.....here we have a Stanford team comming off of their 2nd highest scoring point total (92) of the year, 5 str8 OVERS and WINS...this team as of now offense average about 70 ppg.
As u read the following, u will see i am showing u the o/u's set for the last 5 games and the opposing teams defensive PPG ranking...
1.) Ill St ranked #138 in DPPG - O/U 138 - Score=92-88 W
2.) Cle St. ranked #22 in DPPG - O/U 130 - Score=76-65 W
3.) Cal ranked #46 in DPPG - O/U 132.5 - Score=71-77 L(but still hung over 70)
4.) Az St ranked #156 in DPPG(horrible)**note they are ranked #306 in scoring pts per game - O/U 123 - Score=85-65 W(they let a team ranked in the 300's score over 65?!?!?! LOL)
5.Cal(again) O/U 130.5 - Score 75-70 W
...so, what do all these last 5 OVERS have in common? No matter how good or bad the D is, Stanford has scored Over 70 each time, also letting the opponent score 65 or higher.
Then on the other hand, we have Nevada, who is ranked around the 100's in PPG scored and DPPG...now after looking over their last 5 games, they have needed to score OVER 60 points to win, except for 1 game, against St Jose St(ranked #305 in DPPG) (54-44) W....
Now.....the system says this total, based off of these 2 teams(can't reveal the factors going into it,sorry)...should be 157.5-158! ....really, come on and the lines makers set it @ 138! Kidding, right?!?! (bonus: game line should be a pick em') and 1 of the public's darlings; Nevada is getting 6.5, which came out @ 5.5 and went up, yet Nev getting pounded....another WOW.
...this was looks like it was set to get equal action on each side, but as of right now 78% of bettors are banking on that over-hitting, while more so the bettors money is going on Nevada covering the spread as well. With the spread and total set where they are and getting the info from my system my belief is Stanford wins comfortably and this game stays under the total.
Nevada/Stanford Under 138(BIG PLAY)
Stanford -6(SMALL)
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
READ CAREFULLY.
.....here we have a Stanford team comming off of their 2nd highest scoring point total (92) of the year, 5 str8 OVERS and WINS...this team as of now offense average about 70 ppg.
As u read the following, u will see i am showing u the o/u's set for the last 5 games and the opposing teams defensive PPG ranking...
1.) Ill St ranked #138 in DPPG - O/U 138 - Score=92-88 W
2.) Cle St. ranked #22 in DPPG - O/U 130 - Score=76-65 W
3.) Cal ranked #46 in DPPG - O/U 132.5 - Score=71-77 L(but still hung over 70)
4.) Az St ranked #156 in DPPG(horrible)**note they are ranked #306 in scoring pts per game - O/U 123 - Score=85-65 W(they let a team ranked in the 300's score over 65?!?!?! LOL)
5.Cal(again) O/U 130.5 - Score 75-70 W
...so, what do all these last 5 OVERS have in common? No matter how good or bad the D is, Stanford has scored Over 70 each time, also letting the opponent score 65 or higher.
Then on the other hand, we have Nevada, who is ranked around the 100's in PPG scored and DPPG...now after looking over their last 5 games, they have needed to score OVER 60 points to win, except for 1 game, against St Jose St(ranked #305 in DPPG) (54-44) W....
Now.....the system says this total, based off of these 2 teams(can't reveal the factors going into it,sorry)...should be 157.5-158! ....really, come on and the lines makers set it @ 138! Kidding, right?!?! (bonus: game line should be a pick em') and 1 of the public's darlings; Nevada is getting 6.5, which came out @ 5.5 and went up, yet Nev getting pounded....another WOW.
...this was looks like it was set to get equal action on each side, but as of right now 78% of bettors are banking on that over-hitting, while more so the bettors money is going on Nevada covering the spread as well. With the spread and total set where they are and getting the info from my system my belief is Stanford wins comfortably and this game stays under the total.
Are you saying you're on the under simply cause the line is suspiciously low? Your own system says high 150's so how do you not take the value in that 20 point difference?
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Are you saying you're on the under simply cause the line is suspiciously low? Your own system says high 150's so how do you not take the value in that 20 point difference?
Are you saying you're on the under simply cause the line is suspiciously low? Your own system says high 150's so how do you not take the value in that 20 point difference?
+1
Looks like a serious case of reverse logic to me.
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Quote Originally Posted by j-walk:
Are you saying you're on the under simply cause the line is suspiciously low? Your own system says high 150's so how do you not take the value in that 20 point difference?
Now.....the system says this total, based off of these 2 teams(can't reveal the factors going into it,sorry)...should be 157.5-158! ....really, come on and the lines makers set it @ 138! Kidding, right?!?!
...this was looks like it was set to get equal action on each side,but as of right now 78% of bettors are banking on that over-hitting,
Dude you sold me on the over so I just want to clarify this, I bolded your only 2 reasons you made towards your actual under bet. Your first reason is based simply on odds makers setting a low line. Your second reason is because majority is on the over but if you look the line has moved towards that percentage so there's nothing suspicious going on there. So all in all, you're throwing out all the stats and betting this cause the line is suspicious to you?
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Quote Originally Posted by FR3SH-like-UgHH:
thanks guys.
Quote Originally Posted by FR3SH-like-UgHH:
Now.....the system says this total, based off of these 2 teams(can't reveal the factors going into it,sorry)...should be 157.5-158! ....really, come on and the lines makers set it @ 138! Kidding, right?!?!
...this was looks like it was set to get equal action on each side,but as of right now 78% of bettors are banking on that over-hitting,
Dude you sold me on the over so I just want to clarify this, I bolded your only 2 reasons you made towards your actual under bet. Your first reason is based simply on odds makers setting a low line. Your second reason is because majority is on the over but if you look the line has moved towards that percentage so there's nothing suspicious going on there. So all in all, you're throwing out all the stats and betting this cause the line is suspicious to you?
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