First post since winning the
Illinois / Chaminade Under on 11/20
Play: San Jose St / Kansas Under 137
FEAR THE
PHOG
It’s no
secret that Kansas teams have played defense under Bill Self. In fact, not one
Jayhawk team has ranked outside of the top 10 in adjusted defensive efficiency
since 2005. But digging a little deeper, we see that non conference opponents
visiting Lawrence have struggled even more.Going back to last year, non-conf
opponents have only been able to muster the following points per possession:
0.78, 0.73, 0.65, 1.00, 0.94, 0.49, 0.82, 0.75, and 0.82 (average 0.78).
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
YTD: 4-1-1
2011-'12: 34-23
2010-'11: 2-3-1
2009-'10: 14-7
First post since winning the
Illinois / Chaminade Under on 11/20
Play: San Jose St / Kansas Under 137
FEAR THE
PHOG
It’s no
secret that Kansas teams have played defense under Bill Self. In fact, not one
Jayhawk team has ranked outside of the top 10 in adjusted defensive efficiency
since 2005. But digging a little deeper, we see that non conference opponents
visiting Lawrence have struggled even more.Going back to last year, non-conf
opponents have only been able to muster the following points per possession:
0.78, 0.73, 0.65, 1.00, 0.94, 0.49, 0.82, 0.75, and 0.82 (average 0.78).
Tonight they face a San Jose St team with an adj off eff of 0.949 ppp (#257). This doesn't bode well for the Spartans as KU has yet to allow more than 0.89 ppp to an opponent this year (with the exception of Michigan St.)
And with both teams playing at an "average" pace (SJSt 66.7 poss, KU 67.7 poss, national average 66.8 poss), I can't see San Jose St scoring more than 55 points tonight. In a game no one expects to be close (line is KU -27), there will be no motivation for the Jayhawks to keep their foot pressed on the gas. In fact, KU is actually averaging 2.0 pts less scored in the second half than first this season. And I can see the flow going just as it did last week in a game vs Washington St where Kansas coasted to a 78-41 win after leading 50-21 at the half
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Issues copying and pasting today...apologies
write up continued:
Tonight they face a San Jose St team with an adj off eff of 0.949 ppp (#257). This doesn't bode well for the Spartans as KU has yet to allow more than 0.89 ppp to an opponent this year (with the exception of Michigan St.)
And with both teams playing at an "average" pace (SJSt 66.7 poss, KU 67.7 poss, national average 66.8 poss), I can't see San Jose St scoring more than 55 points tonight. In a game no one expects to be close (line is KU -27), there will be no motivation for the Jayhawks to keep their foot pressed on the gas. In fact, KU is actually averaging 2.0 pts less scored in the second half than first this season. And I can see the flow going just as it did last week in a game vs Washington St where Kansas coasted to a 78-41 win after leading 50-21 at the half
Two online forecasting sites have it 142 and 138 points respectively.
Don't know how much you follow riccio but he is his own forecasting site. When I see him on an under I usually bet 2 units. He likes the overs but his under plays are money more times than not.
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Quote Originally Posted by Raidermex:
Two online forecasting sites have it 142 and 138 points respectively.
Don't know how much you follow riccio but he is his own forecasting site. When I see him on an under I usually bet 2 units. He likes the overs but his under plays are money more times than not.
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