Bottom line State needs this game really really bad. They should’ve won this past Saturday and collapsed in the final few minutes of the second half loosing to K. St. I didn’t like Okie.St @ home against K.St because, of the matchup, I didn’t wager that game but, if I did, I would’ve won. K.ST and Baylors defense is night and day. Baylor has a very hard time defending inside the arch. They rank somewhere in the bottom 300 nationally in 2 pt defense FG %. State can score inside the arch against Baylor especially with Cisse in rotation who missed the first game these two teams played. He’s a force down low, and will crest problems for Baylor who is already undersized. K. George is Baylor’s second best defender and he uses 30 % of all their offensive possessions, he is out tonight. Their chemistry won’t be the same on the road without him. Baylor is 3-5-1 ATS on the road, while State is 9-6 ATS @ home. Baylor is almost better every where on offense but, without George, they will not be as efficient. On defense, which I love . State is hands down dominating in just about every statistical category. Baylor is ranked 229th in Effective FG defense @ 51.1 % , where State ranks 20th @ 46.1 %. In true shooting defense Baylor ranks 183rd @ 54.7 % , where State ranks 33rd @ 50.7 %. Huge difference. The public has been pounding Baylor all day long and the spread has not moved in their direction. Baylor has a terrible rating on the road where they rank 359th in the country rating @ - 3.71, where State is very strong @ home rating @ + 2.38 39th nationally. George averages 16.3 pts per game, they will not replace his offense or defense playing against a team in a revenge mind set, and desperate for a win. They have to prove that their good enough to go dancing this year. Also Baylor just beat their state rival on Saturday, where they shot 47% from 3. That is a lot of emotions to endure that day. Then get on a airplane without a key player, and get up for a team in desperation. The Big 12 has the highest home win % in the nation @ a 65% win %. State + 1.5 1200/1000. GL to us all…
Let’s go !!
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