Thursday 151

well coming off a HUGE!!! night last night even hitting the Parlay don't get much better  to be honest we were 2 half points from being 13-1 last night  those type of days only come along 4-5 times a season  

going to take Tenn st -7 vs W.illinois  Tenn st won by 20 earlier at WIU, and WIU is only averaging 58 pts a game the last 3 games, just not real good,and they are giving up 70 a game last 3  and Tenn st is averaging 82 pts a game last 3 and giving up 78, and away WIU is avg 64 pts and giving up 72, and at home Tenn st is avg 81 and giving up 78, now personally I just do not see WIU scoring more than 66-67 pts here and I do think Tenn st can get close to their avg, one big thing also is that WIU is only avg 8 assist a game, that's not good ball movement, and Tenn st is avg 15 a game, and Tenn st is avg 10 more rebounds a game so they should control the boards in this one ...in the earlier 20 pt win Tenn st jumped out to a 20 pt halftime lead and held on to win by 20, by shooting 48% they both made the same amount of 3's and free throws were even , Tenn st last 3 are shooting 50% and WIU is just not shooting the ball well right now, and Tenn st is a better ft shooting team also here, I have this as a 12+ points win by Tenn st  too many things pointing that way, WIU would have to have a very big night in many ways , and Tenn st had a nice 4 game winning streak ended last game with a close loss 87-89 at SE Missouri , so coming home I think they take it out tonight on WIU  

Tenn st -7  1.5 units   like this to -9

@RUM151

 Looks like 

Good luck Rum.  

great write up.  Thanks RUM and BOL

Ate good with Illy St +4 and the over!!! Keep up the great work 

151 

Taking Jax st -1 vs MTSU  one thing about this is that I think this line is a bit low, so a little worry there, but I have reasoning for why I still like Jax st in this spot, Jax st is on a 6 game winning streak right now, and yes they lost at MTSU big 64-81, in that game Jax st had 16 to's and 11 of those were steals by MTSU that's crazy, and Jax st only shot 38% that game and only 26% from 3, Jax st rebounded well that game, took the same amount of ft's so it was turnovers and poor shooting, but they have won 6 STR and that loss was their last loss, and I think that is going to be key in this game, I am sure Jax st remembers that loss, and I know they want nothing more than to get payback for that , and they are 9-0 STR up at home this year and they will want to protect that for sure, and laying 1 point all they need to do is win, so I am counting on that to focus them in this game tonight  hopefully its motivation for them  , and since that loss Jax st has beaten 2 teams that have beaten MTSU also   

Jax st -1  1 unit 

Great job yesterday. Now I’ve got to re-handicap the leathernecks. They run such a slow pace offense and have actually played ok on the road, I thought there was some value in it anyway—solid work yesterday.

Farleigh Dickinson @ C Conn  CC has been a big favorite for bettors as I have been on them many times myself this year, but today I am going against and taking FD +10.5  -120  this FD team has won their last 4 on the road, but they have been a cover machine this year away and as a dog as they are 14-6 ats  this year and 9-1 ats after a loss, and are 12-2 ats away and 11-2 ats as an away dog this year, and 13-3 ats as a dog   those are solid trends, and I do have respect for CC for sure here as they are 15-5 ats this year and 10-4 ats as a favorite, but are just 3-2 ats as a home favorite this year, so I am thinking FD may have a little confidence after winning last 4 on the road, and am just looking for them to play well tonight and stay in this and get me a cover here , I mean someone has to take them..lol and CC has only been shooting the 3 at 20% last 3 games also, and FD last 3 is shooting 47% and 31% from 3  so if they can score 65 points they should cover here  

F Dickinson +10.5 -120 HardRock   1 unit 

GL 

Maryland at Ohio st I do favor Maryland in this spot, but I am going to go OVER in this game, both teams can score, and have ...Maryland last 3 games are avg 82 pts and giving up 72, and OHio st is avg 81 and 72    away Maryland is avg 79 and 75 and at home OSU is avg 85 and 67  I do think both teams go over 70+ tonight  I would even guess 72+ so the over 146 -120  I am thinking 151+ tonight  so not much over this total but it could get to 155 maybe  I think Maryland can win this game 78-75  was thinking going over TT here  but I'll find another game I think to try one of those ...Maryland is 5-1 OVER vs ranked teams  10-6 over after a win, 5-1 OVER away this year, 3-0 over as a dog this year,  also tonight Maryland has had about a week off and Ohio st is coming off a loss where they had a 6 pt lead at halftime, and then just got blitzed in the 2nd half by Illinois and they have to find a way to block that out, that's another reason why I favored Maryland tonight  but for now just the OVER 146 for me here   1.5 units 

over 146

N Florida has really been putting up the points, I mean its nothing for them to score 90, their TT tonight is 86.5  but they also give up points also , the total is 162 tonight in the bellarmine game and I am going to go over that number here, was going to play their TT  but I think this goes Over, Bellarmine just lost 80-87 at Lipscomb  I think this gets to 170 tonight   

Over 162 N Fla  1 unit 

OVER 82.5 TT S Dakota   these 2 play very high scoring games, last 2 meetings s.dakota has scored 90+   so I am going to try their TT here  its at 82.5  which seems fair   

Over 82.5 TT S.Dakota  1 unit

gl everyone   151

One NBA play  taking Houston +1 tonight   

fuckers  Maryland Ohio st was on their way to an over with that 1st half  then things just slowed down damnit   looks like a loser here

OVER 66.5 TT Youngstown  and again the TT was on the dog  so you then play the dog + points  or even better ML been working well 

Jax st winner   

I followed leventis on over 66.5 TT Youngstown   and then I sent out Youngstown +5 as my play  that's 3 in a row since I have been working this system  just something I noticed  and when I play a TT and its on a dog, then bet the dog if the TT wins the dog usually wins too 

No, I thought your Over was going to hit because OT looked likely, even if the scoring slowed down in the second half. I mean they let the guy shoot a 3-pointer with 7 seconds left, that was the dagger. 

NICE CALL on Tenn St.  Liked that one and your love for it made me pull the trigger at -7. Took the easy side with the ML, but you gave me the courage to go -7.  Thanks as always for sharing your knowledge. 

Rum great job on 

tenn state and jackson st had them both for 

$ 1000.00

thanks