Early game tomorrow 1pm taking Gardner Webb+2 at Charleston Southern, GW has had a rough go of it last 4-5 games, they should have had some wins, as they lost some very close games on the road and at home, they are coming off a win at home vs E Carolina, but before that they lost 86-81 in a game where they shot 50% to 37% but Ga southern had 18 more shots, because of 18 to's and they had more offensive boards, but they did shoot really well, but any teams that gets 20 more shots will win, then they lost 77-78 and they shot 54% to 43% but again had 8 fewer shots, then they lost 83-85 to Queens in a game where they shot 61% and 42% from 3 but Queens got 10 more ft's , this team is shooting really well right now, and the breaks have to go their way soon, so I am taking them here on the road where they have won the last 2 years, Southern is shooting just 41% and at home 41% and are avg just 64 pts at home, and GW is avg 72 away and 82 the last 3 games , Last 3 games Southern is avg 65 pts and giving up 80, just about what GW is avg they should win this game
G.Webb+2 1 unit
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Early game tomorrow 1pm taking Gardner Webb+2 at Charleston Southern, GW has had a rough go of it last 4-5 games, they should have had some wins, as they lost some very close games on the road and at home, they are coming off a win at home vs E Carolina, but before that they lost 86-81 in a game where they shot 50% to 37% but Ga southern had 18 more shots, because of 18 to's and they had more offensive boards, but they did shoot really well, but any teams that gets 20 more shots will win, then they lost 77-78 and they shot 54% to 43% but again had 8 fewer shots, then they lost 83-85 to Queens in a game where they shot 61% and 42% from 3 but Queens got 10 more ft's , this team is shooting really well right now, and the breaks have to go their way soon, so I am taking them here on the road where they have won the last 2 years, Southern is shooting just 41% and at home 41% and are avg just 64 pts at home, and GW is avg 72 away and 82 the last 3 games , Last 3 games Southern is avg 65 pts and giving up 80, just about what GW is avg they should win this game
also today going to go OVER 152 -120 in the St Thomas/ND st game, both these teams can score, and both play a lot of overs...I also kind of favor St Thomas here +3 this team just lost as UC Riverside in a game they should have won, it went to OT, and they had a 4 pt lead with 48 sec's left and had a bad turnover but UCR tied it on 4 ft's , and St Thomas missed a layup at the end to win it, but I think the Over is the better play here, just based on what ND St has been scoring lately too, st thomas is 9-2-1 OVER this year and ND st is 9-3 over, they are 4-0 over at home and St Thomas is 5-2 over away this year, last 3 games St Thomas is avg 83 pts and last 3 ND st is avg 86 pts a game, away st Thomas is avg 79.4 pts and giving up 74 and ND st at home is avg 85.5 pts and giving up 67, st Thomas will score more than 67, this game should end up at about 160-164 so its an OVER play for me here
OVER 152 1 unit
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also today going to go OVER 152 -120 in the St Thomas/ND st game, both these teams can score, and both play a lot of overs...I also kind of favor St Thomas here +3 this team just lost as UC Riverside in a game they should have won, it went to OT, and they had a 4 pt lead with 48 sec's left and had a bad turnover but UCR tied it on 4 ft's , and St Thomas missed a layup at the end to win it, but I think the Over is the better play here, just based on what ND St has been scoring lately too, st thomas is 9-2-1 OVER this year and ND st is 9-3 over, they are 4-0 over at home and St Thomas is 5-2 over away this year, last 3 games St Thomas is avg 83 pts and last 3 ND st is avg 86 pts a game, away st Thomas is avg 79.4 pts and giving up 74 and ND st at home is avg 85.5 pts and giving up 67, st Thomas will score more than 67, this game should end up at about 160-164 so its an OVER play for me here
Illinois st @ Murray st I did a write up on the Illinois st game last time , and they were the #1 shooting team and very high on 3 points shooting also, yet they lost at home to a good U of Illinois Chicago team, and I looked back at the box score of that loss where they lost by 6 and they did everything right in that game, only 5 to's rebounded well, each team same amount of shots, same amount of ft's but UIC shot 46% and shot 47% from 3 , and Illinois st shot just 39% and only 23% from 3 so that's how they lost, just a bad night of shooting, I think they bounce back today getting 6 points at Murray st, this should be a very close game, Murray is 4-1 STR up at home, 3-1 STR up as a home fav, but are just 1-3 ats at home, and 2-5 ats as a favorite, and 1-3 ats as a home favorite, and are 1-4-1 ats after a win, and Illinois st is 3-1 STR up after a loss, and are 4-0 ats after a loss, and are 3-0 ats away this year, and are 7-1 ats as a dog( yes 7-1 ats as a dog) last 4 times these 2 have played the games were all within 4 points, I will take the 6 here this line will most likely drop a little no injuries
Illinois st +6 1.5 units
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Illinois st @ Murray st I did a write up on the Illinois st game last time , and they were the #1 shooting team and very high on 3 points shooting also, yet they lost at home to a good U of Illinois Chicago team, and I looked back at the box score of that loss where they lost by 6 and they did everything right in that game, only 5 to's rebounded well, each team same amount of shots, same amount of ft's but UIC shot 46% and shot 47% from 3 , and Illinois st shot just 39% and only 23% from 3 so that's how they lost, just a bad night of shooting, I think they bounce back today getting 6 points at Murray st, this should be a very close game, Murray is 4-1 STR up at home, 3-1 STR up as a home fav, but are just 1-3 ats at home, and 2-5 ats as a favorite, and 1-3 ats as a home favorite, and are 1-4-1 ats after a win, and Illinois st is 3-1 STR up after a loss, and are 4-0 ats after a loss, and are 3-0 ats away this year, and are 7-1 ats as a dog( yes 7-1 ats as a dog) last 4 times these 2 have played the games were all within 4 points, I will take the 6 here this line will most likely drop a little no injuries
Thanks for the writeups. I had two totals I was looking at today. One was the St. Thomas/ND State game and I am also on the over. The other was the GW / Charleston Over 152.5.
Did you look at this total? If so, any thoughts?
Good Fortune!
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@RUM151
Thanks for the writeups. I had two totals I was looking at today. One was the St. Thomas/ND State game and I am also on the over. The other was the GW / Charleston Over 152.5.
Will+Mary at Hofstra WM are 2 diff teams what at home and away, they can score points, but when away they do not shoot as well as when at home, and Hofstra has lost their last 2 but I think they get right here today at home, they have a very good defense, and WM are a sloppy team on the road, and they have been giving up over 85 pts on the road, and Hofstra usually only scored about 68 pts a game, but I think they will score a bunch more today playing a very weak defense, and I think their defense will cause problems for WM and Hofstra should control the boards here in this one also, I am seeing a 80-68 type of game here, I am getting Hofstra -5 -120 I think 6 is fine I like this game to -7 even
Hofstra-5 -120 1 unit
1 opinion play I do like Troy -2 App st is struggling right now, they have not beaten a div 1 teams since Nov 29th, Troy comes in winning last 3 games, worth a play I think
small Troy -2
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Will+Mary at Hofstra WM are 2 diff teams what at home and away, they can score points, but when away they do not shoot as well as when at home, and Hofstra has lost their last 2 but I think they get right here today at home, they have a very good defense, and WM are a sloppy team on the road, and they have been giving up over 85 pts on the road, and Hofstra usually only scored about 68 pts a game, but I think they will score a bunch more today playing a very weak defense, and I think their defense will cause problems for WM and Hofstra should control the boards here in this one also, I am seeing a 80-68 type of game here, I am getting Hofstra -5 -120 I think 6 is fine I like this game to -7 even
Hofstra-5 -120 1 unit
1 opinion play I do like Troy -2 App st is struggling right now, they have not beaten a div 1 teams since Nov 29th, Troy comes in winning last 3 games, worth a play I think
if your talking about the Gardner webb game?? I would lean to the Over in that game, sort of the same reason I like GW there, Charleston Southern has given up over 80 pts last 4 games, and just based on how well GW has been shooting , I think over 152 would be worth a play buy that half point hate half pts to be honest I think this hit just 156 , 81-75 I like St Thomas over more
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@Xdoge
if your talking about the Gardner webb game?? I would lean to the Over in that game, sort of the same reason I like GW there, Charleston Southern has given up over 80 pts last 4 games, and just based on how well GW has been shooting , I think over 152 would be worth a play buy that half point hate half pts to be honest I think this hit just 156 , 81-75 I like St Thomas over more
No no injuries I think its just action and to be honest I do not like it, it happens alot when I get on a game early, I send it to friends outwest and sometimes they hit it hard, I have one friend who works at a sports book in Vegas, God knows who he tells...lol I seen it though, GW is now -2 and like I said I do not like it, I hate big swings like that, but I do understand this one, but still do not like it ......
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@Nedtan
No no injuries I think its just action and to be honest I do not like it, it happens alot when I get on a game early, I send it to friends outwest and sometimes they hit it hard, I have one friend who works at a sports book in Vegas, God knows who he tells...lol I seen it though, GW is now -2 and like I said I do not like it, I hate big swings like that, but I do understand this one, but still do not like it ......
Going to take LIBERTY -8 over WKY, one thing about this game is that WKY can score points, but their defense has been bad, they have been allowing 87 pts a game their last 3 games, and Liberty is avg 83 points their last 3 games, but Liberty has the #6 defense in the nation allowing just 58 pts a game, away WKY is avg 70 pts and giving up 84, and at home Liberty is avg 84 and giving up 60 pts, Liberty is shooting the ball very well, at home they are shooting 52.7% and 44% from 3 and 62% from 2, ...WKY away is shooting 39% and 28% from 3 , and Liberty is holding teams to just 28% from 3....Liberty has covered 6 of their last 7 games, and their top 3 scorers all are scoring in double figures and are shooting between 47% and 56% this is a very good Liberty team 12-1 this year, WKY just lost to Michigan 112-64 and Liberty just beat Texas Arlington 79-56 I bought down to 8 but to be honest I think this is a 13+ points win , just a very good shooting team at home with a very good defense 84-69 final
Liberty -8 1.5 units
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Going to take LIBERTY -8 over WKY, one thing about this game is that WKY can score points, but their defense has been bad, they have been allowing 87 pts a game their last 3 games, and Liberty is avg 83 points their last 3 games, but Liberty has the #6 defense in the nation allowing just 58 pts a game, away WKY is avg 70 pts and giving up 84, and at home Liberty is avg 84 and giving up 60 pts, Liberty is shooting the ball very well, at home they are shooting 52.7% and 44% from 3 and 62% from 2, ...WKY away is shooting 39% and 28% from 3 , and Liberty is holding teams to just 28% from 3....Liberty has covered 6 of their last 7 games, and their top 3 scorers all are scoring in double figures and are shooting between 47% and 56% this is a very good Liberty team 12-1 this year, WKY just lost to Michigan 112-64 and Liberty just beat Texas Arlington 79-56 I bought down to 8 but to be honest I think this is a 13+ points win , just a very good shooting team at home with a very good defense 84-69 final
South Dakota +4.5 they just can score a lot of points, the total is 157 , and SD is 10-1 over this year, 6-1 over away, and 3-1 over as an away dog, Kansas City does not have a lot of overs, its why I am going with s.dakota here to cover the spread, they are 3-1 as an away dog and UMKC is 1-4 ats as a favorite, last 3 games s.dakota is avg 85 pts a game but giving up 85, I am tempted to try them over 75.5 TT in this game also but for now just taking them +4.5
S Dakota +4.5 1 unit
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South Dakota +4.5 they just can score a lot of points, the total is 157 , and SD is 10-1 over this year, 6-1 over away, and 3-1 over as an away dog, Kansas City does not have a lot of overs, its why I am going with s.dakota here to cover the spread, they are 3-1 as an away dog and UMKC is 1-4 ats as a favorite, last 3 games s.dakota is avg 85 pts a game but giving up 85, I am tempted to try them over 75.5 TT in this game also but for now just taking them +4.5
Wisc-Milwaukee ML -120 this line had me wondering, but Oakland at home, but have to go with the better team here, Oakland just 2-8 STR up as a dog this year, and Milwaukee is 7-1 STR up as a favorite
wisc-Milw ML 1 unit
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Wisc-Milwaukee ML -120 this line had me wondering, but Oakland at home, but have to go with the better team here, Oakland just 2-8 STR up as a dog this year, and Milwaukee is 7-1 STR up as a favorite
like I said I hate big line moves and when they are moves when the line is between +2 and -2 and they switch I almost would have to go against it always happens GW shooting 30% 9/30 0/5 from 3 Southern is shooting 44% 15/34 4/17 from 3 they have been shooting well is why I was on them, today they are tanking
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@Nedtan
like I said I hate big line moves and when they are moves when the line is between +2 and -2 and they switch I almost would have to go against it always happens GW shooting 30% 9/30 0/5 from 3 Southern is shooting 44% 15/34 4/17 from 3 they have been shooting well is why I was on them, today they are tanking
Cash out s Dakota going with UMKC -3.5 -120 don't trust them or maybe me today adding Memphis -3 they play better on the road 3-0 ats and 3-0 STR up total on S Dakota game dropped 2 points, that points to a UMKC play
st Thomas total is dropping but still like it,
UMKC-3.5 1.5 units
Memphis -3 1 unit
Navy +2.5 1 unit
Queens -9 1.5 units I do think queens goes over 82.5 but its high so no play but they should win big tonight
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Cash out s Dakota going with UMKC -3.5 -120 don't trust them or maybe me today adding Memphis -3 they play better on the road 3-0 ats and 3-0 STR up total on S Dakota game dropped 2 points, that points to a UMKC play
st Thomas total is dropping but still like it,
UMKC-3.5 1.5 units
Memphis -3 1 unit
Navy +2.5 1 unit
Queens -9 1.5 units I do think queens goes over 82.5 but its high so no play but they should win big tonight
horrible start with 2 losses with Longwood and GW, Troy came through, and Navy is up Big, Hofstra is getting killed at home , for some reason WM is shooting lights out, Damn Liberty was up Big now just covering up 9, Memphis is up BIG, Illinois st on a fast start up 13, and like I said that Wisc-milw line looked odd, and seeing why as Oakland is playing well at home, I use to always go with the lines that looked odd, use to call it the don't make sense plays , because the line did not make sense so ya just go with it, but ty N Dame had them big today and the under I bet live at 43.5 and also hit a 2 unit 3 team 10 pt teaser needed that, and added a unit on ND ML today , really pissed about losing some of these, I try to put the time in but sometimes teams do not shoot well.....
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horrible start with 2 losses with Longwood and GW, Troy came through, and Navy is up Big, Hofstra is getting killed at home , for some reason WM is shooting lights out, Damn Liberty was up Big now just covering up 9, Memphis is up BIG, Illinois st on a fast start up 13, and like I said that Wisc-milw line looked odd, and seeing why as Oakland is playing well at home, I use to always go with the lines that looked odd, use to call it the don't make sense plays , because the line did not make sense so ya just go with it, but ty N Dame had them big today and the under I bet live at 43.5 and also hit a 2 unit 3 team 10 pt teaser needed that, and added a unit on ND ML today , really pissed about losing some of these, I try to put the time in but sometimes teams do not shoot well.....
well glad I stuck with the OVER on the st Thomas game, and now of course I wish I had also taken st Thomas like I said, I said I do favor them +3 based on how they should have won the game at UCR, and here tonight they went into NDSU and won the game 89-85, should have went for the trifecta and took over TT on them too, that o/u dropped like 2 points , glad I changed my mind and took UMKC, the key to that was the o/u dropping, usually SD scores a lot of points, UMKC more like a 70 pt team , and then losing the 1st 2 games sort of maybe me do it, Illinois st wins out right, going thru the stats and stuff Is how lines are made so that's how I try to handicap, but sometimes just going by gut works, mad I even looked into the Hofstra game, they are a team I rarely look at, and that is what I did when I bet the last 4 games I added, I went with gut instinct, knowing Memphis has played so well away this year made that play and easy one, and even Queens, yes they pushed and it saved me, but I also wrote that I liked the OVER TT for Queens which was 82.5 and what was odd was that was the only number they offered, usually they will give ya like 3 totals, maybe because it was the extra games , but they scored 96 which was well over, so yea I had some that were off, and I hated when GW switched by 4 pts, right then I should have canceled or just bet the other way, but the last 4 games I went 3-0-1 and did win the opinion on over TT, won Illinois st, won OVER st Thomas, won an opinion on st Thomas, How LIBERTY lost at home I have no clue, it was on TV too, they were up 16 in 2nd half then I seen it at 9 and was shocked they lost outright, also when a line seems odd best to go with what is odd or layoff as in Milwaukee game, and adding Longwood at last minute was bad move,
Navy easy win
memphis easy win
umkc easy win
Illinois st easy win
over st Thomas easy win
Troy good win -2 won by 9
queens push
Liberty bad loss
Hofstra bad loss
GW bad loss
Milwaukee bad loss
opinions st Thomas +3 win
over TT queens win
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well glad I stuck with the OVER on the st Thomas game, and now of course I wish I had also taken st Thomas like I said, I said I do favor them +3 based on how they should have won the game at UCR, and here tonight they went into NDSU and won the game 89-85, should have went for the trifecta and took over TT on them too, that o/u dropped like 2 points , glad I changed my mind and took UMKC, the key to that was the o/u dropping, usually SD scores a lot of points, UMKC more like a 70 pt team , and then losing the 1st 2 games sort of maybe me do it, Illinois st wins out right, going thru the stats and stuff Is how lines are made so that's how I try to handicap, but sometimes just going by gut works, mad I even looked into the Hofstra game, they are a team I rarely look at, and that is what I did when I bet the last 4 games I added, I went with gut instinct, knowing Memphis has played so well away this year made that play and easy one, and even Queens, yes they pushed and it saved me, but I also wrote that I liked the OVER TT for Queens which was 82.5 and what was odd was that was the only number they offered, usually they will give ya like 3 totals, maybe because it was the extra games , but they scored 96 which was well over, so yea I had some that were off, and I hated when GW switched by 4 pts, right then I should have canceled or just bet the other way, but the last 4 games I went 3-0-1 and did win the opinion on over TT, won Illinois st, won OVER st Thomas, won an opinion on st Thomas, How LIBERTY lost at home I have no clue, it was on TV too, they were up 16 in 2nd half then I seen it at 9 and was shocked they lost outright, also when a line seems odd best to go with what is odd or layoff as in Milwaukee game, and adding Longwood at last minute was bad move,
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