Posted:
#1
November: 46-38, +5.20
November Leans: 39-38
December: 65-70, -9.45
December Leans: 67-79
January: 52-39, +15.80
January Leans: 40-37
February: 63-44, +65.90
February Leans: 56-49
March: 62-43, +84.35
March Leans: 42-37
The two games on Sunday really come down to a simple two-word question.
What if?
Baylor/Kentucky
Coming into this tournament, I wrote down five teams who could give Kentucky problems:
Syracuse
Ohio State
Baylor
Louisville
Wichita State
That's it. Syracuse came before Melo. Wichita State came on the belief of having an experienced team who could knock down shots, and some decent size. Ohio State, well, you have tournament experience and some decent shooting. Louisville, again, prep time, and revenge. Which leads me to Baylor. Before I get into this, realize this, yes, I believe Kentucky is the best team in the country. They have the best starting five of any team, they have the most future NBA players and all that jazz, and yes, they are probably the most verstaile and well-rounded team this tournament has to offer. What I'm going after is value. Always will, always have, always and always. This is like those certain occassions where you find yourself at the OTB or the horsetrack. Should I take the easy way out and hit the horse that's 1/8...no way he can lose right? That's not me. I find that sliver of hope, the itsy bitsy teeniest ounce of value in another horse. whether it's the jockey, the trainer, the fact that the horse just put blinkers on, the fact that the horse is due for a big payday, whatever. Thus, Baylor holds value. As I've mentioned, Kentucky is pretty damn good. They exploit teams not only with their athleticism, but the size advantage they hold on teams at just about every position is a tremendous advantage, and an advantage they've lived up to on the year. That sort of changes with Baylor. And here comes the What if? What if Scott Drew plays man to man? Baylor will lose by a ton. No other explanation, if Drew comes out in a man-to-man as he has exhibited the past few games, Baylor doesn't hold an ounce of value. None. Zilch. Zero. Nada. Capiche. Rip it up, and move on. But, if he can come out in a zone, which also goes back to a heavier emphasis on Louisville and Pitino and my knowledge of what he'll do in these types of situations already having gone through it once this year, Baylor should have a chance to come out victorious. Really, it's that simple. IF, and I stress, the IF, Baylor can play zone, they will have a chance. When a team goes zone, and Kentucky hasn't seen all that much of it this year, it neutralizes...
0
Hot Forum Topics
