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The Falcon's Model

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Posts: 693
 
Prospect
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Joined: Oct, 2017
Posts: 58
Posted: #351

Trust the Falcon !

 
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Posted: #352
Quote Originally Posted by Lawton1:

Falcon's Model
20-8 (+$5625)
71.43% Winners

CBB 12-4
NHL 6-3
NFL 2-0
NBA 0-1

Wednesday Dec 27

Syracuse Over 135
$550 to win $500

Bonus NHL play
Islanders Over 5.5 (-120)
$600 to win $500



Falcon

I am all over Syracuse OVER....really like the play.

NHL game is up to 6....will wait to see if it comes back to 5.5.  Would never bet NHL total OVER needing 7 to win.  That is just me though.... BOL!!!

 
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Posted: #353
Total for Syracuse game opened at 149 1/2 at 5 Dimes ... helluva drop.
 
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Posted: #354

Locked in at 134.5. Ready for a bounce back. 5.5 at-120 as well earlier. 

 
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Posted: #355

I like the syracuse over @135.  Let's get em Falcon!

 
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Posted: #356
I locked in at 136 
 
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Posted: #357
this is done already.
 
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Posted: #358

Syracuse shooting 20% , hopefully they will get hot

 
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Posts: 69
Posted: #359
How do you go 4 minutes without scoring a single point?
 
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Posted: #360

Syracuse 48 points @half !!! sad

Hopefully an OT new_angel

 

 
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Posted: #361
Quote Originally Posted by vicshap:

this is done already.


Wait for it.................

 
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Posted: #362
needs  2OT
 
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Posted: #363
nhl over not looking good either. went extra large on both bets lol just my luck
 
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Posted: #364
At this rate ....

We need quad ot. 

Hahahaha 

If the three balls fall in the second half we have a chance. 

If they do t. Then go isles
 
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Posted: #365
Quote Originally Posted by dick747:



Wait for it.................

wait for what?
 
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Posted: #366
How do you play division 1 basketball and not score a single basket in 6 minutes that is insane 
 
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Posted: #367
I need to quit gambling
 
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Posted: #368
Keep it rollin buddy, one day means nothing. 
 
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Posted: #369

Agreed King! Losses happen, time to move on. 

 
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Posted: #370
Thursday Dec 28

Jacksonville St Over 133
$550 to win $500


Falcons Model
20-10 (+$4475)


Falcon
 
Prospect
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Joined: Dec, 2017
Posts: 199
Posted: #371
Hey Lawton, 

I'm just curious and trying to help as well: Do you apply your model to all the games on the board and then post the best pick? I was just wondering if you plugged in all the games as so many overs hit yesterday and Syracuse was one of the few unders that hit. 
 
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Posted: #372
Gl tonight Falcon
 
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Posted: #373
Quote Originally Posted by nikon:

nhl over not looking good either. went extra large on both bets lol just my luck

nikon....'just your luck" ..don't think your special ... it happens to all of us, just so happens to jump on the wrong time .....
 
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Posted: #374
Quote Originally Posted by Lawton1:

Thursday Dec 28

Jacksonville St Over 133
$550 to win $500


Falcons Model
20-10 (+$4475)


Falcon

I think it looks like a solid play, based on each teams performance YTD, but it does go against some very strong trends.

Last 3 times they have met in 2016/2017 they scored 109, 130 and 133 points.

RECENT TRENDS

EASTERN KENTUCKY:

JACKSONVILLE ST.:

·         Under is 9-2 in EKY last 11 Thu. games.
 

·         Under is 22-5 in JVST last 27 vs. Ohio Valley.

·         Under is 13-4 in JVST last 17 home games.

While these trends don't seem to support an OVER play, both teams games this year have consistently been exceeding the 133 Total.  Possibly, both teams tighten up once conference play begins.  Hope not!

I am trying it.......BOL!

 
 
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Posted: #375
BOL Falcon!!
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