WED HOOPS *151*

ok again hard not to take Illinois st on the road at Evansville, this Illinois st team has some really well away this year, only road game that they lost was a 97-99 loss at Belmont, but I think they did cover that spread , because they are 3-1 STR up away and 4-0 ats away this year, and they are 11-3 ats this year, this is one of those teams that if you got on them early, they could make it a good year, Evansville is coming off a 4 pt home loss to Indiana st , they are 4-4 STR up at home this year but are just 3-9 STR up as a dog this year, 3-4 ats at home and are 4-8 ats as a dog, and again Illinois st has a rest disadvantage, and with a rest disadvantage they are 5-1 STR up and 5-1 ats this year, and Evansville with a rest advantage are 0-3 ats this year 

  Last 3 games Ill st is shooting just over 50% and are shooting the 2 at 63.1%...last 3 Evansville is shooting 42% and shooting the 2 at 46.8%,  and away Illinois st is shooting again 50%  and the 2 at 55% and the 3 at 43% that's big, and at home Evans is shooting 45%  53% from 2 and 36% from 3  have to stay with the hot team here, who seems to enjoy being on the road  

Illinois st -5  1 unit 

also I am going to go with Rhode Island at home -5, have not been on them for a few and I feel like this is a good spot for them here, GW is a good team as they are 12-3 this year but they have been weaker on the road here, and they did win about 4 in a row vs RI until last year when RI finally got them on the road and won 88-65, RI is 9-0 at home this year, and they are 6-0 STR up as a home favorite , also I do like the OVER in this game, as RI is 9-4 OVER this year and they are 7-3 OVER after a win, and 9-2 OVER as a favorite and 5-1 OVER as a home favorite.....  GW is 2-0 OVER as a dog this year

Rhode Island -5 regular 

Over 150 small

also last night I went and bet Navy +2 at Holy Cross, Navy has won their last 23 games, but another thing is that Navy lost 6 games in a row before winning these last 2 and 4 were away and 2 were on Neutral courts, they were in every game, they lost by 8 pts twice, 5 points twice, and 6 pts twice, and maybe now they have found a way to win thos closer games, they have also won the last 3 vs HC, and 2 of those were away, they are 4-2 ats away this year and are 5-3 ats as a dog, and are 4-0 ats as an away dog , HC is 1-2 ats at home and are 0-2 ats as a favorite  ...this game could go OVER also...total is 144  and Navy is 3-1 OVER after a win and HC is 2-0 OVER as a favorite   

NAVY+2  1 unit

and Gut Instinct play  ILLINOIS-9 -130  1.5 units  Penn st is 0-2 ats as a dog this year, coming off a loss they are better but I think Illinois is just a really good team, they just went out west and destroyed teams , and the OVER 163 in this game looks good, Penn st does like to score points too, just not sure if they are going to want to get into a run and gun game with Illinois, so they may try to slow this down ...Penn st is avg 86 pts a game, 80 pts last 3 games and they avg 78 on the road, if Penn st scores in the mid 70's or higher this is going to go way OVER 163  this could be a 92-80 type of game real easyiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiii

Illinois-9 1.5 units  

Over 163  small play 

also am looking into St Thomas at home -3 , SD St has beaten them 6 of last 7 but St Thomas is playing really well right now just coming home from a 4 game road trip where they won 3 of the 4 and covered the one they lost at UCRiverside, losing by 2 and they are scoring a lot of points also averaging 85 points in their last 3 games and giving up 82, and SD st last 3 they are averaging 81 and giving up 85, and at home st Thomas is avg 88 and giving up 76 and SD st on the road is avg 73 and giving up 76, this could be a very high scoring game also, st Thomas is 11-2-1 OVER this year and SD st is 8-6 OVER, and are 4-1 OVER as a dog, st Thomas is 6-0-1 OVER as a favorite  total is 156, this could be an OVER  someone is getting into the low 80's in this game 

will post when I play   

gl 151

Good Luck Rum!!

Gl. Nice write ups.

@RUM151

 Got guy feeling myself that URI game goes over. Line has jumped 6.5-7.5 you for good number at 5

Probably pass on these try not play to many games at once, but again THX for the write up’s 

Don’t like playing 1H much also slight lean 1H Illinois 

 BOL Rum

151 where are you seeing navy winning last 23 games?  i see their record last 10 games as being 4-6  and their last 10 games against holy cross, they are 6-4.  I have to guess the 23 number was meant to be a 2 or a 3 and not 23

Good luck Rum.  

Was hoping to see a write-up on YSU game. 

GL today. 

@cd329

 sorry for that  Navy has won their last 2 games, but the ones they lost before that were all pretty close games that they lost, what I was saying is , is that maybe they have found a way to start winning the closer games 

@kimoinsd808

 I am just getting ready to do a write up on NKY/Youngstown 

NKY@ Yst  , I seen some people on N Ky , I am leaning Youngstown st, NKY is really struggling away and as a dog this year......NKY is coming off a home win vs Wisc GB , and Youngstown us coming off a loss at IPFW 81-90, for one thing NKY is 1-5 STR up away this year, and are 0-5 STR up as a dog, and 0-4 STR up as an away dog, Youngstown is 4-1 STR up at home, 7-2 STR up as a favorite and 3-1 STR up as a home favorite, both teams do well on 2-3 days off as NKY is 9-3 STR up and YST is 6-2 STR up.....NKY is 5-10 ats this year and YST is 9-6 ats this year...NKY is 0-6 ats away this year, and 0-5 ats as a gog and 0-4 ats as an away dog...YST is 2-2 ats at home, and are 6-3 ats as a favorite....NKY is 5-6 ats with 2-3 days off and YST is 5-2 ats with 2-3 days off....NKY away is avg 68 pts and giving up 79, and YST at home is avg 73 and giving up 68...no injuries , both teams won on their home floor last yeat NKY by 6 as a 1 p[t favorite and YST won by 30 as a 6.5 pt favorite...both teams take about 58-59 shots a game and both avg 24 shots made both avg about 7 3's made a game, NKY is giving up 9 made 3's a game and YST is giving up 5.5 made 3's a game     my opinion is YST ML or -1  

I do favor Temple on the road at ECU tonight, Temple has won 5 of last 6 and the last 3 games they are scoring averaging 87 pts a game and giving up 80, ECU last 3 is avg 74 and giving up 79 , and away Temple is avg 76 and giving up 76 and ECU at home is avg 73 and giving up 71, ECU has lost 3 straight and they just are not shooting well, even at home, last 3 games they are shooting 37.6% and only 23% from 3 and 44% from 2  and Temple last 3 are shooting 49.3% and 40.3% from 3 and 53% from 2  so you see the diff in shooting, and at home ECU is shooting 40% and 25.6% from 3 and away Temple is shooting 42.7% and 30.6% from 3  just seems Temple +3.5 or 4 would be worth a play here , Temple is 1-0 STR up and ats as an away dog, ECU is 3-5 ats at home and 3-6 ats as a favorite

Temple +4 -120  1 unit 

@Thinkb4ubet

 RI still -6 at Hardrock and -6 at BetNow 

ILL st -5 1 unit 

Temple+4 1 unit 

Rhode Island -5 1 unit

Over 150 RI  small 

Navy+2 1 unit

Illinois -9 1.5 unit 

Over 163 Ill/Penn st small 

@RUM151

Wade Taylor is out tonight vs Oklahoma, he is the leading scorer, but I do have a lot of respect for the coach of Texas AM and this line still being 2.5 or 3 worries me, I would think this line would be 5-6 now, and sometimes when its the main guy hurt these good teams have a way of regrouping to play well, Look at Georgetown they have been without Epps and yet they still are playing well and winning, even last night they had the lead at Marquette till just a few mins left in the game.... so I am having some caution here, maybe they do win big, but I would figure this line to move  if it does not I would worry 

Nice input 151 

I really think Indiana has found their way, and they are playing well right now 10-0 at home, 11-1 STR up as a favorite, USC 1-4 ats as a dog, I am going to take Indiana -6 buying down   1.5 units    just a gut feeling about this game, win by 10+ 

gl 151

Indiana-6  1.5 units 

I do favor UNC Asheville +4.5 at Longwood, Longwood only 2-4 ats at home and 4-6 ats as a favorite , and are 0-4 ats with equal rest and Asheville is 2-1 ats   this Asheville team can score, they like high scoring games and Longwood does too, Longwood won both meetings last year, and I think Asheville would love to get this game, but I also like the OVER between these 2 also  153 I think is low  I expect 158+ in this game , both maybe get to 80 , Opinion Asheville +4 to 4.5   play is OVER 153 

OVER 153 Asheville/Longwood  1 unit 

ILL st -5 1 unit 

Temple+4 1 unit 

Rhode Island -5 1 unit

Over 150 RI  small 

Navy+2 1 unit

Illinois -9 1.5 unit 

Over 163 Ill/Penn st small 

Indiana-6  1.5 units 

Over 153 Longwood/Asheville game  1 unit 

parlay
Presbyterian-2.5/Asheville +5/ucf-6 +474

UCF off a blowout loss, at home vs Colorado  I think UCF could win this BIG     

like the Parlay though  moved the lines a little 

hate following but I will try s.carolina +11.5 -120  1 unit   have to pick up at Sarasota airport at 6 pm  so be back by 7 

just do not think Oklahoma is big enough inside, coming off their 1st loss they did get exposed , and that AM defense is solid I might still take A+M if this line does not move I may be will take them   seems people still like Texas AM  phelps is solid