TUESDAY 151

well coming off a HUGE night  should have been 7-0 but I did make a choice to follow and it was a loss  so 7-1,  and on some went against many in here with Arizona and Utah , had some excellent write ups I thought  and they were dead on , and for some reason 1st game I look at tonight is just like the Bucknell game , a revenge game for a team who had a huge lead but lost, only this team is not at home,   Looking into the Jacksonville/FGCU game  and I was on Jacksonville that game also  a real bad beat...Jax was up at home over FGCU by 19 at half 49-30 , and they got up 22 at one point in 2nd half, these are games where you have to go back to 1st game and look at box score and play by play to see what happened   , and Jax was up 22 59-37 with 16 mins left , and then they were up 72-59 with 9 mins left  then were up 78-69 with 3 mins left and they lost 83-79 so they scored just 1 pt in last 3:20  in that 3:20 they missed 7 ft's and most were front ends of 1-1's and they also turned it over 4 times  that is crazy shit like missing the ft but getting the offensive rebound but then turning it over...lol  always like to see how teams won or lost games it makes a big diff when handicapping for the next game...so here you have Jacksonville now at FGCU getting 3.5 or 4 and I am sure they remember that game, the coach I am sure has been reminding them, both teams shot over 50%, and both shot over 50% from 3 ...and I said that they missed 7 ft's in last 3 mins  they were 8/16 for the game so they had only missed 1 before that....both teams are coming into this off a loss, and Jax is 6-2 ats after a loss , and 6-3 STR up after a loss, and have won 6 of their last 7 road games straight up, they just lost their last game on the road after winning 6 straight , this should be a good game  I am going to go with Jacksonville +4  they seem to be able to play well away, winning 6 of last 7 road games , and FGCU is 8-4 STR up at home and 6-6 ats at home and as a favorite they are 9-7 ats as a favorite, and FGCU has won 6 STR vs Jacksonville  and I am sure Jacksonville knows they blew a chance to end that streak last time they played ...last 3 games Jax is avg 76 pts a game and giving up 72  and FGCU is avg 70 and giving up 75  and Jacksonville is shooting the ball really well coming into this game , as they are shooting 48% and 43.5% from 3  FGCU also shooting well at 47% but just 30% from 3  and away Jacksonville is shooting the 3 at 37%    going to take a chance here with this one 

Jacksonville+4  1 unit                           

and I am going to go with the OVER 151 in the Tenn st@ Tenn Martin game , last time these 2 played is was 81-80 it did go to OT where they scored 11 points in OT I think I had the Over in this too , they had a lower scoring 1st half , 36-26  and then they scored 88 in 2nd half , so they can score last 3 before that game the scores were 96-87, 91-75, and 88-82 ...Tenn st is 17-7 OVER this year and are 8-4 OVER after a loss and TM is 8-2 OVER after a win, Tenn st is 10-5 OVER as a dog and 4-0 OVER on 2-3 days rest, and 10-4 OVER on equal rest and 10-6 OVER in conf, and TM is 5-1 OVER on 2-3 days rest     think is worth a play here just based on how they play against each other .....

OVER 151  1.5 Units  

also a Gut Instinct play here   going with Wisconsin at home Vs Illinois -3  -130   coming off a huge road win at Purdue Wich came off a road win at Iowa , do not see a reason for a letdown here, and Illinois coming off a home loss to Michigan st who I was on also, just like how Wisconsin is playing , this will be a closer game, and Illinois has a shot to win this no doubt , but I think Wisc will be up for this   Illinois is just 1-3 STR up and ats as a dog this year , I think Wisconsin wins this by 7 but maybe they get an easier win here  

Wisconsin -3  -130  1 unit 

235 am eastern just went to get em my lines are crap    +2-  (-105)  152-  (-104)   -4-   (-104)  but i will  keep an eye live 

BOL

@RUM151

Good luck Rum.  Stay hot.  

I’m gonna start asking for exact scores from you … and giving out demerits when you miss… have not exactly figured out the penalty phase yet…????   outstanding job so far sir… I hope it continues… keep on keep n on.   

@RUM151

 BOL RUM

Just amazing how you get all the data and trends.  Takes me forever analyzing 1 game with Kenpom, Covers, ESPN data.  Great level of details in your write-up.  When do you sleep?  I see late night write-ups and early morning posting as well.  Must be a passion you have for looking at numbers.  

151 

Appreciate all that you do.BOL

Appreciate you RUM!

Thanks for the effort you put into this and the picks you provide.   Really appreciate it!  

Line at FD on the Jax/FGCU game is now down to +2.5, but, based on your write up, the O/U of 140.5 caught my eye.  Got a feel on that?   Teams blew by that last time out.  

Nice write up

Played 3 of your posted games yesterday Rum. 3 winners. Thanks for posting.

He's a pro's pro .. a definite sharp. 

going to go Over 154 Lipscomb @ EKY these 2 teams have been scoring well, last 3 games Lipscomb is avg 89 pts a game and EKY IS avg 88 a game, my whole basis for this play is if EKy can score their points, Lipscomb is good on defense , but EKY is avg 80 pts a game at home, now I do not think they need to get 80, I hope they do, but I think if they can get to 75 this will win, pretty sure Lipscomb will get 80+ , I have this as a 85-78 game with Lipscomb winning
OVER 154 Lipscomb/EKY 1 unit

Lipscomb TT is 78.5 I think this does go over its not a play now but its an opinion

Appreciate your posts!   Best of luck to you!