I was ecstatic to bounce back yesterday with the Cougars after my friend Ryan was wrong about his Orange squad for once. I will never again take a another's pick as my own. I'd rather be wrong on my own terms and learn from it.
Miami 1H ___
North Carolina has always struggled away from home against the better defenses in the conference. They lost 75-63 at Georgia Tech, barely survived overtime at Clemson, lost at Miami by 15, lost at Duke by 8 and lost at Virginia by 10. I don't see a reason for that pattern to change here. I would say that Miami has been at least as competitive as UNC on the road, who has as yet to earn a quality win away from their home court, and it's their superior defense that allows them to travel well. I also like their confidence shooting-wise. The first time they lost to Cuse, their coach said that they just needed to be more confident, and just catch and shoot instead of hesitating. They made a statement behind the arc in the first half yesterday. I like them to continue confidently against UNC. And they're in a good spot to do so. Underdogs that had just played a game the day before have done relatively well against favorites coming off a break in the first half. We saw that with Clemson against Duke, Pacific against Gonzaga. Given Miami's defensive prowess, I think they have a solid chance to cover the 8 for the whole game, but I'd rather take them for the 1H where I know that they'll still have gas in the tank. To find the last time where Miami has trailed by more than 3 at half, you'll have to go back to their road game in January where they gave up a for them absolutely exceptional 96 points at Wake. While UNC has consistently struggled against good defenses, shooting 21/60 at Miami and 24/72 at Georgia Tech, I think rather than expecting UNC to come out shooting on fire, it's likely more probable that Davon Reed plays a better game, having gone just 2/8 from two and 1/4 from three in the first game against UNC, despite normally shooting 40% from three and 47% from two.
Waiting for the public to bet this up to 8 or 8.5, hopefully. Then I think Miami 1H will be worth backing.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
I was ecstatic to bounce back yesterday with the Cougars after my friend Ryan was wrong about his Orange squad for once. I will never again take a another's pick as my own. I'd rather be wrong on my own terms and learn from it.
Miami 1H ___
North Carolina has always struggled away from home against the better defenses in the conference. They lost 75-63 at Georgia Tech, barely survived overtime at Clemson, lost at Miami by 15, lost at Duke by 8 and lost at Virginia by 10. I don't see a reason for that pattern to change here. I would say that Miami has been at least as competitive as UNC on the road, who has as yet to earn a quality win away from their home court, and it's their superior defense that allows them to travel well. I also like their confidence shooting-wise. The first time they lost to Cuse, their coach said that they just needed to be more confident, and just catch and shoot instead of hesitating. They made a statement behind the arc in the first half yesterday. I like them to continue confidently against UNC. And they're in a good spot to do so. Underdogs that had just played a game the day before have done relatively well against favorites coming off a break in the first half. We saw that with Clemson against Duke, Pacific against Gonzaga. Given Miami's defensive prowess, I think they have a solid chance to cover the 8 for the whole game, but I'd rather take them for the 1H where I know that they'll still have gas in the tank. To find the last time where Miami has trailed by more than 3 at half, you'll have to go back to their road game in January where they gave up a for them absolutely exceptional 96 points at Wake. While UNC has consistently struggled against good defenses, shooting 21/60 at Miami and 24/72 at Georgia Tech, I think rather than expecting UNC to come out shooting on fire, it's likely more probable that Davon Reed plays a better game, having gone just 2/8 from two and 1/4 from three in the first game against UNC, despite normally shooting 40% from three and 47% from two.
Waiting for the public to bet this up to 8 or 8.5, hopefully. Then I think Miami 1H will be worth backing.
I'd back anything better than +3 at half. But I think the public will give us a bit of leverage. Every point matters. Ideally for a bit of easy breathing but often enough it makes the difference win or lose.
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I'd back anything better than +3 at half. But I think the public will give us a bit of leverage. Every point matters. Ideally for a bit of easy breathing but often enough it makes the difference win or lose.
Also Miami made a bunch of flukey 3's yesterday against Cuse. Barely got them off in time but still went in last second before shot clock violation. I don't see them being so fortunate again against UNC.
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Also Miami made a bunch of flukey 3's yesterday against Cuse. Barely got them off in time but still went in last second before shot clock violation. I don't see them being so fortunate again against UNC.
Still 4.5 at my book. I am think the teams that played yesterday will be a bit sharper in the first H and fade 2nd H after the better teams get their feet under them. Good luck. Waiting for 5...
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Still 4.5 at my book. I am think the teams that played yesterday will be a bit sharper in the first H and fade 2nd H after the better teams get their feet under them. Good luck. Waiting for 5...
I get .5 added on with dog book. Imo it's worth trying to find a dog book.
Quote Originally Posted by NONEED4LUCK:
Still 4.5 at my book. I am think the teams that played yesterday will be a bit sharper in the first H and fade 2nd H after the better teams get their feet under them. Good luck. Waiting for 5...
Hope you guys got your +5
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Hope all of your l
Quote Originally Posted by ProudJagsfan:
I get .5 added on with dog book. Imo it's worth trying to find a dog book.
Quote Originally Posted by NONEED4LUCK:
Still 4.5 at my book. I am think the teams that played yesterday will be a bit sharper in the first H and fade 2nd H after the better teams get their feet under them. Good luck. Waiting for 5...
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