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NCAAB line move system

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Posted: #576
I locked Vandy +3/1h/ML and Valpo +1.5/1h/ML


 
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Posted: #577
I took Valpo but I was already on Georgia -2.5.

GL Georgia by 3!
 
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Posted: #578
Wouldn't that be something!  GL
 
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Posted: #579

Wednesday results...

.....................1H........FG.......ML....

VANDY +3......L.........W.........W

VALPO +2......W........L...........L

VALPO blew a nice 2nd half lead...and lost the game by 3 points. Didn't see the end of the game, so not sure how they lost. If they hang on, it's a great night....But pretty much split results.

Thanks for the help Barnstorm and SBullet

................................................

UPDATED RECORDS...

1H.......31-20

FG.......27-24

ML...... 25 of 51 plays have been ML wins

jw11

 
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Posted: #580

Quote Originally Posted by sbullet46:

jw-

I used a very similar system in NFL 2 seasons ago.  I always bought the points up because personally for me I would rather lose -140 by a blow out then lose -110 by 1 point.  Just my $.02  I was on fire until I hit a 3 week stretch where I lost every game it seemed, so I retired the system.  After going through this thread, it might be time to bring it back.

So far today I see a possibility of Vanderbilt and Wyoming...

Thanks for the great thread!

Buying up the points is something I am seriously looking into for next year.We have been burned too many times by hooks and 1 or two point losses (VALPO would have been a win last night).

.......OR playing M/L rather than FG.(and of course I will stick with 1H plays until they fail me).

Thanks for the kind words sb46.

jw11

 

 
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Posted: #581
No problem.  From what I read, Valpo missed 2 easy put backs at end of game to win, didn't get the rebound and then fouled to give up FT's to blow the cover.

I need systems to rely on otherwise my money disappears quick.  Systems help with money management and help give a little confidence.

On to today!  Ill check throughout day and post on this thread.

Thanks everyone

 
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Posted: #582
JW.....Totally agree w/you on the buying pts...I started about 2 months ago and can't tell you how much it has helped....I was just telling my friend I would much rather buy then go against a strong play because of a whole or half pt.Take Uconn for instance last night...I M/L them cause i didn't trust the spread but liked Uconn to win....The last thing i wanted to do was take Gtown cause the hook.Hope this helps man...GL MAN....Send me a friend request if you like to man,
 
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Posted: #583
jw11

How about line moves on the total? Are these moves a play against?
 
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Posted: #584
I don't see anything moving much today...
 
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Posted: #585
Minny has gone to +3.5 from +2. Maybe only with higher juice  on MB.

GL
 
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Posted: #586
Ended up with Richmond, Over of Minn/PSU, and NCST...can't take day off!

GL
 
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Posted: #587
I took Minny, but only got +3 so pushed. But I also had the over. 

But I also had Richmond.  

Nice hit with NC State.
 
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Posted: #588

Thursday's result....

N.C.ST.....1H (+2).........push

................FG (+4)........WIN

...............ML +140ish... WIN

........................................................

updated SYSTEM RECORD...

1H......31-20-1

FG......28-24

ML......26 of 52 games played were ML wins

.............................................

jw11

 
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Posted: #589
Been playing the consensus top road underdog under the top 10% and team experts. Hit the last 6 in a row. I look at it about 6:30 each night. I think I may be on to something. Jimmy the Greek just bet underdogs.
 
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Posted: #590
Today is shaping up to be Kent St and maybe Uconn
 
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Posted: #591
Harvard and Kent State up to +5 from +4. If we do Ivy League. Not sure.

I see UConn opened at +3.5, went to +4 and now back to +3.5. Doubt that it will get to +5.
 
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Posted: #592
I meant Cornell +5 (vs Harvard), up from +4. Might not reach +5.5 and Ivy League may or may not qualify.

Kent State still at +5.
 
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Posted: #593
If anyone cares my 2 plays today are Dartmouth and U Conn. See if I can go 8-0
 
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Posted: #594

Started out early this morning looking at these plays and thought I liked some, now, the more I look the less I like ANY of them.  Still leaning toward UConn, Brown, and Harvard

 
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Posted: #595
I locked in the Kent 1H/ML/FG

Ivy League and Summit are excluded I believe however I am leaning Harvard...

GL
 
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Posted: #596

Quote Originally Posted by CBARocks:

Been playing the consensus top road underdog under the top 10% and team experts. Hit the last 6 in a row. I look at it about 6:30 each night. I think I may be on to something. Jimmy the Greek just bet underdogs.

CBA

l'm interested in your theory...but not quite sure I inderstand 100%.

Can you explain with a little more detail please sir ?

Thanks

jw11

 
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Posted: #597

I figure today may be a good day...two reasons....

1.......the last two Saturdays were tough.

2.......I have important business to take care of and I won't be around to check the line moves.

LOL

...ain't that how it usually works ?

....................................................

Clarifications...

No Ivy or Summit League.

...but....i see alot of inter-conference games....and we ARE playiong interconference games ....unless they involve IVY or SUMMIT.

 

 
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Posted: #598

Not sure if anyone has been able to back test but started with Jan 10. 

For Jan based on post 264 filters, found the following results:

Betting the dog SU:13 W or +239 on risking 10 against 32 loses or -320.

Betting dog ATS: 26 W or +260 against 19 loses -209

This was using scoresandodds.  Since did not know the first half lines unable to test for that filter.  These results should be used as a guide since dont have a database and results completed by hand.   

 

 
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Posted: #599
To clarify the testing was for jan of 2010 not from this yr.
 
 
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Posted: #600
Tulsa +1.5/1H/ML
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