🏈🏈🏈 Fubah2's risky CFB bets

Added risky bets for Oct.22:

Liberty +10-150 @BetCRIS buying pts

and,

Maryland -9-185 @BetCRIS buying pts         *BEST BET at this line

       Vastly superior team here.  NWU has lost all four of their home games to much weaker competition than Maryland, and now they take to the road.  Terps should win comfortably by 2 scores.

WAKE -20  @BetCRIS             Huge mismatch here, and except for a one game one-off BC has not shown they are fully capable of covering 3 TDs on the road vs a very tough quality opponent.  Wake looking to make a statement at home and they won't be taking the Eagles lightly.  Full focus.  I anticipate 21 to 27 pt margin, barring net lucky breaks for BC.

Fair start this week.   Fortunate I bought pts on the Kansas game to earn a push!

3 of my remaining 5 are looking good at this point with Wake -20 and Maryland -9 the two that are iffy.

Had TULANE -7 circled and totally forgot about it.

Another *BEST BET soon for evening games, pending the lines...

And GL with YOUR bets today, guys! 

PENN State -198 @BetCRIS                     *BEST BET

And GL with YOUR bets today, guys!

W   Western KY -1.5
Push Kansas +12 -130 @BetCRIS (buying pts)
  L   Cincinnati -3 @BetCRIS
W   OHIO +3 -106 @BetCRIS                         *BEST BET
W  FL.Intl +14.5 -125 (buying pts @Bet365)
W  Liberty +10-150 @BetCRIS (buying pts)
W  Texas Tech -198 @BetCRIS                        *BEST BET
W  WAKE -20 @BetCRIS
  L   Maryland -9-185 @BetCRIS (buying pts)     *BEST BET

6 - 2 - 1   so far

Pending:  Penn State -198 @ BetCRIS        *BEST BET

W   Western KY -1.5

Push Kansas +12 -130 @BetCRIS (buying pts)

  L   Cincinnati -3 @BetCRIS

W   OHIO +3 -106 @BetCRIS                         *BEST BET
W  FL.Intl +14.5 -125 (buying pts @Bet365)
W  Liberty +10-150 @BetCRIS (buying pts)
W  Texas Tech -198 @BetCRIS                        *BEST BET
W  WAKE -20 @BetCRIS

  L   Maryland -9-185 @BetCRIS (buying pts)  *BEST BET

W   Penn State -198 @ BetCRIS                      *BEST BET

=  7 - 2 - 1      with 3 - 1 *BEST BETS

Thursday, October 27 risky bets:

NC State -10-150 buying pts @BetCRIS     *BEST BET

VT/NCST over 39                             

Although state lost their starting QB 2 games ago, Chambers will be fine playing at home against a weak Tech defense.  He's had a bye week to prepare for this struggling opponent, and he's quite mobile, unlike Leary, which always adds extra pressure on a defense.  Tech could be without their feature RB!  The backups have very low averages, and when Tech falls behind they will be forced to throw more than they would like and Wells is interception prone.  Their last game was at home to struggling Miami which they lost only by 6, but that score is VERY misleading as Hurricanes dominated by +200 yards differential DESPITE taking a remarkable 17 penalties for 160 yards!! So Tech was lucky to only lose by 6.  Should've been at least a 14 pt loss, AT HOME, to a team weaker than NCST! Now VT takes to the road aginst a squad roughly on par with North Carloina - at which they lost 10 - 41

State is likely to put up at least 27 pts but I have them rated here for 30 - 35 pts - which should be plenty to cover MY 10 pt spread and should be enough to get the over 39 as well.  They may even come close to that number themselves as VTech has allowed 33, 41, and 45 recently against decent teams rated in the same general vicinity as NCST.

GL with YOUR bets today, guys!

ok        i grabbed the wolfpack on the ml for a small play

It's starting to happen again.  Everytime I post a written analysis favoring a bet, it FAILS to cover. It's absolutely uncanny, dating back 2 full years here.  It's a friggn curse!

NCST fails to cover a DD spread vs a weak opp and the DD fav Buccaneers were actually routed by weakass Panthers.

So I split last night, losing a little on juice. Grrrrr. 

So I best skip posting any writeups or they will surely LOSE too!  Taking a second look at the games now, including totals which I typically pass up... here is where I believe I have found some decent value so far... As always, GL with YOUR bets, fellas!

YTD: 20 - 12 

Oct 28-29 College Football risky bets:

Ark/AUB under 62     I estimate  just over 60% chance to win the under

.... several more to follow

Syracuse -125

Okla State +1.5       Likely to buy this back if A.Martinez is a go and at least 90% healthy

Keep up the great work 

East Carolina +3 -105

Gamecocks -2.5-138  buying pts @ BetCRIS                                                     *BEST BET

And GL to YOU with your bets this weekend, sir! 

Winner.

YTD:   21 - 12

adding   Tex.Tech -119 @BetCRIS                                                  *BEST BET

adding:  BC/CONN  over 44

adding:

Toledo -3.5-135  buying pts at BetCRIS                                                               *Best Bet

adding: TOL/EMU over 54  @Bet365

  Just learned Toledo's all everything QB (Finn) is unlikely to start today.  Not previously listed on injury reports as he played the full game last week.  No reason given except he is unlikely to start.

Buyback bet:

EMU +5.5

Upgrading my OKLA State +1.5 bet to a *BEST BET

QB Finn now officially deemed OUT for game today.   I'm guessing something disciplinary related?

Anyway, that phucksup everything since he's like 95% of their offense!.... so buying back the total too

TOL/EMU UNDER 54