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'pre' system week 2

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Posted: #201
Watch out on that Bradley game. They suspended 3 players including their leading scorer today for a strip club incident.
 
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Posted: #202

Quote Originally Posted by mp5070:

Hey ryno,

full game record should be 14-4-1....with a push yesterday on Siena +8


hey mp, thanks for the catch ill update the record correctly...ryno

as for Bradley game...I don't worry about strip club incidents etc....the system is what it is...play it and pray! lol  gl men  ryno

 
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Posted: #203
I'm wondering if there's more value on the 1st half ML than the full-game ML. All these games seem to be very close at halftime before the home team stretches out the lead in the 2nd half.
 
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Posted: #204
GL today Kine Followers
 
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Posted: #205
Rotation Numbers

549 - Bradley
615 - South Alabama
683 - Troy
735 - Montana State

BOL       
 
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Posted: #206
Play 1st half and game?
 
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Posted: #207
Quote Originally Posted by Ell_Capitan:

Watch out on that Bradley game. They suspended 3 players including their leading scorer today for a strip club incident.
Ordinarily I would say this sort of stuff is already factored into the line. And it still may be for all I know. But this is 29ppg of production lost today for the Braves which is incredibly significant IMO. Scoresandodds has ISU a -8 fav, Kenpom has them at -8, and realtime has them at -11. When you compare the amount of lost production with the fact that the lines did not seem to adjust much (IMO) with these three players out, I think there is some value with ISU. I will have to pass on this play today but will watch with great interest and be rooting for you guys. If Bradley covers, then I will play every single system play from here on out without question.  

Good luck gents!

 
 
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Posted: #208
bradley line down to 10 despite having them out
 
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Posted: #209

Quote Originally Posted by Delsolar16:

I'm wondering if there's more value on the 1st half ML than the full-game ML. All these games seem to be very close at halftime before the home team stretches out the lead in the 2nd half.

tweek it anyway you want delsolar.. you know what our plays are. gl ryno

 
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Posted: #210
Quote Originally Posted by JROCK1966:

Ordinarily I would say this sort of stuff is already factored into the line. And it still may be for all I know. But this is 29ppg of production lost today for the Braves which is incredibly significant IMO. Scoresandodds has ISU a -8 fav, Kenpom has them at -8, and realtime has them at -11. When you compare the amount of lost production with the fact that the lines did not seem to adjust much (IMO) with these three players out, I think there is some value with ISU. I will have to pass on this play today but will watch with great interest and be rooting for you guys. If Bradley covers, then I will play every single system play from here on out without question.  

Good luck gents!

 
yea jrock, I learned a long time ago that I don't overthink this or try analyzing. kine always said the simpler a system is the better it is.  play fade follow....I keep it simple and just play them ...gl ryno
 
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Posted: #211
Quote Originally Posted by ryno23:

yea jrock, I learned a long time ago that I don't overthink this or try analyzing. kine always said the simpler a system is the better it is.  play fade follow....I keep it simple and just play them ...gl ryno
I'm not at the same place mentally with this system that you are. But I will be if Bradley hits. Good luck!!

 
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Posted: #212
Quote Originally Posted by JROCK1966:

I'm not at the same place mentally with this system that you are. But I will be if Bradley hits. Good luck!!

yea j, I get ya....last two weeks ive been just playing them faithfully.  and there were many  I could have talked my way out of.  gotta just grind it out. gltoday my friend rynoo
 
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Posted: #213
Teams tend to play better and step up the first game guys are out.  It is not a 100% thing but you see it all the time.
 
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Posted: #214
When you said if the numbers move more in our favor you might put another unit on it in this case would you or just leave it with the one unit play?
 
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Posted: #215
Just started looking Montana State still a play at 6 I assume.
 
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Posted: #216

Quote Originally Posted by DougieD:

When you said if the numbers move more in our favor you might put another unit on it in this case would you or just leave it with the one unit play?

reason we put plays in early so line don't move against us.  leave it alone.

 
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Posted: #217

Quote Originally Posted by tuck321:

Just started looking Montana State still a play at 6 I assume.

buy a point if you like or no play..up to you. im locked in

 
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Posted: #218
Ryno,

Do you get the estimate of the scores for the plays above? If so, can you post please? Thanks!
 
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Posted: #219
Good luck today ! 
 
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Posted: #220

Quote Originally Posted by mp5070:

Ryno,

Do you get the estimate of the scores for the plays above? If so, can you post please? Thanks!

 I don't even look at estimates of scores..i just play the system and win....I know nothing of estimates. gl ryno

 
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Posted: #221
My man Ryno!

  Appreciate you brother!!

  
 
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Posted: #222
 
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Posted: #223
Killing it Ryno ! My man ! Thanks
 
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Posted: #224
Bradley first half...
 
 
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