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UC Davis v. UCSB

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Posted: #1
UC Davis opened as 3.5 point dogs, scoresandodds has 97% of the money on UC Davis right now and the line is 6.5 at my book... I love UCD and they have made me so much money this year betting on them, but something is sketchy here.

UCSB is better than their record indicates and is home tonight, but unless Vegas knows hawkins is out, any idea why this line keeps going this direction?

Thanks for input
 
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Posted: #2
Ya that is pretty sketchy.. I already bet uc davis lol
 
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Posted: #3
Davis + anything!
 
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Posted: #4
I have already bet uc davis but after looking at this game the first halve of the day I think UCSB is the play to me it is just a fishy line I bet it early and the more I think and see I think I made the wrong bet that is just my opinion
 
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Posted: #5
UC davis ML checking in. dont over think it. check last night ducks vs cal lol gg. ducks went from pk to +2 look at outcome better team wins and sometimes square plays are $ gotta go with the better team here.
 
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Posted: #6
uc davis shoots lights out behind the arc.. even with uscb best player back in the lineup.. the have no reason to be laying almost 7 pts.. I think UC Davis being a small school doesn't get near the action they should..UC davis and hawaii have been no stop covering machines and davis is in a spot where they can lose by 3 possessions.. ill take the bait.. 
 
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Posted: #7
I know... All signs point to UCD in this game except for the line movement... Usually when public is so heavy on one side and the line moves with the public, it's a sign to bet the other side of it.

I'll have to monitor the movement through the rest of the day, but Like the poster above me, UCD is getting almost 3 possessions and is the better team in this spot.

Last game they beat Hawaii at home coming back and next game is @CalPolySlo... So I don't really see a let down spot or look ahead game here in this case either.

I LOVE betting UCD this year as they are the #4 team in college bball ATS (16-5), but something just seems off here.
 
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Posted: #8
Hawkins is playing
 
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Posted: #9
Quote Originally Posted by betthespread25:

Hawkins is playing

I thought so... Even when he was out, UCD still played extremely well with Reichart kind of taking over.  

 
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Posted: #10
The play is Davis + anything,even if it looses,the play is DAVIS!!
 
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Posted: #11
Quote Originally Posted by gordon2987:

I have already bet uc davis but after looking at this game the first halve of the day I think UCSB is the play to me it is just a fishy line I bet it early and the more I think and see I think I made the wrong bet that is just my opinion


better go and fire some dough on ucsb -6.5 right?  let that sink in a bit.

 
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Posted: #12

UCD keeps getting point and they keep not only covering the spread, but winning outright.

Why does vegas dislike UCD so much ? UCD almost hits on 50% from the floor. That's amazing. UCD all the way here.

 
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Posted: #13
If the line comes back down maybe a middle opportunity
 
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Posted: #14
UC davis guard josh Pritchart is probable
 
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Posted: #15
Quote Originally Posted by nikki_santoro:

uc davis shoots lights out behind the arc.. even with uscb best player back in the lineup.. the have no reason to be laying almost 7 pts.. I think UC Davis being a small school doesn't get near the action they should..UC davis and hawaii have been no stop covering machines and davis is in a spot where they can lose by 3 possessions.. ill take the bait.. 
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Posted: #16
Feels a lot like last week's UCD game against Long Beach St. A lot of good cappers were all over LB St because the line looked sketchy & Davis won straight up by 7 or 8. That being said, I don't believe any site that says 97% of the money is on any particular team. It's safe to say that's never the case in a lined game that Vegas puts out.
 
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Posted: #17
Quote Originally Posted by dg84:

Feels a lot like last week's UCD game against Long Beach St. A lot of good cappers were all over LB St because the line looked sketchy & Davis won straight up by 7 or 8. That being said, I don't believe any site that says 97% of the money is on any particular team. It's safe to say that's never the case in a lined game that Vegas puts out.

Do you or anybody else have a reliable site where I can see money being placed? 

That being said, I'm going to end up taking the bait tonight on UCD... I just can't see them getting blown out, not this close to the tourney where they have put themselves in a good position (Even though, I still think they need to win the Big West tourney)
 
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Posted: #18
Look at Indiana yesterday
 
 
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Posted: #19
Same thing happened with them @ Irvine and last week @ Long Beach.   I'm not scared.    Ritchart played minimal minutes last game after a collision in the first 2 minutes.   Les hit 9 three's to help overcome 10 point second half deficit.    Alan Williams is back for UCSB, but UCD is too good to be getting that many points again.   
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