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New System?

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Prospect
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Posted: #1
Running some back testing on a new system I am experimenting with. Last 3 days it went 17-6-1. Going to do some more back testing and then see if any of todays games qualify. Stay tuned.
 
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Posted: #2
will do......
 
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Posted: #3
lets get it
 
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Posted: #4
Went back a couple more weeks. Doesn't look as good but still a winning record at 25-18-1 for total record of 42-24-2. Note I was using the closing line for my test. Also, it looks like the system is slightly better when only using the home team and/or neutral sites. Only favorites qualify (I'm normally a dog kind of guy but the system is showing faves are the better bet). Going to see if any qualify for today and see what happens. If they lose it won't be the 1st time I bet on a game and lost
 
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Posted: #5

524 E. Washington -9.5

530 Sac St -6

These are the only 2 plays that qualify for today. I'm going to bet them and see what happens.

528 Portland St -8 ALMOST qualifies. I may throw a little at it but not going to count towards the system play. Lets try it for a few days and see if it brings home any cash.

 
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Posted: #6

So those didn't pan out as planned. Hopefully with more games on the slate today it will do better. Back later with todays system plays.

YTD 0-2

 
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Posted: #7

824 Stanford -15

 

 

 
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Posted: #8
are you sure your system is not 0-3 ?
 
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Posted: #9
Portland St was not a system play. It almost fit the criteria but was lacking a bit.
 
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Posted: #10

828 Cleveland St -10

831 Valpar -5.5

840 Rice -2.5

856 E. Tenn St -9

860 N. Dakota St -4.5

 
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Posted: #11
4-1-1 yesterday. System is 4-3-1 YTD since I start playing them. I'm going to be gone most of the day but hopefully I can find enough time to do some research on some games before tip off
 
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Posted: #12
 
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Posted: #13
 
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Posted: #14
 
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Posted: #15

528 Ok St -7.5

532 Dayton -12.5

542 Florida -9.5

550 Boise St -9

554 Vandy -6

560 N. Dame -12

 
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Posted: #16
Quote Originally Posted by JodyJo:

528 Ok St -7.5

532 Dayton -12.5

542 Florida -9.5


554 Vandy -6

560 N. Dame -12


Big injury careful ..
550 Boise St -9

Boise State
DatePosPlayerInjuryStatus
12/30/14GAnthony DrmicAnkleout for season

 
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Posted: #17

We will see what happens. Just following the system

 
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Posted: #18

572 Memphis -12

574 Missouri St -7.5

576 Duke -21.5 (hate giving up that many points in conference play)

578 Umass -6.5

586 G-town -8

 

 

 

 
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Posted: #19
Boise played awful in 1H, had a lead, but looks like they'll lose SU
Notre Dame down 4 at half, could easily lose
Florida up ten with 14 to go, that's 50/50
Vanderbilt shooting atrociously, likely to lose 
 
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Posted: #20
Wow, Vandy miraculously forced OT, -6 def in play

UConn's gotten it close with Florida. Not great for the 9.5 cover. Florida up 2 with 6 minutes to go. 

ND -12 ... down 4 with ten minutes to go, not looking great.

Boise St likely to lose, unless they force OT and go on a run. 

These 2pm plays could easily go 0-4. Grrrrrr. 


 
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Posted: #21

Started out looking great. Maybe these OT games will go our way and the later plays will be strong.

 
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Posted: #22

614 UT Arlington -8

616 UL Layfayette -13

654 Sac St -11.5

656 Idaho -1.5

 

 

 

 

 
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Posted: #23
9-6 yesterday bringing the YTD 13-9-1. A winning record but I am looking into a little more to see if we can eliminate some of those losses.
 
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Posted: #24
Posted: 1/1/2015 3:10:41 PM

524 E. Washington -9.5

530 Sac St -6

 
 
Posted: 1/2/2015 1:32:06 PM

824 Stanford -15 PUSH

Posted: 1/2/2015 3:09:22 PM

828 Cleveland St -10

831 Valpar -5.5

840 Rice -2.5

856 E. Tenn St -9

860 N. Dakota St -4.5

: 1/3/2015 11:57:21 AM

528 Ok St -7.5

532 Dayton -12.5

542 Florida -9.5

550 Boise St -9

554 Vandy -6

560 N. Dame -12

572 Memphis -12

574 Missouri St -7.5

576 Duke -21.5

578 Umass -6.5

586 G-town -8

614 UT Arlington -8

616 UL Layfayette -13

654 Sac St -11.5

656 Idaho -1.5

 

 
 
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Posted: #25
The system definitely has potential but 2 things need to occur.

1.  You need a much bigger sample size.  A minimum of 100 games need to be in the sample size group.  The more the better.
2.  You need to add at least 1 or 2 parameters to the system.  It is not quite specific enough yet.  Search for something...statistic or game feature..to add to the system and fine tune it.

I will be watching your progress carefully.  
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