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Saturday 2/4 CBB Plays

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Posted: #1
2011-2012 YTD: 219-169 (+44.7 units)
Thursday: 4-1

Before I get into my leans for Saturday, I'll mention that I'm playing Yale -2 tonight against Penn. Not gonna do a writeup unless someone is greatly interested, but I do like the Bulldogs quite a bit this evening.

Leans and projected spreads forthcoming momentarily...

 
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Posted: #2
Yale it is no write up needed.  
 
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Posted: #3

Nice job yesterday. I tailed you on BYU (both bets) and tailed riccio on total. Good times for the bankroll.

 
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Posted: #4
Projected Spreads:

South Florida +10.5 @ Georgetown
Syracuse -12.5 @ St. John's
Charlotte @ Fordham +3.5
Arkansas @ LSU -4
Baylor @ Oklahoma State +8.5
Arizona @ Stanford -3
Penn State +8 @ Iowa
North Carolina @ Maryland +11.5
Clemson +5 @ Virginia Tech
New Mexico @ Boise State +9.5
Middle Tennessee @ Denver -1.5
Santa Clara +6 @ San Diego
UMASS -2.5 @ George Washington
Northeastern +14 @ VCU
UL-Lafayette @ Troy +3
Idaho +9 @ Nevada
Indiana State +15 @ Wichita State
Iona -1 @ Manhattan
Tennessee State +2.5 @ SE Missouri State

These are the games in which I have some varying degree of interest, primarily from a situational angle.

Comments/discussion welcomed.


 
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Posted: #5
I really like LSU and Denver at those numbers.
 
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Posted: #6
Not greatly interested but I'm hearing due to strength of sched penn is the play. The ivys arent my strength so I wanted to hear your take. Home court and big man? Thanks and BoL
 
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Absolutely fascinating article by Pomeroy on the best actual home court advantages. Great read especially for those who do not give proper credence to the impact of altitude and elevation...

https://insider.espn.go.com/ncb/conversations/_/id/7532021/ken-pomeroy-best-home-court-advantage-kansas-kentucky-duke-ncb
 
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Posted: #8
Quote Originally Posted by Grinder33:

Not greatly interested but I'm hearing due to strength of sched penn is the play. The ivys arent my strength so I wanted to hear your take. Home court and big man? Thanks and BoL


I've seen a bunch of Penn games this year and do think they're actually the slightly better team. But the Quakers are brutally undersized on the frontline and have no answer for Greg Mangano. The other main point is that Penn swept the series last season and Yale trails the Quakers by half a game right now in the Ivy standings. Penn got over a HUGE mountain on Monday night in beating Princeton, their biggest rival and recent kryptonite. I think Yale plays like the more motivated team tonight, particularly on its own floor. The blowout loss to Harvard was embarrassing, but they regrouped with a win over Dartmouth the following night and have had nearly a full week to prepare for Penn.
 
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Posted: #9
I would be a buyer of OK State at +8.5
 
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Posted: #10
Troy and Okie State are on my radar and would like those numbers.
 
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Posted: #11

Clemson takes an unusually high percentage of 3 point shots, and few if any teams defend the perimeter better than VA Tech. People will be down on this team after the Duke disappointment, but I'll run to lay 5 on them against these Clemson clowns if the line comes out that low.

 
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Posted: #12
What is your projected line for Creighton and UNI?
 
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Posted: #13
Jfenn any thoughts on Siena and Clevend state game. I'm gonna do a ml parlay w an nba game that I really like but can't decide. Sienna is tough at home while Clevend state is away and needs to win to stay atop while their not that good on the road. Any thoughts would b greatly appreciated. Thanks.
 
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Posted: #14
Fordham, playing well at home, getting 3.5 would be nice. Important game for them if they want to make the A10 tourney
 
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Posted: #15
Quote Originally Posted by BluejayBuckets:

What is your projected line for Creighton and UNI?


Creighton -3.5

UNI's home court gets a lot of respect from the oddsmakers.
 
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Posted: #16
Cuse/St Johns   With Fab Melo back.  St Johns inability to shoot the 3.  And Cuse's track record in the Garden.  I think they are gonna play their A game and win by 20 or more. 
 
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Posted: #17
Quote Originally Posted by njnspigly:

Jfenn any thoughts on Siena and Clevend state game. I'm gonna do a ml parlay w an nba game that I really like but can't decide. Sienna is tough at home while Clevend state is away and needs to win to stay atop while their not that good on the road. Any thoughts would b greatly appreciated. Thanks.


I mean, Loyola is pretty bad, but they had a full week to prepare. Cleveland State is in the middle of a 3-game road swing and got some big revenge against Youngstown in a blowout on Saturday. Weird game, but the Vikings should certainly win.

I'd feel more comfortable with them than Siena.
 
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Quote Originally Posted by larrsjohnson23:

Cuse/St Johns   With Fab Melo back.  St Johns inability to shoot the 3.  And Cuse's track record in the Garden.  I think they are gonna play their A game and win by 20 or more. 


Pretty much covers my angles. I also like that Syracuse will have ample opportunities to score with their devastating transition game and might get 20+ offensive rebounds against the Johnnies' zone. Expecting St. John's to make jump shots against the 'Cuse D is not reasonable.
 
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Posted: #19
Lines popping up now...
 
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Posted: #20
Syracuse -12.5 @ St. John's
Arkansas @ LSU -3
 
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Posted: #21
If I get that line on LSU it will be a 2 unit play for me.
 
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Posted: #22
BOL tonight bro
 
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Posted: #23
Was really excited to see the Iona line. 

I am no longer excited.

Fack.
 
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Posted: #24
Middle Tennessee @ Denver PK
UMASS PK @ George Washington

Lines are sooooo tight. Yikes.

Those four are it until tonight/tomorrow.
 
 
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Posted: #25
Yacker- Might be for me as well. I wanted to get a unit down on that -3 and see where the lines goes.

Neil- Agreed. That came out of left field. I thought I might've been reaching by making Iona a slight fave. Apparently not.





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