NCAAB WED

Bol unc... been tailing you for a  while... couldn't post though i was in the penalty box...lol great stuff...

 definetly +6 in a close game = value

love the pick

& thx bro for your great analysis!

UNC, the only sandwich I'm worried about is the one I just ate..A delicious Bacon Egg and Cheese

You're right this is the classic definition of a sandwich game, but with USF picknig up force like they had, I think that it has brought attention to Georgetown. Thery know they can blow this if they don't take it seriously, and that's the last thing thery want to do with Nova on deck, IMAGINE THAT.

USF has played in 2 "Real" Venues this year, @LOU (When LOU had Kentucky on deck), and @CUSE, and thery got blown out in both.

To be perfectly honest with you, I think USF couldv'e hung in there (NOT WIN), if they had Gus Gilchrist back, but I think this is the first game they really miss 'em with Monroe down low. I think he schools Famous (and gets him into some serious early foul trouble), even though the kid has been playing lights out for the Bulls.

Far from a lame bet

UNC--

I gotta ask you about why you buy half a point in that situation and pay -120?  When it comes down to it, it all comes down to math and probability.  I don't care what someone's gut or bankroll or any other situation says.   correct me if I'm wrong, but could you not just take the expected value of both cases and then decide whether or not to buy the point?  For example if you do 120 to win 100 vs 110 to win 100.  That calculation comes out to about 2%.  I.E if you think you have a 55% chance of winning the bet by buying half a point and only a 53% chance of winning the bet without buying the half a point, the expected values would come out to be the same. 

So then I think, I might be wrong, you are saying there is a 2% chance or greater that the hook comes into play.

I have only made two plays in one post on here, doing an extremely lengthy write up on BIG12 TEX/OKST on monday.  Spent alot of time on it to come up with TEX and UND and the game seemed to go exactly as what my post read.  I said I would only do IVY and BIG12 posts since that is what I really know best so I am looking into  iowa st vs baylor and aggies and mizzou and will post my opinion after I finish reading some more of these teams local media and what not.

I need a Bigeast play.  Anyone have an opinion under 137 in Georgetwn.  Seems high, doubt GTOWN shoots 33/46 from the floor like i watched on saturday against duke.