Vanderbilt is coming into today 8-6 losing their last 2 conference games. Today they know they need a W in the worst way. Although very talented they have struggled a bit on the boards and lost the turnover battle which has been the thorn in their side in recent losses. However, outside of a few recent games Vandy usually doesn't commit that many turnovers. The Commodores are an excellent offensive team shooting inside at 51.6% and 41.1% from outside. Defensively Vandy is excellent in contesting every shot as opponents only have a 41.2% effective FG% against them that ranks 4th in the nation. They also do a good job cleaning up on the defensive glass.
Today they face South Carolina who has been a pleasant surprise starting the season 14-0 although they have faced a cupcake schedule. Offensively the Gamecocks like to pound it inside though they are not very efficient doing it. They rely on second chance opportunities and getting to the line to put up points on the board as the Gamecocks are one of the best in creating contact. South Carolina is also very sloppy with turnovers. Defensively they are stout as is every Frank Martin team, they are outstanding in cleaning up the glass and are very tough to score on inside. The one guy in their armor defensively is their perimeter defense as it is below average.
In todays game I believe Vandy will be able to expose South Carolina's perimeter defense. The Commodores will be get plenty of open looks from outside and the 3 ball's will be raining. On the other side South Carolina is too sloppy offensively to be able to keep up here they just aren't efficient enough to beat this Vandy defense. The turnover battle I expect to be about even and that will be just enough for Vanderbilt to get a big W on the road. Therefore I will be on the Commodores plus the points.
VANDERBILT +4
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
YESTERDAY 1-0 UTAH +1
TODAY I WILL HAVE A FEW.......
Vanderbilt is coming into today 8-6 losing their last 2 conference games. Today they know they need a W in the worst way. Although very talented they have struggled a bit on the boards and lost the turnover battle which has been the thorn in their side in recent losses. However, outside of a few recent games Vandy usually doesn't commit that many turnovers. The Commodores are an excellent offensive team shooting inside at 51.6% and 41.1% from outside. Defensively Vandy is excellent in contesting every shot as opponents only have a 41.2% effective FG% against them that ranks 4th in the nation. They also do a good job cleaning up on the defensive glass.
Today they face South Carolina who has been a pleasant surprise starting the season 14-0 although they have faced a cupcake schedule. Offensively the Gamecocks like to pound it inside though they are not very efficient doing it. They rely on second chance opportunities and getting to the line to put up points on the board as the Gamecocks are one of the best in creating contact. South Carolina is also very sloppy with turnovers. Defensively they are stout as is every Frank Martin team, they are outstanding in cleaning up the glass and are very tough to score on inside. The one guy in their armor defensively is their perimeter defense as it is below average.
In todays game I believe Vandy will be able to expose South Carolina's perimeter defense. The Commodores will be get plenty of open looks from outside and the 3 ball's will be raining. On the other side South Carolina is too sloppy offensively to be able to keep up here they just aren't efficient enough to beat this Vandy defense. The turnover battle I expect to be about even and that will be just enough for Vanderbilt to get a big W on the road. Therefore I will be on the Commodores plus the points.
Maryland has taken some time to gel this year. With several new pieces such as Sulaimon, Carter and Stone. The Terps in the beginning of the year looked a bit sloppy but they have really turned it on in recent games. Smashing Rutgers at home and beating Northwestern on the road. The Terps are outstanding offensively shooting the ball 38.7% outside and 58.8% from inside. They especially like to shoot from outside which is about 40% of their attempts. The one problem however has been turnovers for Maryland as they rank 227 in the nation in protecting possession. Defensively Maryland rebounds very well and they protect the paint and perimeter stoutly. They are a very disciplined defensive squad doing a great job of not sending opponents to the line.
Wisconsin is in a rebuilding year. Offensively they are not very efficient as they struggle to score ranking 250th in the nation in effective FG%. They rely on great offensive rebounding to get second chance easy opportunities inside to score. Defensively Wisconsin is great defending the paint and cleaning up the glass. However they are horrible in perimeter defense allowing opponents to shoot 38% from beyond the arc.
Gentlemen Wisconsin simply has a bad matchup today. Maryland is excellent shooting the 3 ball and the Badgers perimeter defense is piss poor. Maryland will be able to mix it up enough to get open looks both inside and outside. Offensively for Wisconsin I just do not see how they can score. They do not shoot it efficiently enough and the Terps do a great job on the defensive boards which will limit any 2nd chance opportunities for Whisky. Guys I'm shocked the line is only 3.5 but I guess Maryland is flying a little under the radar and Wisconsin is getting too much name recognition. People may think this is a trap but I'm here to tell you it aint. I will gladly lay the 3.5 here and side with the far better team.
MARYLAND -3.5
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Maryland has taken some time to gel this year. With several new pieces such as Sulaimon, Carter and Stone. The Terps in the beginning of the year looked a bit sloppy but they have really turned it on in recent games. Smashing Rutgers at home and beating Northwestern on the road. The Terps are outstanding offensively shooting the ball 38.7% outside and 58.8% from inside. They especially like to shoot from outside which is about 40% of their attempts. The one problem however has been turnovers for Maryland as they rank 227 in the nation in protecting possession. Defensively Maryland rebounds very well and they protect the paint and perimeter stoutly. They are a very disciplined defensive squad doing a great job of not sending opponents to the line.
Wisconsin is in a rebuilding year. Offensively they are not very efficient as they struggle to score ranking 250th in the nation in effective FG%. They rely on great offensive rebounding to get second chance easy opportunities inside to score. Defensively Wisconsin is great defending the paint and cleaning up the glass. However they are horrible in perimeter defense allowing opponents to shoot 38% from beyond the arc.
Gentlemen Wisconsin simply has a bad matchup today. Maryland is excellent shooting the 3 ball and the Badgers perimeter defense is piss poor. Maryland will be able to mix it up enough to get open looks both inside and outside. Offensively for Wisconsin I just do not see how they can score. They do not shoot it efficiently enough and the Terps do a great job on the defensive boards which will limit any 2nd chance opportunities for Whisky. Guys I'm shocked the line is only 3.5 but I guess Maryland is flying a little under the radar and Wisconsin is getting too much name recognition. People may think this is a trap but I'm here to tell you it aint. I will gladly lay the 3.5 here and side with the far better team.
Iowa St is a very experienced team, so far this year they are 12-2 and look geared up for 1 last run. The Cyclones get it done behind an extremely efficient run and gun offense that rarely turns over the ball and misses very limited shots. They shoot 56.7 % from inside and 36% from outside. Defensively Iowa St is solid inside and disciplined hardly ever fouling, contesting every shot and they do a good job of cleaning up the defensive boards.
Baylor is 11-3 though they have faced a pretty weak schedule thus far. Offensively they are average shooting the ball wanting to pound it inside and they are excellent in creating easy second chance opportunities dominating the offensive glass. Defensively they do a good job of creating turnovers and rebounding the ball. They are not the best in Defensive FG% however and teams can get a lot of open looks against them.
In this game today I do not see any stopping the Iowa St offense at home. Baylor is not strong enough defensively to stop this well oiled machine and the Bears will not have an easy time scoring points. Iowa St is 10th in the nation in protecting possession and Baylor will not be able to dominate the offensive glass as Iowa St does a good job boxing out. Unfortunately for Baylor I can easily see them losing this game by 10 plus and I will be on a very experienced and determined Iowa St team minus the points.
IOWA ST -7
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Iowa St is a very experienced team, so far this year they are 12-2 and look geared up for 1 last run. The Cyclones get it done behind an extremely efficient run and gun offense that rarely turns over the ball and misses very limited shots. They shoot 56.7 % from inside and 36% from outside. Defensively Iowa St is solid inside and disciplined hardly ever fouling, contesting every shot and they do a good job of cleaning up the defensive boards.
Baylor is 11-3 though they have faced a pretty weak schedule thus far. Offensively they are average shooting the ball wanting to pound it inside and they are excellent in creating easy second chance opportunities dominating the offensive glass. Defensively they do a good job of creating turnovers and rebounding the ball. They are not the best in Defensive FG% however and teams can get a lot of open looks against them.
In this game today I do not see any stopping the Iowa St offense at home. Baylor is not strong enough defensively to stop this well oiled machine and the Bears will not have an easy time scoring points. Iowa St is 10th in the nation in protecting possession and Baylor will not be able to dominate the offensive glass as Iowa St does a good job boxing out. Unfortunately for Baylor I can easily see them losing this game by 10 plus and I will be on a very experienced and determined Iowa St team minus the points.
Hey Hermes, been following you for months now man. Love your write ups and your picks for the most part have always been spot on. Im on these 2 bets myself so hopefully you are right and it's not a trap game.
How do you feel about the over on this game? 132 1/2?
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Hey Hermes, been following you for months now man. Love your write ups and your picks for the most part have always been spot on. Im on these 2 bets myself so hopefully you are right and it's not a trap game.
How do you feel about the over on this game? 132 1/2?
Hey Hermes, been following you for months now man. Love your write ups and your picks for the most part have always been spot on. Im on these 2 bets myself so hopefully you are right and it's not a trap game.
How do you feel about the over on this game? 132 1/2?
I'm not a good over/under guy but I would lean under here cause I just don't know how the home team is gonna score points here today. Maryland will score but being on the road it won't be a very high number.
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Quote Originally Posted by LRR_1215:
Hey Hermes, been following you for months now man. Love your write ups and your picks for the most part have always been spot on. Im on these 2 bets myself so hopefully you are right and it's not a trap game.
How do you feel about the over on this game? 132 1/2?
I'm not a good over/under guy but I would lean under here cause I just don't know how the home team is gonna score points here today. Maryland will score but being on the road it won't be a very high number.
uhhh ohhh, the lines are moving...and not in Maryland's direction :/ i hope this is more to offset betting in Maryland's favor instead of an unknown injury or variable
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uhhh ohhh, the lines are moving...and not in Maryland's direction :/ i hope this is more to offset betting in Maryland's favor instead of an unknown injury or variable
What do you think about v tech getting 17.5 at duke?? Buzz has the Hokies playing better than expected and they just knocked off Virginia.
Let down spot and VA Tech relies on getting to the free throw line to score. Problem is Duke is very disciplined defensively and very rarely fouls. If I had to bet this one I would be on Duke.
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Quote Originally Posted by Tailgatingcats:
What do you think about v tech getting 17.5 at duke?? Buzz has the Hokies playing better than expected and they just knocked off Virginia.
Let down spot and VA Tech relies on getting to the free throw line to score. Problem is Duke is very disciplined defensively and very rarely fouls. If I had to bet this one I would be on Duke.
Looking into Maryland's previous games, i have found that the Terps frequently bang out into fast starts with big leads in the first halves of the games, so I'm thinking of rolling with the Terps 1H @ -2.
What's up with the drop in the spread? WTF?
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Great write ups and picks, Hermes.
Thank you for sharing them.
Looking into Maryland's previous games, i have found that the Terps frequently bang out into fast starts with big leads in the first halves of the games, so I'm thinking of rolling with the Terps 1H @ -2.
Looking into Maryland's previous games, i have found that the Terps frequently bang out into fast starts with big leads in the first halves of the games, so I'm thinking of rolling with the Terps 1H @ -2.
What's up with the drop in the spread? WTF?
No idea man typically its not good when this happens but I just don't see how Wisconsin can win this game unless Maryland turns it over 20+ times which I doubt as Wisconsin is not a team that will force many turnovers.
Maryland actually started a lot of games early in the season slow but recently they have started fast so hopefully they keep that trend. I know its a focus of the players and coaches to get out to a fast start.
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Quote Originally Posted by Mozart:
Great write ups and picks, Hermes.
Thank you for sharing them.
Looking into Maryland's previous games, i have found that the Terps frequently bang out into fast starts with big leads in the first halves of the games, so I'm thinking of rolling with the Terps 1H @ -2.
What's up with the drop in the spread? WTF?
No idea man typically its not good when this happens but I just don't see how Wisconsin can win this game unless Maryland turns it over 20+ times which I doubt as Wisconsin is not a team that will force many turnovers.
Maryland actually started a lot of games early in the season slow but recently they have started fast so hopefully they keep that trend. I know its a focus of the players and coaches to get out to a fast start.
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