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Ncaab ATS Streak Breakers for 2013/2014

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Captain
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Joined: Oct, 2011
Posts: 6398
Posted: #951
My plays t nite


Xavier
N Texas
Troy
Manhattan
Nebraska
Portland 
 
Rookie
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Posts: 880
Posted: #952
Hey guys,

I didn't play the last two 5-0 streak plays but they both lost? Let's get Xavier tonight!!
 
Prospect
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Posts: 49
Posted: #953
hi stevo1...which Portland is it?
tx man.
 
Rookie
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Posted: #954
i played the opposite as it says play opposition damn.
 
Prospect
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Posts: 443
Posted: #955
Knicks 
Nebraska 
Xavier 
Troy 
N.Texas Push
Manhattan 


Portland pending...
 
Prospect
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Posted: #956
Portland 

Dang cap! Nice night  









 
Prospect
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Posted: #957
Take Philly +2.5 against 0-6 Detroit before the spread drops!
 
Captain
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Posted: #958
Streak System plays today

5-0 Xavier ,,,,,,Top Play to cover per record at 16-7 10 units5-0 teams are now 17-7 to continue

0-10 east ILL i don't know if i can play them although they surely need a win but not with my $$$0-11

0-8 N Dakota like wise i just can't support teams to cover at this LOSS level  0-9

0-5 Utsa at 9-12 to cover i can't see them covering and record supports my decision Pass

0-4 we have two but record is (31-25) to cover (pass)
S Alabama
Northwestern

3-0 to not cover per record at 83-55
will play the 3-0's to not cover for 1 unit each
so will play opposition
N Texas   Push per covers
Troy wins SU
Manhattan -5
Nebraska
Portland 
as they all play against 3-0 streak teams


 
Captain
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Posted: #959
Win Streak Records at close of 1/9/14

9-0 Record 1-0 Unlv can't cover

8-0 Record to Stop 2-1 Creighton 1/12

7-0 Record to stop 3-4 none pend
 
6-0 Streak Record to Stop 8-7 one pend,,Kans St 1/11

5-0 Streak Record to Stop 7-17.We play 5-0's to continue to  6-0 due to Record 17-7,,,71% to cover
Xavier covers 1/9/14X 10

2010/2011  52% to go to 6-0 seasons end
2011/ 2012 59% to go to 6-0 seasons end (27-19)
2012/2013  62 % to go to 6-0 seasons end (34-21)

4-0 (28-24)Streak Record to Stop Marist 1/10 today
but record not great to stop 54%

3-0 (86-57) 60%  to stop,,we do not have any pend until 1/11
3-1-1 yest 1/9

there you have win Streak records to date 
 
Prospect
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Posted: #960
Quote Originally Posted by stevo1:

Streak System plays today

5-0 Xavier ,,,,,,Top Play to cover per record at 16-7 10 units5-0 teams are now 17-7 to continue

0-10 east ILL i don't know if i can play them although they surely need a win but not with my $$$0-11

0-8 N Dakota like wise i just can't support teams to cover at this LOSS level  0-9

0-5 Utsa at 9-12 to cover i can't see them covering and record supports my decision Pass

0-4 we have two but record is (31-25) to cover (pass)
S Alabama
Northwestern

3-0 to not cover per record at 83-55
will play the 3-0's to not cover for 1 unit each
so will play opposition
N Texas   Push per covers
Troy wins SU
Manhattan -5
Nebraska
Portland 
as they all play against 3-0 streak teams


In person ASU/Troy game ......... awful   Troy just shoots 3's and fall back.......worst game ASU ever played.    Do not look them cover UALR but we see what kind of line......was ASU -11',,,,,,,
 
Captain
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Posted: #961
LOSS STREAKS to COVER thru 1/9/14

0-11 (0-0) East ILL ( will Odds Makers ever help them to cover
or do we continue to win with them NOT Covering) EASY MONEY $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$

0-10 (0-1) 

0-9  (0-1) N Dakota,,,Ditto 

0-8  (0-2)
Past years odds makers applied proper points at level 8
to cover,as you can see not happening to date,do odds makers finally come thru for these pathetic teams,Not happening as of 1/10/14

0-7 (4-2) Bost Coll  1/11/14 ( looks good to Cover) at 67%

0-6 (5-7) Colorado St and Pitt both cover (prev 3-7)  None pending to date

0-5 (10-12) Odds makers have done a great job controlling this level from a few weeks ago,when was out out control 6 teams pend,,Penn St,,Tx St,,NW,,Marq,,S Alab,,1/11,Akron 1/12

0-4 (33-28) 11 teams,Pend ,, Rider and Fairfield Today 1/10,, bal later in week,,Odds to cover not great at 54%

0-3 (58-73 )appears we have 6 teams ( will await a stronger record for future play) If reverse still just 56% to continue to 0-4
Will continue to monitor this level as past
 
Legend
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Posts: 58733
Posted: #962
All results are ATS (Against The Spread) unless noted otherwise.

Show Me The Money

Pay close attention to teams that are hot and those who are not.  Here is a list teams taking the court this weekend on either hot or cold streaks. 

Hot moneymakers (minimum seven results):
Creighton 8-0 
Harvard 6-1-1 
Hawaii 8-1 
Kansas State 8-1
Utah *8-1 
Wichita State 9-1

Not moneymakers:
Alabama 1-6
Boston College 0-7
Bradley 1-8
Colorado State *0-6-1
LSU 1-6
NC Wilmington 1-7-1
South Alabama 1-6

 
Legend
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Posts: 58733
Posted: #963

Dogmania

The best underdogs this college basketball season have been Dayton, Houston and Kent State, all 4-0.

The worst dogs have been Northwestern and Texas State, both 0-6.

LaSalle is nipping at their heels at 0-4.

Defense Rules

Here is a list of the Top 5 college hoops teams on the defensive front, in Defensive Field Goal percentage and Rebound Margin.  Look to ‘play on’ these teams in either revenge or underdog roles:

Defensive Field Goal Percentage –
1. Clemson 35.1
2. SMU 35.8
3. Iowa 36.2
4. San Diego State 36.3
5. Arizona 36.6

Rebounding Margin –
1. Quinnipiac +14.6
2. Arizona +13.4
3. Kentucky +13.3
4. Indiana +13.1
5. UAB +12.7

 
Captain
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Posted: #964
guys we need some 3-0 and 4-0's to cover to get to 5-0 our BEST play area,,so send them some love to cover so we can win BIG $$$$$ down line

Marist is at 4-0 today and our only hope for a 5-0 team so send them some love today

4-0 (28-24)Streak Record to Stop Marist 1/10 today
but record not great to stop 54% and just 46% to continue
but we need 5-0 win streaks
 
Captain
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Posted: #965
we have one NBA play tonight due to 0-6 loss streak record

0-6,,,,,,2-6,,appears Teams at 0-6 can't cover, Detroit 1/10
 play 0-6 teams to not cover per record & go to  0-7

Philly is the play
 
Prospect
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Joined: Sep, 2013
Posts: 200
Posted: #966
Hey Stevo - just wanted to say, great stuff here man - honestly - your work is legit and I like and appreciate the effort man - i am always one to never tail anybody or any lead unless I feel comfortable with my own research, etc.  With that said, this gives me more info to look at/observe and utilize in my decision-making - Thanks again bro - BOO~
 
Captain
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Posted: #967
How's this for a match up on Sunday 1/12

8-0 Creighton plays,,,,,,Xavier at 6-0
8-0  Cover record is 1-2,,,,,,,,,,,,,6-0 Cover record is 7-8

 
Captain
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Posted: #968
Boo Tee
Been playing this system for last 5 years and its golden
and we have all of February yet prior to March Maddness so just getting started and have last 3 years posted back in thread for back up

5-0 Streak Record to Stop 7-17.We play 5-0's to continue to  6-0 due to Record 17-7,,,71% to cover
Xavier covers 1/9/14X 10

2010/2011  52% to go to 6-0 seasons end
2011/ 2012 59% to go to 6-0 seasons end (27-19)
2012/2013  62 % to go to 6-0 seasons end (34-21)
2013-2014 currently at 71% (17-7)

 
Captain
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Posted: #969
this system also good in NBA and Hockey but no time to do hockey

NBA we have one play 76ers to cover as in NBA 0-6 streak teams do not cover and cur record is 

0-6,,,,,,2-6,,appears Teams at 0-6 can't cover, Detroit 1/10
 play 0-6 teams to not cover per record & go to  0-7

Philly is the play
 
Captain
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Posted: #970
pulled this from back in thread for review of last year page 608 and 609

As you review all the various streak levels the 5-0 streak stands out matching this year the best by not stopping and instead going to level 6-0 against odds makers approach to stop them and at 62 % win ratio last year and this year they are at even better odds to continue at 80%  to cover against any point Spread

There definitely is something  brewing with this 5-0 level and i suggest you monitor this streak level and its ability to defy odds makers lines

Went back to CONFIRM win streak records for 2012/13 to 
NOT COVER in Ncaab

11-0 streak 0-1 St Louis        last to not cover  3/06/13
10-0 streak 1-1 Appalach st  last to not cover  1/17/13
 9-0 streak  1-2 Geor town    last to not cover  2/27/13
 8-0 streak  5-3 Samford       last to not cover  3/08/13
 7-0 streak   8-8 Miss st         last to not cover   2/09/13
 6-0 streak 18-16 San fran    last to not cover   2/14/13
 5-0 streak  21-34 Cornell      last to not cover   2/22/13
 4-0 streak  84-55 Cal Poly    last to not cover   2/20/13

Odds makers record to stop all streaks 138 no covers vs 120 covers

2012/2013 Loss streaks to cover

0-10 streak    1-0 IUPUI         last to cover 12/23/12
 0-9 streak     2-1 Ole Dom    last to cover 2/07/13
 0-8 streak     3-3 Port St       last to cover 2/18/13
 0-7 streak     6-6 Utah St      last to cover 1/31/13
 0-6 streak  15-12 Oregon      last to cover 2/13/13
 0-5 streak  33-27 S Carolina last to cover 2/16/13
 0-4 streak  63-64 Wash St    last to cover 2/16/13
 
Captain
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Posted: #971
As you can see 0-11 East ILL has already surpassed all Div 1 Ncaab teams of last year and season is not over yet

0-9 N Dakota is not far behind although there were 3 teams that reached that streak loss level

By reviewing last year it gives you some idea where some of these teams can go and where they have gone
 
Prospect
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Posted: #972
Who are we looking at tonight Stevo??
 
Prospect
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Posted: #973

Stevo

NBA

0-5 Orlando to not cover to 0-6?

 
Captain
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Posted: #974
If you review last years results on 5-0 win streaks to not
 cover the record was 21-34 = 38% to stop or 62% to continue

this year 2014  7-17 = 29% to stop or 71% to continue
this year the 5-0 streak to continue has a 9% edge to do
better than last year if season continues as past

 
 
Captain
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Posted: #975
Rippn

0-5 NBA record to date to cover is 6-9 = 40% to cover or to not cover at 9-6 = 60%

we have 2 plays at 60% to not cover
Orlando
New Orleans

Big Play is Detroit at 0-6 to not cover and go to 0-7
Big Play Is Philly to cover at 6-2 = 75%

Running with Marist although at 4-0 win streak to not cover as want them to get to 5-0 record not great at 28-24 not too bad either.Maybe we can get lucky
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