Xavier U @ Villanova should be a high variance offensive type of game. They both are efficient on offense and both defenses have been better in the past. In conference play though, theirs a stark difference between home & away games. In conference games , X is 2-4 away SU, Vill are 4-2. X are 1-6 as a dog , Vill are 5-2 as favs. X are 3-3 ATS away , Vill is 3-3 as favs ATS . X is 1-9 SU L 10 @ Vill. Nova has X’s # , when playing @ home as we can see. Vill are 5-2 ATS on Sundays this season, they’re use to playing on a Sunday. Most teams don’t play on Sunday’s. Revenge angle: X beat Vill @ home a few weeks ago, 69-63. One site I use and pay ?? to , have Vill covering this 2.5 @ a 52.4 % rate. A trusted company, I’ve used for years. E. Dixon is the top scorer in all of CBB. He and his counterparts are snipers from the 3pt line, especially @ home . Offense rebounding rate: X 22.6%, Vill 31.3%. Opponents pts per game defensively, X 70.1 , Nova 67.6. Last 3 games defensively X gives up 1.084 pts per possession, Nova 0.984 pts per possessions. Big difference. Offense efficiency for X away from home , 0.982, Vill @ home 1.185 pts scored per possession. Huge difference. Love Vill here today @ home to get some payback. Nova - 2.5 large. GL
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