20-18 TOTALS(-.61) 3 unit plays 4-0
= +23.67
5-15 PARLAY(-1.64) Future:WVU(+10000) *.05/5.0
0-4 TEASER(-6.3)
1-3 2H(-3.09)
1-0 LIVE(+1.00)
= -10.03
OVERALL+13.64 UNITS
6-6 last 12 -.32 units
1. West Virginia-4(-110) *2/1.82 units
C'mon bookies really? I guess I'll be pondering all night and day why I took this "too good to be true" line...Are the books really thinking that the Red Raiders record is fooling anyone for this matchup?
Texas Tech is 9-0 and 3-2 ATS at home this year. 4 games with no spread...you guys know what that means. Here's the 9 teams they've played at home:
Houston Baptist, North Texas, Eastern Kentucky, Idaho State, Incarnate World, Rice, UTSA, Nicholls State, and the ever threatening Longwood.
According to Kenpom, the Red Raiders have faced the 344th ranked OppD.
In comes Press Virginia's 5th ranked D. This press has only gotten better each year since Huggy installed it. In their last 5 meetings with Texas Tech they have won by(from furthest to most recent)
6, 11, 19, 14, 22.
Those were against Tubby Smith coached teams. First year coach Chris Beard has inherited 6 seniors. They've seen this press before, and the team has experience. But Beard has changed their philosophy on offense. They run that slow a s s motion offense. This was the bomb with a longer shot clock where you'd work the defense to death until someone got open.
Against WVU they will be spending half their time trying to get the ball out off the back court. That motion O will have only half a shot clock to work with at best. And in a game where you are most likely playing catch up, a slow tempo can be a killer.
Devil's advocate...West Virginia has also had a poor SOS. Yes, by the ratings and such they have. But they have quality wins vs good teams while obliterating the weaker comp.
WVU is 2-0 suats on the road. Beating Virginia by 9, and Okie State by 17. Only 2 road games so far means that they are not road weary due to travel.
*FYI that West Virginia future is now down to +3300 *they play Baylor in 8 days, can't wait to see that one.
BOLTA