tues

60-35-2 +25.32

2.2 /2 

Western Carolina pk vs. samford

1.1 / 1

New Mexico -5 vs. utah st

@Cappologist

West Car double downer- Really like this spot for them.  Samford played a couple tough road games over 2 months ago to open the year, since then it's been 12 home games and 3 road games, all 3 road games against bad teams, only  really faced 3 reasonably decent teams in this stretch all at home.  Clearly Samford is a good team, as they've mostly crushed everyone.  But I think that works against them here, not being challenged much and mostly front running every game against a bottom of barrell sched.  I believe they havent trailed by more than a bucket in the 2nd half of  any game since the opening 2 losses. 

West Car hasnt played a real tough sched either, but they've played 10 road games, flip a few of those to home games and their margin of victories would prob be similar to Samford's.  They've also pulled out a couple tough close games so they have experience doing such (vandy road game, mcneese home game).  

Samford's ridiculous rout of terrible vmi putting up 134 pts  the other day was the culmination of the weak sched, now they go from facing a team that wasnt even pretending to offer resistence, to a very tough road game against a team that can play solid D.  It's unlikely to me that samford will build up a big lead and front run against a good home team with comparable talent, so strong potential for this to be a different ball game that samford hasnt had experience in.  Really feel like this is an advantage for West Car.  Either West Car jumps out on them and has sanford playing from a hole first time in forever, or in a tight game down the stretch it's advantage West Car having some experience in that situation and just being on home court.  So like their chances to get the home win here.

New Mex- felt like the SD St win the other day was reminder of how strong the Pit home court adv is when they have a good team.  Certainly should get up for this one big time with USU coming in ranked top 20.  USU clearly could have lost saturday on the road, tougher road game here.  I see NM getting the home W, take my chances it's by few possessions.  

playing at least 1 more maybe 2

gl

As always, THX for posting.

Nodoubt brother gl today

1.1 / 1

Wake +2 at nc st

Im still heavily pro-wake.  Wake didn't come thru last road game, but I think fsu is better better I thought and they really played extremely well that game.  Feel certain Wake is better than nc st this year, they lost to state twice last yr, really should get up for this game and I think they're way better equipped this year to deal with Burns with Reid out there.  It was mainly Smith, joiner and burns who did the damage in both games last year for nc st and only burns still there.  Not expecting easy game, but...Wake.

Man 3 games, couple smallish fave home teams and road wake...sets up eerily similar to last Tuesday's 0-3.  Really freakin hope it's not dejavu

@Cappologist

 i like wake if the line hits 2.5 or 3 and its a good chance it might just playing the waiting game if if stays the same id be willing to take wake 1st half only

Nice input CAP 

Cap......

As long as you're pro-Wake and not pro-Woke!! Besta luck buddy 

WCU is now -1.5 

Good read. Thank you. Sadly I am already on NCST ML so hoping for a 1-2 point win so you can also win or at worst push. But I leaned WCU and after reading this I am on board. BOL to us both tonight!

@Cappologist

well my kind of outside the box double down bet on some total herbs went horribly of course.  Clearly got carried away on that one.  Sounded good to me at the time.  Samford just went up 10 early then front ran the whole game again lol f*ckin corny as f*ck.  Literally one run to go up 10 then led 4-10 whole way, never a run from the limpd*ck home team.  Never got to see those samnuts f*ckin pricks have to play with some pressure on.  That said, I went overboard on that angle

and I guess it's fool me once, fool me twice regarding wake.  Thought they could be backed on the road and were underrated for how  solid they are.  Nope.  They are just as corny as anyone else.  Wilting herbs that wilt down the stretch during wilt time.  Nice comfy position for Forbes and wake.  Go out to center court, pull your pants down put your palms down flat on the logo , and get f*ckin rammed.  Total wilting herbs

Hit that Hippie Lettuce AFTER you cap, not before

Colgate Red Raiders -8 over Army.

Underdog play: Creighton to keep it close at UCONN.