1st off I hate when 2 teams I have been riding play each other Maryland has been a cover machine and an OVER machine and a TT OVER machine and Mich st has been a decent cover too Maryland -3 to 4 I kind of think Mich st here but its so hard to go against Maryland ....going OVER 149 in this game, Maryland will get this to go Over and Mich st can score also I do think this gets to 155+
Over 149 1 unit really have to look at this or stay away
Kansas st at UCF C Hawkins is ? for Kansas st he plays 33 mins avg 10 pts a game 6 reb's 5 assist leads in steals and blocks if he does not play that is huge for Kansas st Sellers is ? for UCf 15 mins 6 pts Kansas st is not good STR up away 2-8 STR up away but 5-5 ats away and 9-5 ats as a dog , UCF is 10-1 STR up as a home favorite but 7-9 ats at home and 8-5 ats after a win, Kansas st is 6-7 ats after a loss ..I would maybe favor UCF but its why I went over , UCF has been scoring but also have been giving up a lot of pts also would have to go with UCF here Kansas st only averaging 62 pts away and it wont be enough , I think they get 68-70 but UCF should get theirs UCF-4 1.5 units
ok I just did a write up on Mich st Maryland and after everything the only reason I liked Maryland was because Mich st has beaten them 6 STR times and sso I thought that would be motivation for Maryland to want to win this game, both these teams are going to be in the dance, but I cant get past what Michigan st has been doing, I mean they just won at Illinois and at Michigan, these guys are 4-1 STR up vs ranked teams 17-4 STR up after a win, 6-2 STR up away, 4-2 STR up as a dog, 3-1 STR up as an away dog, and they are 7-1 STR up on 4+ days off, and are 9-2 STR up with rest disadvantage, 13-3 STR up in conf, ...4-1 ats vs ranked teams, 5-2-1 ats away, 4-1-1 ats as a dog, and 3-0-1 ats as an away dog I mean that is solid ..Maryland is 16-1 STR up at home, 19-3 STR up as a favorite, 5-2 STR up on 4+ days rest and 4-3 STR up with rest advantage, 11-5 STR up in conf...and 4-2 ats vs ranked teams 9-11 ats after a win, 10-6-1 ats at home, 11-10-1 ats as a favorite, 8-7-1 ats in conf
can get Mich st +5 -120 at Hardrock 1 unit maybe I am wrong but I can live with it
also everyone is on Cal tonight why??? not sure SMU plays well on the road , they beat up on Cal earlier at home 76-65 they had 10 more rebounds in that game and won even though Cal took 7 more shots , and Boopie Miller might be back tonight but in the earlier win SMU had 4 guys in double figures also Cal has a couple of guys ? tonight also but I think this game is way bigger for SMU than Cal, I mean SMU is avg 48% shooting and 82 pts a game, and 38% from 3 just like how they been on the road this year and they are coming off a loss, and SMU is 5-1 STR up after a loss and are 5-1 STR up as an away favorite , and are 4-2 ats after a loss and Cal is 6-8-1 ats at home and 1-1 ats as a home dog
taking SMU-3 -120 1 unit
Texas AM -7 2 units after 2 losses I think this is a game they want and take, they shot just 16% from 3 last game that will change I think, they are 9-3 ats as a home favorite and Vandy off the win last game are 0-6 STR up as an away dog, and are 4-7 ats as a dog and are 1-5 ats as an away dog, I think Texas AM gets a big win tonight 12+ pts
Texas AM -7 2 units
going OVER 145 Radford vs Gardner Webb Gardner Webb is avg 80 pts a game last 3 but are giving up 89 pts a game , Radford is avg 74 a game but in the last 3 they are shooting really well and so is Webb Radford is shooting 48% and 40% from 3 last 3 games and GW is shooting 47% last 3 I think this gets into the mid 150's Radford won earlier 79-75 and they won last year away 90-74 Radford is 15-12 OVER and GW is 18-8 OVER GW is 12-3-1 OVER after a loss Radford is 6-4 OVER after a loss , GW 11-5 over as a dog, 10-5 Over on equal rest and Radford is 10-3 Over on equal rest...
OVER 145 1 unit
n I know there were some people begging for OT in the Maryland game but I'll say this, Michigan st played well till the last minute nothing worse than a game where you lead the whole 2nd half and then the other team gets the W because the team winning finds a way to lose the game and Michigan st almost did that tonight they are a very good team , they play a very strong schedule and again they win vs ranked teams and on the road glad I changed my mind trends become trends for a reason because they keep happening and I got the under too to make up for the OVER play I was thinking they were going to go to OT and fuck me there too what a game
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