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    All Forums | College Basketball

    Possible Early Saturday Play Alerts

    1234 Next Last»
    KineProfessor
    docircho
    rzagza
    mrenigma
    nbafan88
    ...
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    Views: 12593
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    1234 Next Last»
     
    KineProfessor
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2011 - 1:47 AM ET #1

    November 12-6 +5.5 units
    December 13-5 +10.1 units
    January 6-4 +3.0 units; 2-unit plays 3-0; 3-unit plays: 1-0

    Hey guys, going to keep this short and sweet, I would suggest you take a long look at the Marshall/Memphis game.  Marshall matches up very well with Memphis and Memphis is not playing good ball right now.  One of their top players was suspended for mocking an assistant coach on the team bus, one of their highly touted freshman was quoted after the SMU loss as saying this is one of the dumbest things he has ever seen in basketball, and there was multiple other discipline problems during Memphis' last few practices.  Coach Pastner is showing that he doesn't have any answers at the moment and really appears over his head and possibly losing this team.  Playing so many players so many random minutes doesn't seem to be flying with these highly touted freshman and sophomores.  Memphis is very good at home and there can be an argument that Marshall is playing a bit over their head at the moment, but they are a very focused and unified squad and the five days off appears to have served them well and gotten them "up" and ready for this game.  The early money on matchbook has came in on memphis so I will happily wait and hope to get +4.5 or even +5 tomorrow morning.  I rarely bet moneylines, but I might make an exception for this game as I feel Memphis is ripe for the pickings.  As always, its basketball and anything can happen and nothing unifies a team more than playing well and hitting shots - something just tells me (beyond the matchups and situation which both favor Marshall - ok I'll mention that Marshall has been VERY good at defending the 3, which is the main way Memphis scores as they are very "soft" on the inside without any real presence or toughness).  Marshall also gets to the line 27+ times and with Memphis having a shorter bench than usual with their injuries and suspensions - foul trouble could be an issue for Memphis as well.  Marshall already has 3 road wins this season and gave Central Florida all they wanted at their place as well (a game we were on if your remember). 

    I see a lot of totals I will want to bet but because they aren't out yet, I'll wait to post them in the morning.  Good luck with whatever you decide
    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    November 12-6 +5.5 units
    December 13-5 +10.1 units
    January 6-4 +3.0 units; 2-unit plays 3-0; 3-unit plays: 1-0

    Hey guys, going to keep this short and sweet, I would suggest you take a long look at the Marshall/Memphis game.  Marshall matches up very well with Memphis and Memphis is not playing good ball right now.  One of their top players was suspended for mocking an assistant coach on the team bus, one of their highly touted freshman was quoted after the SMU loss as saying this is one of the dumbest things he has ever seen in basketball, and there was multiple other discipline problems during Memphis' last few practices.  Coach Pastner is showing that he doesn't have any answers at the moment and really appears over his head and possibly losing this team.  Playing so many players so many random minutes doesn't seem to be flying with these highly touted freshman and sophomores.  Memphis is very good at home and there can be an argument that Marshall is playing a bit over their head at the moment, but they are a very focused and unified squad and the five days off appears to have served them well and gotten them "up" and ready for this game.  The early money on matchbook has came in on memphis so I will happily wait and hope to get +4.5 or even +5 tomorrow morning.  I rarely bet moneylines, but I might make an exception for this game as I feel Memphis is ripe for the pickings.  As always, its basketball and anything can happen and nothing unifies a team more than playing well and hitting shots - something just tells me (beyond the matchups and situation which both favor Marshall - ok I'll mention that Marshall has been VERY good at defending the 3, which is the main way Memphis scores as they are very "soft" on the inside without any real presence or toughness).  Marshall also gets to the line 27+ times and with Memphis having a shorter bench than usual with their injuries and suspensions - foul trouble could be an issue for Memphis as well.  Marshall already has 3 road wins this season and gave Central Florida all they wanted at their place as well (a game we were on if your remember). 

    I see a lot of totals I will want to bet but because they aren't out yet, I'll wait to post them in the morning.  Good luck with whatever you decide
     
    docircho
    docircho
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2011 - 1:53 AM ET #2

    Reply

     
    rzagza
    rzagza
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2011 - 1:55 AM ET #3

    Memphis sucks ass.
    Reply
    Memphis sucks ass.
     
    mrenigma
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2011 - 1:59 AM ET #4

    My top game also

    GL to us

     

    Reply

    My top game also

    GL to us

     

     
    nbafan88
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2011 - 2:01 AM ET #5

    mocking his coach? wow.


    Reply
    mocking his coach? wow.


     
    GoogsVL3
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2011 - 2:04 AM ET #6

    I agree with this pick!!!!! Ive said this before but i watched Memphis early in the season against Miami FL and I was not impressed with them at all!!!!!! Unfortunately I never have the balls to bet against them thinking they will eventually turn things around...My loss because they are stellar 2-11 ATS!!!!!  Go Tigers!!!! Hahahha!!!!!
    Reply
    I agree with this pick!!!!! Ive said this before but i watched Memphis early in the season against Miami FL and I was not impressed with them at all!!!!!! Unfortunately I never have the balls to bet against them thinking they will eventually turn things around...My loss because they are stellar 2-11 ATS!!!!!  Go Tigers!!!! Hahahha!!!!!
     
    damotz1974
    damotz1974
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2011 - 2:37 AM ET #7

    Memphis is down to minus 4 now.
    Reply
    Memphis is down to minus 4 now.
     
    KineProfessor
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2011 - 10:01 AM ET #8

    Besides Marshall +4 (hoping for a bit higher)

    Here are a few early plays I'm looking at:
    Texas A&M/Mizz over 141: I've been beating the under drum for A&M for weeks but this is a game that has been going over the last few years, both teams are very good from the free throw line, both teams can finish, if Mizz can turn the aggies over a bit and get some easy buckets and get out to a bit of a lead I think this can go over.  Aggies last few games have been such blowouts there hasn't been any late game fouling or extending of the games so its keep their scoring total down a bit.  Aggies have held their opponents to 18% shooting in the last 3 minutes of games ; both teams also pound the offensive glass - think this will be an awesome game but actually see some advantages to the over at this number - be back in a bit to add a few more total/side leans
    Reply
    Besides Marshall +4 (hoping for a bit higher)

    Here are a few early plays I'm looking at:
    Texas A&M/Mizz over 141: I've been beating the under drum for A&M for weeks but this is a game that has been going over the last few years, both teams are very good from the free throw line, both teams can finish, if Mizz can turn the aggies over a bit and get some easy buckets and get out to a bit of a lead I think this can go over.  Aggies last few games have been such blowouts there hasn't been any late game fouling or extending of the games so its keep their scoring total down a bit.  Aggies have held their opponents to 18% shooting in the last 3 minutes of games ; both teams also pound the offensive glass - think this will be an awesome game but actually see some advantages to the over at this number - be back in a bit to add a few more total/side leans
     
    KineProfessor
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2011 - 10:08 AM ET #9

    Marshall/Memphis OVER 143.5

    Wish Memphis had everyone and I'd be all over this over - still think it holds value, it just opened on Matchbook right now - if the game goes like I believe it will - Marshall should be scoring in the 70's.  Both teams play a fast tempo and after playing some slower tempo teams lately, think Memphis will want to get out a run a bit.  Both teams have shot 60+ shots in games against teams that play a similar tempo.  Should have some transition points, plenty of free-throws and I believe it will be close lately - all these factors point to the over
    Reply
    Marshall/Memphis OVER 143.5

    Wish Memphis had everyone and I'd be all over this over - still think it holds value, it just opened on Matchbook right now - if the game goes like I believe it will - Marshall should be scoring in the 70's.  Both teams play a fast tempo and after playing some slower tempo teams lately, think Memphis will want to get out a run a bit.  Both teams have shot 60+ shots in games against teams that play a similar tempo.  Should have some transition points, plenty of free-throws and I believe it will be close lately - all these factors point to the over
     
    heinz2141
    heinz2141
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2011 - 10:09 AM ET #10

    Quote Originally Posted by KineProfessor:

    Besides Marshall +4 (hoping for a bit higher)

    Here are a few early plays I'm looking at:
    Texas A&M/Mizz over 141: I've been beating the under drum for A&M for weeks but this is a game that has been going over the last few years, both teams are very good from the free throw line, both teams can finish, if Mizz can turn the aggies over a bit and get some easy buckets and get out to a bit of a lead I think this can go over.  Aggies last few games have been such blowouts there hasn't been any late game fouling or extending of the games so its keep their scoring total down a bit.  Aggies have held their opponents to 18% shooting in the last 3 minutes of games ; both teams also pound the offensive glass - think this will be an awesome game but actually see some advantages to the over at this number - be back in a bit to add a few more total/side leans


    Up to +5 on sportsbook.com
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by KineProfessor:

    Besides Marshall +4 (hoping for a bit higher)

    Here are a few early plays I'm looking at:
    Texas A&M/Mizz over 141: I've been beating the under drum for A&M for weeks but this is a game that has been going over the last few years, both teams are very good from the free throw line, both teams can finish, if Mizz can turn the aggies over a bit and get some easy buckets and get out to a bit of a lead I think this can go over.  Aggies last few games have been such blowouts there hasn't been any late game fouling or extending of the games so its keep their scoring total down a bit.  Aggies have held their opponents to 18% shooting in the last 3 minutes of games ; both teams also pound the offensive glass - think this will be an awesome game but actually see some advantages to the over at this number - be back in a bit to add a few more total/side leans


    Up to +5 on sportsbook.com
     
    Kurn
    Kurn
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2011 - 10:09 AM ET #11

    Reply
     
    callmetim
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2011 - 10:10 AM ET #12

    Thank you for this. I just got Marshall + 4.5. Still no ML
    Reply
    Thank you for this. I just got Marshall + 4.5. Still no ML
     
    KineProfessor
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2011 - 10:15 AM ET #13

    Marshall is +5 at Matchbook now
    Reply
    Marshall is +5 at Matchbook now
     
    KineProfessor
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2011 - 10:25 AM ET #14

    I'm also looking at VCU -12.5 and/or under 134

    This is a nightmare matchup for NE who should get crushed on the boards and who are giving up some unreal numbers on defense.  VCU has shown a propensity to play to the tempo of their opponents, they can run if you want to and they can play halfcourt if your prefer and because they are so efficient offensively it works both ways.  Haven't decide which I like more yet
    Reply
    I'm also looking at VCU -12.5 and/or under 134

    This is a nightmare matchup for NE who should get crushed on the boards and who are giving up some unreal numbers on defense.  VCU has shown a propensity to play to the tempo of their opponents, they can run if you want to and they can play halfcourt if your prefer and because they are so efficient offensively it works both ways.  Haven't decide which I like more yet
     
    stickman80733
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2011 - 10:25 AM ET #15

    Reply
     
    KineProfessor
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2011 - 10:29 AM ET #16

    FYI - Matchbook opened the Ark/Alabama total at 129 - Kenpom has it a total of 120 and these teams have been d'ing up lately and I've been crushing the unders on both teams lately - something to consider
    Reply
    FYI - Matchbook opened the Ark/Alabama total at 129 - Kenpom has it a total of 120 and these teams have been d'ing up lately and I've been crushing the unders on both teams lately - something to consider
     
    Noli12
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2011 - 10:32 AM ET #17

    Hey Kine, i see the total for the Vande vs Tennessee at 146, doesn't that seem a little high? If i remember right doesn't Vande play zone which would make that total hard to get to?
    Reply
    Hey Kine, i see the total for the Vande vs Tennessee at 146, doesn't that seem a little high? If i remember right doesn't Vande play zone which would make that total hard to get to?
     
    KineProfessor
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2011 - 10:39 AM ET #18

    Memphis +5 and OVER 143.5 locked in for 1-unit each on Matchbook
    Reply
    Memphis +5 and OVER 143.5 locked in for 1-unit each on Matchbook
     
    HoustonSports
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2011 - 10:41 AM ET #19

    Quote Originally Posted by KineProfessor:

    Memphis +5 and OVER 143.5 locked in for 1-unit each on Matchbook

     

    KP, is that Marshall +5?

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by KineProfessor:

    Memphis +5 and OVER 143.5 locked in for 1-unit each on Matchbook

     

    KP, is that Marshall +5?

     
    SonnySixKill
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2011 - 10:43 AM ET #20

    Quote Originally Posted by KineProfessor:

    Memphis +5 and OVER 143.5 locked in for 1-unit each on Matchbook

    I hope you locked in Marshall.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by KineProfessor:

    Memphis +5 and OVER 143.5 locked in for 1-unit each on Matchbook

    I hope you locked in Marshall.
     
    KineProfessor
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2011 - 10:46 AM ET #21

    LOCKED IN: MARSHALL +5 and OVER 143.5 - sorry about that
    Reply
    LOCKED IN: MARSHALL +5 and OVER 143.5 - sorry about that
     
    slush19
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2011 - 10:46 AM ET #22

    Good luck Kine....love your insight.
    Reply
    Good luck Kine....love your insight.
     
    KineProfessor
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2011 - 11:01 AM ET #23

    If the Houston line continues to climb (currently +4), I'll be strongly considering them as well
    Reply
    If the Houston line continues to climb (currently +4), I'll be strongly considering them as well
     
    VisorMan
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2011 - 11:10 AM ET #24

    Quote Originally Posted by KineProfessor:

    If the Houston line continues to climb (currently +4), I'll be strongly considering them as well


    Hey Kine  whats your twitter?  add me  i am www.Twitter.com/DeafMadden
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by KineProfessor:

    If the Houston line continues to climb (currently +4), I'll be strongly considering them as well


    Hey Kine  whats your twitter?  add me  i am www.Twitter.com/DeafMadden
     
     
    shakey12381
    shakey12381
    Hall of Fame
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    Joined: Feb, 2007
    Posts: 27750
    Posted: Jan. 15, 2011 - 11:10 AM ET #25

    gl kine on marshall myself dont you colorado okst total is low
    Reply
    gl kine on marshall myself dont you colorado okst total is low
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