As a traveling sales rep, I get bored from time to time. So, as Christmas approaches (March Madness), I like to analyze numbers. Sure, you could get away with calling me a complete douche at this time.
So, I bascially went back over the last 5 tournaments, and focused solely on the 1-4 seeds and how they faired in the first round. Here you go:
ATS (since the 2006-2007 tourney)
1 vs. 16: #1 seeds have gone 14-6, winning by an average of 6.63 points above the point spread
2 vs. 15: #2 seeds have gone 11-8-1, winning by an average of 1.03 points above point spread
3 vs. 14: #3 seeds have gone 14-6, winning by an average of 2.77 points above point spread
4 vs. 13: #4 seeds have gone 11-9, with the DOG actually winning by an average of 0.30 points above point spread
I like to play 10pt. teasers:
#16 seeds have gone 1-19 vs. the spread +10pts
#15 seeds have gone 2-18 vs. the spread +10pts
#14 seeds have gone 1-19 vs. the spread +10pts
#13 seeds have gone 5-15 vs. the spread +10pts
Food for thought. There's definetely some value in the #13 seeds for those of you who play teasers.
to March Madness!!!! Good luck to all!
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As a traveling sales rep, I get bored from time to time. So, as Christmas approaches (March Madness), I like to analyze numbers. Sure, you could get away with calling me a complete douche at this time.
So, I bascially went back over the last 5 tournaments, and focused solely on the 1-4 seeds and how they faired in the first round. Here you go:
ATS (since the 2006-2007 tourney)
1 vs. 16: #1 seeds have gone 14-6, winning by an average of 6.63 points above the point spread
2 vs. 15: #2 seeds have gone 11-8-1, winning by an average of 1.03 points above point spread
3 vs. 14: #3 seeds have gone 14-6, winning by an average of 2.77 points above point spread
4 vs. 13: #4 seeds have gone 11-9, with the DOG actually winning by an average of 0.30 points above point spread
I like to play 10pt. teasers:
#16 seeds have gone 1-19 vs. the spread +10pts
#15 seeds have gone 2-18 vs. the spread +10pts
#14 seeds have gone 1-19 vs. the spread +10pts
#13 seeds have gone 5-15 vs. the spread +10pts
Food for thought. There's definetely some value in the #13 seeds for those of you who play teasers.
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to March Madness!!!! Good luck to all!
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