Posted:
#1
Years ago I just played any top 25 if the line was -9 or higher. Over the past 3 years I refined things. Now it seems the cutoff is-14 with -9 to -13.5 going 61-37. The -14 to -32.5 is just 14-28. In this range I go with the dog. As you can see the sample size is much smaller for the higher lines.
Note, for whatever reason for -9.5 the results are poor at 3-11 so I do not play the favorite at this line, you could play the dog instead that is up to you.
The play today is Villanova -11.5.
Good Luck!
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