System Play Alert Tomorrow (Wed Feb 24th)

Hey Guys,
If you read the thread about the new system I developed (in a nutshell you bet against home favorites of more than 6 points if they are ranking #180 or worst by kenpom - see my system alert thread for more), you know its 28-9 with 11 straight-up moneyline wins since Feb 13th. 

Please keep in mind that we don't know how the system is affected by "Senior Night"/the final home game of the season.  My hypothesis is that it would negatively affect the system and the win percentage will drop.  However, it is 1-0 so far in this situation with Samford losing straight up as 10 pt favorites Monday. 

Again, depending on how this week goes, next season this system will be played from approx. Feb 12-20th OR we will extend it to the end of the season if the "Senior Night" angle doesn't negatively influence it.  

Anyway, that was a long winded way of saying that there is a system play tomorrow and its playing AGAINST Davidson -12.5 at home against UNC Greensboro.  On the surface (without my normal deeper research yet) I love the play as UNC Greensboro has only been beaten by DD in conference play once against a bottom level opponent (Chatt beat them by 13).  Just wanted you guys to be aware if you want to keep riding this system out, I will make an alert play on it if I jump on board (in fact I am almost sure I will be on this play tomorrow).

 

 like it

like it davidson has been so overvalued by the oddsmaker this year

Absolutely love it, however I won't play it, hahaha

BOL bud

I am posting in this thread so I can remember it for 2moro.  Thanks.

HAHAHAHA - was thinking the same thing myself!  Gotta look deeper, there will be no blindly playing the system until next season for sure

 Interesting thoughts

Followed your system plays and have done well, blindly following at +13.5 for one unit BOL to us

+14 on pinnacle.

Thanks for the heads up. I'm on board

GL

wonder if Vegas has caught on to your system?

they lost by 18 at Wofford!

Right, I said they lost by DD once to a BOTTOM LEVEL OPPONENT, Wofford killed them twice actually, but Davidson is not Wofford.

And you do understand that on this 28-9 run, you could have pointed to an example of how each of teams that covered the 28 times, how bad loses on their resume right?

For what it's worth..I run a system with a combo of three different filters and I have this play hitting as well. It is not a strong play in my system, but my line is 10.5

Very nice work  

I thought UNC Greensboro fit this! 

Greensboro +13 i take this one and put all money in, i like it