and giving up like 61 a game, they both avg 21 3 point attempts a game and both make 7, W Car is averaging like 6 more shots a game and are making like 2 more a game, i might try a 1st half play here, for one W car is averaging 42 pts in the 1st half , and MTSU 33 and MTSU was behind at half at home last game by like 8 or 9 points, W car is rebounding better by a good number , wcu is averaging 13 offensive and 28 defensive and MTSU is averaging 11 offensive and 20 defensive , well interesting the line just went to MTSU-4.5 i can see why too, MTSU is undefeated and at home and people maybe have not looked into it so i am going to wait now and see what i can get, you don't like please bet what you like, but i think i am going to go with WCU here and see if there are injuries or something else , or may lay off if this line goes crazy
0
got a 2nd play here, i am going with W.Carolina, this is a pretty good team here, but they are on the road at MTSU who has already covered for me once when they came back in the 2nd half to get the win was laying 2 , this is a closer play, i mean MTSU has beaten NKY, and came back to beat S.F Austin, and they are at home, and were for all 3 , and w.carolina is on the road again after beating N.Dame at N.Dame saturday by 10 71-61 so they can win on the road, they have 3 players on the 1st team all conference this year, they are experienced and have the talent to be in this game, I can get 3.5 right now, but the other book should be putting up their lines soon, i would like 4 even though i think they could win, MTSU is a good team for sure, the line says this should be close and i do expect a close game, either way i am taking w.carolina...both these teams are identical so far both averaging like 70 a game and giving up like 61 a game, they both avg 21 3 point attempts a game and both make 7, W Car is averaging like 6 more shots a game and are making like 2 more a game, i might try a 1st half play here, for one W car is averaging 42 pts in the 1st half , and MTSU 33 and MTSU was behind at half at home last game by like 8 or 9 points, W car is rebounding better by a good number , wcu is averaging 13 offensive and 28 defensive and MTSU is averaging 11 offensive and 20 defensive , well interesting the line just went to MTSU-4.5 i can see why too, MTSU is undefeated and at home and people maybe have not looked into it so i am going to wait now and see what i can get, you don't like please bet what you like, but i think i am going to go with WCU here and see if there are injuries or something else , or may lay off if this line goes crazy
another game is South Dakota st +11 at Kansas st, Kansas st beat Bellarmine 83-75 friday, opened with a 15 point lead at half and ended up winning by 8 both teams shot well, Bell actually shot better as they were 30/62 48% and were 8/19 from 3 42% but they only got 8 ft's and were 7/8 and Kansas st shot 44% 28/63 and were 12/31 from 3 38.7% but they got the ft's 15/22 so right there is your 8 pt win they made 8 more ft's and took 14 more , and the same thing happened to SD st when they lost to Akron SD st shot 50% to Akron's 45.6% Akron was 11/27 from 3 40% and SD st was 8/19 42%..but the ft's SD st was 11/13 while Akron was 18/22 amazing win by 6 get 9 more ft's and make 7 more winning by 6 but Akron did outrebounded them, when ya go back and look at how games were won and lost , i would kind of like S D st +11 here, and ya have to hope ft's are evened out .. i am only seeing +10.5 at one book, it shows this opened at 12 wish i could have gotten 12 i would be taking SD st, cant wait for Hard rock here in Florida to send me the app to have another book , i need lines earlier for sure, but for now deal with it ....... it's one thing to know who covered and who didn't but looking back to see why and how a team did or did not cover can sometimes help to make choices on the next game
0
another game is South Dakota st +11 at Kansas st, Kansas st beat Bellarmine 83-75 friday, opened with a 15 point lead at half and ended up winning by 8 both teams shot well, Bell actually shot better as they were 30/62 48% and were 8/19 from 3 42% but they only got 8 ft's and were 7/8 and Kansas st shot 44% 28/63 and were 12/31 from 3 38.7% but they got the ft's 15/22 so right there is your 8 pt win they made 8 more ft's and took 14 more , and the same thing happened to SD st when they lost to Akron SD st shot 50% to Akron's 45.6% Akron was 11/27 from 3 40% and SD st was 8/19 42%..but the ft's SD st was 11/13 while Akron was 18/22 amazing win by 6 get 9 more ft's and make 7 more winning by 6 but Akron did outrebounded them, when ya go back and look at how games were won and lost , i would kind of like S D st +11 here, and ya have to hope ft's are evened out .. i am only seeing +10.5 at one book, it shows this opened at 12 wish i could have gotten 12 i would be taking SD st, cant wait for Hard rock here in Florida to send me the app to have another book , i need lines earlier for sure, but for now deal with it ....... it's one thing to know who covered and who didn't but looking back to see why and how a team did or did not cover can sometimes help to make choices on the next game
Good luck mate. South Dakota state is paper soft and always gets destroyed when playing up in competition. If they aren’t shooting lights out from 3 (and they don’t have a ton of shooters this year) they could give up 90 and lose by 20+ very easily.
Until the wallet is full.
1
Good luck mate. South Dakota state is paper soft and always gets destroyed when playing up in competition. If they aren’t shooting lights out from 3 (and they don’t have a ton of shooters this year) they could give up 90 and lose by 20+ very easily.
agreed , just seen that N.Fla went to 5, then a half hour later is down to 3.5 but thats ok, to be honest the back and forth is fine, W Carolina is now 5.5 at one book i am seriously thinking about buying to 6 but i am just going to see what the morning brings
0
@steponaduck
agreed , just seen that N.Fla went to 5, then a half hour later is down to 3.5 but thats ok, to be honest the back and forth is fine, W Carolina is now 5.5 at one book i am seriously thinking about buying to 6 but i am just going to see what the morning brings
looking at the Hampton at Norfolk st game, Norfolk st is picked 2nd in their conf this year, and Hampton is picked like 10th, Norfolk is a team that seems to like to score in the high 60's low 70's from last years scores, but Hampton is a team that knows no defense, they play higher scoring games, and these 2 played last year with Norfolk st winning 83-71, and so far this year they have played really no one but they have scored a lot of points, 102 and 90 so far, i would give the edge to Norfolk here to cover the 6 6.5 pt spread but i do think the better play would be going over 147 here, i do think Hampton can get to the mid 70's , i think this line might go up, even both might go up, so grabbing OVER 147 now, and may have a play on Norfolk but still going through others and i do have to sleep MY RAIDERS CAME THROUGH so its a GOOOOD DAY lol gl 151
OVER 147 1 unit play -110
0
looking at the Hampton at Norfolk st game, Norfolk st is picked 2nd in their conf this year, and Hampton is picked like 10th, Norfolk is a team that seems to like to score in the high 60's low 70's from last years scores, but Hampton is a team that knows no defense, they play higher scoring games, and these 2 played last year with Norfolk st winning 83-71, and so far this year they have played really no one but they have scored a lot of points, 102 and 90 so far, i would give the edge to Norfolk here to cover the 6 6.5 pt spread but i do think the better play would be going over 147 here, i do think Hampton can get to the mid 70's , i think this line might go up, even both might go up, so grabbing OVER 147 now, and may have a play on Norfolk but still going through others and i do have to sleep MY RAIDERS CAME THROUGH so its a GOOOOD DAY lol gl 151
well 4-2 as Montana comes thru big, also Portland did cover both like i thought, and Nevada wins outright, i talked about that spread and how Nevada should have a good chance, 3-1 on BIGGER plays
31-13 17-5 on Big plays not a bad 1st week in college hoops .... i know a group of people on a email lst that are very happy ...lol let's hope this continues ,
gl 151
0
well 4-2 as Montana comes thru big, also Portland did cover both like i thought, and Nevada wins outright, i talked about that spread and how Nevada should have a good chance, 3-1 on BIGGER plays
31-13 17-5 on Big plays not a bad 1st week in college hoops .... i know a group of people on a email lst that are very happy ...lol let's hope this continues ,
well one book has 155.5 in the michigan game, the other has 154 i am going to play the over 154 nut its a half unit because i did miss out on the early line move, but the way these 2 have been scoring i can see why it is going up , i know i should be playing maybe more but its a system, bets will go up, nothing wrong with just winning, Greed gets to some , i never withdrawl till the end anyway
0
well one book has 155.5 in the michigan game, the other has 154 i am going to play the over 154 nut its a half unit because i did miss out on the early line move, but the way these 2 have been scoring i can see why it is going up , i know i should be playing maybe more but its a system, bets will go up, nothing wrong with just winning, Greed gets to some , i never withdrawl till the end anyway
Butler has played 2 div 1 teams and they have scored over 90 points each time, they were usually a lower scoring team, they have ETSU coming in, they are 15.5 pt fav's the o/u is 145.5 , etsu lost at elon 76-79 i am kind of thinking this could go over the total here, Butler beat S.E.Missouri 91-56, and they beat E.Michigan 94-55 notice both those totals are real close to the 145.5 they have as the total, so can ETSU score in the 60's or close to 70, or are they thinking another big win for BUTLER of 90-55?? if so Butler -15.5 looks real good , I mean ETSU gave up 79 on the road at ELON , Butler has started off well for only returning 9% of their minutes and 9% of their scoring from last year, Butler does have 5 transfers this year who averaged double digits for the teams they were on last year, ETSU is picked to finish like 7th in the southern conference this year, its a high point spread but they seem to be playing well together, i think the total is pointing to a Butler cover , man not sure how i would play this,...lol drives me nuts, Butler was picked to finish 10th in the Big east but the big east is very tough, and losing that many players i can see why, but can they win by 16+ i would think if ETSU covers this is going OVER the total , if Butler keeps scoring like they have it could too, but a 30 pt win could stay under , why did i look into this one??? lol
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Butler has played 2 div 1 teams and they have scored over 90 points each time, they were usually a lower scoring team, they have ETSU coming in, they are 15.5 pt fav's the o/u is 145.5 , etsu lost at elon 76-79 i am kind of thinking this could go over the total here, Butler beat S.E.Missouri 91-56, and they beat E.Michigan 94-55 notice both those totals are real close to the 145.5 they have as the total, so can ETSU score in the 60's or close to 70, or are they thinking another big win for BUTLER of 90-55?? if so Butler -15.5 looks real good , I mean ETSU gave up 79 on the road at ELON , Butler has started off well for only returning 9% of their minutes and 9% of their scoring from last year, Butler does have 5 transfers this year who averaged double digits for the teams they were on last year, ETSU is picked to finish like 7th in the southern conference this year, its a high point spread but they seem to be playing well together, i think the total is pointing to a Butler cover , man not sure how i would play this,...lol drives me nuts, Butler was picked to finish 10th in the Big east but the big east is very tough, and losing that many players i can see why, but can they win by 16+ i would think if ETSU covers this is going OVER the total , if Butler keeps scoring like they have it could too, but a 30 pt win could stay under , why did i look into this one??? lol
OVER 154 Michigan Half unit only because the line jumped 5 points, like it the same but missing out on the jump makes me have more caution
FUCK it i am playing BUTLER -15 for a 1 unit play, going over it i just come back to a big win here, i think Butler gets 83+ i think they win by 20 ill lay it, i usually do not lay these numbers but it what its saying to me anyway
Date Placed: 11/13/23 03:48:25 Header: INTERNET: Straight Bet risk 120.00 win 100.00 Bet Details:
OVER 154 Michigan Half unit only because the line jumped 5 points, like it the same but missing out on the jump makes me have more caution
FUCK it i am playing BUTLER -15 for a 1 unit play, going over it i just come back to a big win here, i think Butler gets 83+ i think they win by 20 ill lay it, i usually do not lay these numbers but it what its saying to me anyway
Date Placed: 11/13/23 03:48:25 Header: INTERNET: Straight Bet risk 120.00 win 100.00 Bet Details:
I Knew i should have bought up last night when it was 5.5 and took 6 with W.Carolina, overnight it dropped back down so i just bet it at +5 was hoping for 4 originally so i guess i am happy with 5 but man every point counts when it comes to hoops
W.CAROLINA +5 1 unit play
again should have just bet it last night and gotten an extra point, but i do like them in this spot
gl 151
0
I Knew i should have bought up last night when it was 5.5 and took 6 with W.Carolina, overnight it dropped back down so i just bet it at +5 was hoping for 4 originally so i guess i am happy with 5 but man every point counts when it comes to hoops
W.CAROLINA +5 1 unit play
again should have just bet it last night and gotten an extra point, but i do like them in this spot
YES I have , i was on Oral roberts +1.5 on the 1st day they were down 2 with under a minute left and lost by 4, i have not dug into the game yet, but that one popped out at me for sure
0
@zanman822
YES I have , i was on Oral roberts +1.5 on the 1st day they were down 2 with under a minute left and lost by 4, i have not dug into the game yet, but that one popped out at me for sure
OK well as i was talking to myself last night on here, i said i should have just bet W.Carolina when they were 5.5 and bought to 6, well today i see they are back down to 4.5 and i have since bet them at +5 buying a half point, but truly need to just follow my gut on things and just do it, i cost myself a point and as everyone knows in hoops 1 pt is way more important than it is in FB , already explained myself on the play, i do like that it went up then back down, one thing i hate is just one way movement on games i handicap , ....last night i went and just said fuck it and bet Butler-15 and glad i did, get up and see they are 17, so don't mean its a winner, but i did save myself 2 points .....anyway
W.CAROLINA +5 -120 1 unit
gl 151
0
OK well as i was talking to myself last night on here, i said i should have just bet W.Carolina when they were 5.5 and bought to 6, well today i see they are back down to 4.5 and i have since bet them at +5 buying a half point, but truly need to just follow my gut on things and just do it, i cost myself a point and as everyone knows in hoops 1 pt is way more important than it is in FB , already explained myself on the play, i do like that it went up then back down, one thing i hate is just one way movement on games i handicap , ....last night i went and just said fuck it and bet Butler-15 and glad i did, get up and see they are 17, so don't mean its a winner, but i did save myself 2 points .....anyway
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