NCAA YTD: 137-118-10
(-5.33u)
Monday: 1-2 (-1.09U)
1U Plays: 71-54-4 (+9.71U)
2U Plays: 50-45-4
(-.24U)
3U Plays: 10-14-1
(-14.59U)
4U+ Plays: 6-4-1
(+1.53U)
Purdue Record: 16-11-1 (+4.4U)
Recap: Easy hit with Morehead St/Ball St under which was only the 4th total or so I’ve played all year. Lost with Pitt 1H and game.
Tonight we should have a hell of a game in Columbus. The line opened at -8 for the Bucks, about what I expected. Purdue is coming off a tough home win against Michigan St, but have lost their last 2 road games. However, in both of those games (losses @ Minnesota and @ West Virginia) they had leads late in the 2nd half before not being able to close the door.
I see a similar situation tonight as we saw in both of those road games. Purdue will be competitive, hang around all game and may have a couple bad stretches here and there but won’t be a game where one team gets down by a wide margin. FT and late game management will determine this outcome.
The main focus is going to be the match-up of the 2 best big-men in the country, although they potentially may not defend each other. JaJuan and Sullinger, in my eyes, present big mis-matches on the offensive side. Dallas Lauderdale is bigger and more physical but too slow to play a center like JaJuan who can hit long range shots and drive to the basket better than any other center in the country. Whoever is on Sullinger (if it’s not JaJuan) is going to be a tough task. Purdue doesn’t have a defensive stopper with size and mobility to match with him. I could see both players having big games.
The overall key though will be perimeter shooting. With all the focus on JJ and JJ, I wouldn’t be surprised to see lots a double teams and zone match-ups at times, leading to open long range shots through the gaps. Both teams have great shooters, and for this reason I see it being a relatively higher scoring game.
In the end, 8 points is just too much
for this type of game that will be physical and a battle from start to
finish. I don’t think Purdue wins it in
the end but it will be within a couple possessions. Last season Purdue won @ Ohio St. FYI.
PURDUE +8 (3U)
OVER 134 ½ (1U)
L Tonight Double P..ND came to play last night.
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