serious question about loyola vs illini

i absolutely love this illinois team, i’ve watched them a whole lot over the past two seasons.. one of my picks to get to the final four. 

my question is if kofi cockburn gets into early foul trouble, which is pretty common for him.. does loyola have a chance to keep this game within reach and cover the spread?

i typically bet straight sometimes 2 teamers so for me the value is on loyola with points and not illinois ML. 

thoughts? 

on a somewhat related note, isnt it concerning everyone loves Illnois today?

There are enough mismatches to still win even without kofi for his normal 25-30

@SharpeBettor

 
62% of tickets on Loyola Chicago

@SharpeBettor

 Well. line just went to 6 1/2 so somebody liking Loy

Georgi B won’t miss a beat, and he is a backup to Kofi!

@GustavoFring

 maybe a rookie question but isnt % of money more important than % of tickets? but if the spread has dropped than perhaps more money is on Loyola too..

He was just pointing out that not everyone is on Illinois as an earlier poster suggested.

i didn't dispute that at all I bet he's right but the general consensus on this forum is that Illnois will win and cover and historically when the whole forum is on one side it spells trouble

Your good on Illinois. Brad Underwood is a great coach been following him since his SFA(Stephen F. Austin) days. He will have his troops ready to go. 

thanks for all the feedback guys! i appreciate it, i’m aware of where the %’s are for this game.. this is just me wanting action on the first game of the day... 

i always come back to “vegas doesn’t care about who we think should win and they’re most likely rooting against our favorites.” 

I don't think Kofi has been getting into early foul trouble this year, in years past yes.

List us too please everytime your theory has panned at too while you are at.

Illinois is the better team.  I don’t want to take a team and hope they don’t get creamed.  Its Illinois or no bet for me.

@carl42

Worked great for me a few nights ago with UCLA and Boise state, if you think fading the public doesn’t work you need to give your brain a shake 

Yoiu can't cherry pick a night it worked for you and on just TWO games. Give me break

My buddy booked all dogs this morning. Small sample but pretty big betscin the $1000s are taking points.  All are above the dreaded 5, 5.5. He got a lot of 1st half bets on the dogs more than the full games as the Favs are usually deeper and stronger and make their runs in the 2nd half unless they come out with their ass on fire like Colorado, Wisconsin and Syracuse did.  

The real source? Contests on the internet are the source of those ticket counts and $ handles - just like the Covers contests. It's not real money, not real tickets.

There is not one single bookmaker giving this information out to the general public. Think about. Do you really think the Westgate or Pinnacle or Heritage or the Mirage are opening up their books and broadcasting it to "vegasMeatballs.com" or wherever these gullible Covers posters are getting this info?

There is a sucker born every minute and the level of foolishness needed to believe you are getting real info is pretty high. Only a fool actually thinks this is real info sourced from real sports books.

But if you are still willing to gamble after that do take the Under 1H in the Wisconsin/Baylor match up.

@barneybeans

 Exactly I was going to say this earlier... those numbers are bogus Lol who really wants to trust those numbers. I don’t, I base it off of sentiment 

Keep laughing Carl how’s your Illnois bet looking 

Where does it say I took Illinois? If I had, I'd be fine with it. People like you call games well before they are over. Another thing that shows how clueless you truly are

"SharpeBettor" 

"Well gosh, what is the public doing Carl?"  Signed Sharpebettor

Classic, you chirp my take but you had no skin in the game, get a life you loser