Sac's Monday NCAA Hoops

Question

1. SIU &#x2B;4(-107) *1.50/1.402. SIU ML(&#x2B;160) *.50/.80I will write some stuff down in a bit and update my record.GL

undermysac · Answer

1. SIU &#x2B;4(-107) *1.50/1.402. SIU ML(&#x2B;160) *.50/.80I will write some stuff down in a bit and update my record.GL

xxgambler · Answer

Yeah I definitely like this game too. In short I think Buffalo getting too much credit for their upset win in WV. Not often this year they're giving us points on SIU at home. Playing in Carbondale no joke.

Buffalo upset #10 West Virginia on the road in an impressive win, in overtime. I saw that game, and overall it was extremely sloppy on both teams. However, give credit to Buffalo as they made some big shots. Buffalo is a good team returning 5 starters from a team who upset Arizona in the tournament last year. They are a run and gun style team and do have good scorers, but sometimes play too fast and out of control.

Southern Illinois lost at Kentucky by 12 in an impressive performance. They have a good veteran coach Barry Hinson, return 4 of 5 starters, including Kavian Pippen, Scottie's nephew, and also another key big man who was out last year. I think SIU's game plan will be try to slow down the game.

cjm2008 · Answer

SIU in my top 3 tonight

OlDirtyBaztid · Answer

was my first pick of the day as well. good luck today, sac!

Pho-20 · Answer

Bol sac opposite here but your prolly will come out with win.

undermysac · Answer

[Quote: Originally Posted by xxgambler]  Yeah I definitely like this game too.  In short I think Buffalo getting too much credit for their upset win in WV.  Not often this year they&#x27;re giving us points on SIU at home.  Playing in Carbondale no joke.  Buffalo upset #10 West Virginia on the road in an impressive win, &#xD;&#xA;in overtime.  I saw that game, and overall it was extremely sloppy on &#xD;&#xA;both teams.  However, give credit to Buffalo as they made some big &#xD;&#xA;shots.  Buffalo is a good team returning 5 starters from a team who &#xD;&#xA;upset Arizona in the tournament last year.  They are a run and gun style&#xD;&#xA; team and do have good scorers, but sometimes play too fast and out of &#xD;&#xA;control.  Southern Illinois lost at Kentucky by 12 in an &#xD;&#xA;impressive performance.  They have a good veteran coach Barry Hinson, &#xD;&#xA;return 4 of 5 starters, including Kavian Pippen, Scottie&#x27;s nephew, and &#xD;&#xA;also another key big man who was out last year.  I &#xD;&#xA;think SIU&#x27;s game plan will be try to slow down the game.    [/Quote]Nice thoughts, I&#x27;ll use the words in bold as bullet points.I had WVU on my fade list to start the year, and thought they were over rated heading into the season. I&#x27;m still regretting that I didn&#x27;t bet Buffalo in that spot since I actually like this Bulls team, and anticipated a WVU regression, but I wanted to "see" first. The point being, for me it wasn&#x27;t quite the upset most think it was. WVU was up by DD with 5min left. They got complacent, their new crop of kids are lazy and don&#x27;t play with much intensity on D as Huggy&#x27;s kids have in the past.SIU Carbondale has a crazy good Home Court advantage that the average person doesn&#x27;t know about. The Bulls have never played there. This will be their 3rd game all ready(2nd road) and SIU had only 1 game so far. Going to Morgan Town and Carbondale b2b isn&#x27;t easy, and it definitely isn&#x27;t easy winning both of those.Buffalo does play fast, a blistering pace. A lot of that has to do with their ability to crash the glass on offense(creating extra possessions). Here&#x27;s one aspect that worries me, SIU will have to protect the rim on missed shots. A team that plays fast, who&#x27;s coming off of overtime, with b2b travel will be tired. SIU plays slow on offense, they will make the Bulls work on the defensive end of the court. This has the recipe for the Bulls getting fatigued fast.So SIU lost at KY. KY was in the ultimate bounce back spot where they were coming off that embarrassing loss to Duke. So you&#x27;d expect a good effort from them. If you read into the boxscore a little harder than just looking at the final score you&#x27;ll see that this was indeed an "impressive" loss. They led KY for a total of 19 minutes. They held a lead in both halves. With 8 minutes left in the game, KY actually was looking like they could lose the game outright. To do that on the road at Kentucky is impressive for a mid major school. Not to mention that KY was ranked #2 overall to start the season.For the Bulls, CJ Massinburg might be the best player in hoops that not many people might know. Did anyone know Khalil Mack when he played for the Buffalo Bulls? CJ dumped 43 points on the Mountaineers, had 14 rebounds(he&#x27;s a guard) and went 9/15 from the arc. That&#x27;s an insanely great performance. What are the chances he comes even close to duplicating that again? I&#x27;d be fine with half a stat line as good tonight. The rest of his team went 2/22 from the arc. SIU ranked #176 last year in 3pt attempts allowed at 21.7pg, at 33%. Vs KY they allowed only 14 attempts. So it looks like guarding the arc was a point of emphasis over the off season. All eyes will be on Massinburg no doubt.This SIU team returned their 4 last year&#x27;s top scorers. Like xxgambler mentioned, their center was out last year with injury and now he&#x27;s back. That gives them 2 capable bigs who should help the front court grab rebounds.THIS LINE OPENED SIU &#x2B;1.5  at betonline. I got SIU -0.19 by my nerdy #&#x27;s. It&#x27;s hard to quantify angles,HC, and other stuff into #&#x27;s but I&#x27;ve been tweaking those things for years. It most definitely isn&#x27;t always right.I didn&#x27;t see this line getting to 4.5 but it did. I&#x27;m ok with &#x2B;4 for -107 vig.Best of Luck

undermysac · Answer

[Quote: Originally Posted by Pho-20]  Bol sac opposite here but your prolly will come out with win.   [/Quote]Anything can happen Pho.If I had to make an argument for Buffalo there are plenty of areas to be confident in.You can say this team has major momentum right now, as opposed to the let down spot that might happen. They rolled the MAC last year, the MVC conference is fairly comparable. They beat Zona(albeit minus key players)They gave KY a ride at times in the tourney loss.It&#x27;s a long season brotha, and we will be wrong often. Let&#x27;s hope to be right at 55% or more

undermysac · Answer

ATS=10-5 (&#x2B;3.81)ML=2-0 (&#x2B;1.94)OVERALL (&#x2B;5.75)3-2 yesterday for &#x2B;0.88 units. Only regret was laying -120 on FSU, shoulda flat bet em in hindsight.GL everyone

venezolanisimo · Answer

i agree bol

mjm1012 · Answer

BOL

Sidewinder25 · Answer

With you on SIU

capskip · Answer

GOOD LUCK TONIGHT

undermysac · Answer

3. UIC Flames &#x2B;6.5(-105) *1.05/1.004. UIC Flames ML(&#x2B;240) *.25/.60Buy low, sell high.UIC is not living up to expectations and Duquesne looked good vs Bill n Mary.The Flames posted a better FG% than both of their opponents this year and still lost both games.They have been fouling a lot, some could say that they&#x27;ve been victimized by homer refs(FU Notre Dame). UIC had 28 fouls vs the Irish&#x27;s 21. ND went 36/38 from the charity stripe. So, it could happen again otr vs the Dukes...Or, they can clean up their game and give it a concerted effort to avoid an 0-3 start to the year. Or, Duquesne won&#x27;t shoot 94.7% from the stripe. This game will show me a lot about UIC&#x27;s character. If they don&#x27;t cover they get put on the "can&#x27;t bet list"Where&#x27;s the discount? UIC was &#x2B;4.5 to Radford, who are rated a tick under Duquesne by KP, 158 and 159. Now I can get &#x2B;6.5(-105) or &#x2B;7(-110)? I know what happened in past games is a just cause to upgrade or downgrade a team. Often though, things revert back to expectations. Especially in a desperate spot which UIC finds themselves in.UIC returned 3 starters and last year&#x27;s Horizon 6-man of the year.Meanwhile the Dukes returned only 1 Senior(non starter), returned only 2 starters, and have 11 new players(tied for 3rd most in the ncaa) They beat William&amp;Mary by 14 as 3.5 favs. In the 2H of that game they shot 62% from the field.I&#x27;ll pay to see if they can do it again vs a desperate team with more experience on their side. Like I said, I think this is a game where we learn A LOT about both teams. Most would pass and I can&#x27;t argue that. But I would definitely not play the Dukes here.Best of Luck

shakey12381 · Answer

good luck tonight sac

tripodd17 · Answer

I have done well betting SIU in the past. Interesting matchup tonight but I may have to roll with Buffalo. Anyways BOL tonight

undermysac · Answer

5. Morgan St &#x2B;23.5(-105) *.75/.71I liked their athleticism vs Villanova. Gave them fits at times. Lost by 23, maybe they get up for a good school again? At least not anyone named St-Francis.6. Stanford &#x2B;18(-110) *.75/.68Lots of history between both coaches. The Tree stayed at Wilmington to avoid suicide travel. Sometimes a trip like this brings a young bunch of players together. Was the loss of Reid Travis really a big deal? He&#x27;s not doing sh*t on Kentucky.That should be all. GL everyone

undermysac · Answer

WVU went from 13th to out, and Buffalo is now #25 in the AP Poll.Careful...

marcig · Answer

Read an article about that and Roy said he liked the idea , it’s good for both schools he said , it’s a win win. He would like to see it more often.

But your right , most coaches avoid it like the plague. Lol

BOL Sac

undermysac · Answer

7. UTSA &#x2B;9.5(-115) *.75/.65Gonna see if coach Steve Henson can gameplan vs his master Lon Kruger here. He spent a long time as an assistant under him.Tread lightly, utsa lost to a division II school in their first game.Final Plays

IAdecimal5 · Answer

Sac....killing it my friend.....

PapaShango · Answer

Fletcher out for SIU tonight.

undermysac · Answer

F*ckin aye, I didn&#x27;t hear anything about this...

BIGDTITLE · Answer

31-27 at half......still very much in this without him.    BOL

undermysac · Answer

8. San Diego &#x2B;9.5(-110) *1.10/1.00Playing one of my leans^Wouldn&#x27;t of played SIU if I knew Fletcher was out, late scratch I guess. Should of bought out 2H the way the end of the 1H ended.UIC ML gets moosed on 2 missed free throws by Otey with 17 seconds left in regulation.Tree pushesMorgan st is toast. Can&#x27;t wait to fade DePaul once BigEast play begins.GL

Sac's Monday NCAA Hoops

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