Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: We shouldn't put too much into Hilltoppers narrow 3 pt loss last game at TROY. Hilltoppers were BADLY OUTPLAYED despite benefitting from +50 net yards in pens and an extra turnover in their favor. a 14 pt loss would have been more reflective of the level of play... And while MTSU lost by 7 at home to Colorado State, they actually edged the RAMS in play, and a tie would have been more indicative of the result. agree that what r your thoughts on temple-tulsa ? any leans yet ?:Close call. Lean to Tulsa so far.yep looking there too although there r some injury concerns on tulsa I do have TULSA rated as the better team and I really thought they would be laying at or close to a TD
Good call on Tulsa!
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Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: We shouldn't put too much into Hilltoppers narrow 3 pt loss last game at TROY. Hilltoppers were BADLY OUTPLAYED despite benefitting from +50 net yards in pens and an extra turnover in their favor. a 14 pt loss would have been more reflective of the level of play... And while MTSU lost by 7 at home to Colorado State, they actually edged the RAMS in play, and a tie would have been more indicative of the result. agree that what r your thoughts on temple-tulsa ? any leans yet ?:Close call. Lean to Tulsa so far.yep looking there too although there r some injury concerns on tulsa I do have TULSA rated as the better team and I really thought they would be laying at or close to a TD
BYU Cougars -136 *BEST BET J M Dukes -160 *BEST BET Minnesota -440 *BEST BET Colordao +24 -150 *BEST BET (alt-line for a cushion) Hawkeys -450 *BEST BET
MEMPHIS -145 Midshipmen -3 UTEPMiners Pick *BEST BET AKRON -2.5 SOONERS -11.5 -285 alt-line Kentucky -1 BC Eagles -165 W.Michigan -1 *BEST BET Longhorns -7 -320 alt-line Ole Miss +3.5 -145 alt-line Purdue Pick GS Panthers -1 *BEST BET Washington -12.5 -230 alt-line
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"Occam's Razor" (first impulse bets)
WEEK 5: (blue highlight was posted previously)
Win TULSA -3 -118
BYU Cougars -136 *BEST BET J M Dukes -160 *BEST BET Minnesota -440 *BEST BET Colordao +24 -150 *BEST BET (alt-line for a cushion) Hawkeys -450 *BEST BET
MEMPHIS -145 Midshipmen -3 UTEPMiners Pick *BEST BET AKRON -2.5 SOONERS -11.5 -285 alt-line Kentucky -1 BC Eagles -165 W.Michigan -1 *BEST BET Longhorns -7 -320 alt-line Ole Miss +3.5 -145 alt-line Purdue Pick GS Panthers -1 *BEST BET Washington -12.5 -230 alt-line
The sum total of all the college TEAMS that I circled each weekend over the first 4 weeks is 115.
After doing my handicapping "forensics" like most of you do also, from that list of circled TEAMS I decided to lay bets on some and discard the ones which didn't cut the mustard upon further review.
The ones I chose to bet, so far: 32 - 22 (a lot of juice though)
The ones I didn't bet would have won 41 - 19
And that got me thinking that all my deep dive research wasn't near as profitable as just going with my first impulses when the lines came out! So we shall see how this tracking experiment works. But I bet them all and they are my real picks for the record. Going forward, my *Best Bet tag is only added AFTER I have done my handiccapping/research.
My *BEST BETS so far: 17 - 7
The losers included -350, -185, -165, -325, -280, -275, -210
All of my bets are an anomaly....as I have foolishly violated my long standing rule of betting in the first 4 weeks of a season.
I will be noting from this week forward how my bets are faring with the first 4 weeks now providing excellent information for my handicapping style.
BOL on your bets this weekend!
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The sum total of all the college TEAMS that I circled each weekend over the first 4 weeks is 115.
After doing my handicapping "forensics" like most of you do also, from that list of circled TEAMS I decided to lay bets on some and discard the ones which didn't cut the mustard upon further review.
The ones I chose to bet, so far: 32 - 22 (a lot of juice though)
The ones I didn't bet would have won 41 - 19
And that got me thinking that all my deep dive research wasn't near as profitable as just going with my first impulses when the lines came out! So we shall see how this tracking experiment works. But I bet them all and they are my real picks for the record. Going forward, my *Best Bet tag is only added AFTER I have done my handiccapping/research.
My *BEST BETS so far: 17 - 7
The losers included -350, -185, -165, -325, -280, -275, -210
All of my bets are an anomaly....as I have foolishly violated my long standing rule of betting in the first 4 weeks of a season.
I will be noting from this week forward how my bets are faring with the first 4 weeks now providing excellent information for my handicapping style.
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Adding a SIDE BET (not part of experimental bets): James Madison -2.5 Adding another SIDE BET: Georgia State -115Another SIDE BET (not part of Occam's Razor experimental bets): Boilermakers +1 -109 (Pinnacle)
Adding: BROWN -450
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Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Adding a SIDE BET (not part of experimental bets): James Madison -2.5 Adding another SIDE BET: Georgia State -115Another SIDE BET (not part of Occam's Razor experimental bets): Boilermakers +1 -109 (Pinnacle)
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Adding a SIDE BET (not part of experimental bets): James Madison -2.5 Adding another SIDE BET: Georgia State -115Another SIDE BET (not part of Occam's Razor experimental bets): Boilermakers +1 -109 (Pinnacle)Adding: BROWN -450
Adding: CLEMSON -285
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Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Adding a SIDE BET (not part of experimental bets): James Madison -2.5 Adding another SIDE BET: Georgia State -115Another SIDE BET (not part of Occam's Razor experimental bets): Boilermakers +1 -109 (Pinnacle)Adding: BROWN -450
With A & M QB gonzo for the season that changes things. Johnson is OK, but Weigman could take off the ball as a dual threat. There has to be a dropoff here imo. Now I have them rated even with the Razorbacks..... considering a home dog bet
Adding RAZORBACKS +8 -145 (alt-line)
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Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
With A & M QB gonzo for the season that changes things. Johnson is OK, but Weigman could take off the ball as a dual threat. There has to be a dropoff here imo. Now I have them rated even with the Razorbacks..... considering a home dog bet
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: With A & M QB gonzo for the season that changes things. Johnson is OK, but Weigman could take off the ball as a dual threat. There has to be a dropoff here imo. Now I have them rated even with the Razorbacks..... considering a home dog bet Adding RAZORBACKS +8 -145 (alt-line)
Adding BUFFALOES +30.5 -280 (alt-lines)
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Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: With A & M QB gonzo for the season that changes things. Johnson is OK, but Weigman could take off the ball as a dual threat. There has to be a dropoff here imo. Now I have them rated even with the Razorbacks..... considering a home dog bet Adding RAZORBACKS +8 -145 (alt-line)
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: With A & M QB gonzo for the season that changes things. Johnson is OK, but Weigman could take off the ball as a dual threat. There has to be a dropoff here imo. Now I have them rated even with the Razorbacks..... considering a home dog bet Adding RAZORBACKS +8 -145 (alt-line)
Big fat Loser
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Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: With A & M QB gonzo for the season that changes things. Johnson is OK, but Weigman could take off the ball as a dual threat. There has to be a dropoff here imo. Now I have them rated even with the Razorbacks..... considering a home dog bet Adding RAZORBACKS +8 -145 (alt-line)
My original *BB on BYU looked absolutely *HORRIBLE* late in the first half with just 40 yards and only 1 for 7 passing.....so I bought it back taking Cinci.......Sure enough BYU comes back to win by 8.....sigh.....
1 - 0 Thursday night (with Tulsa)
1 - 3 Friday night (including 1 - 2 *Best Bets)
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Friday night action sucked....
My original *BB on BYU looked absolutely *HORRIBLE* late in the first half with just 40 yards and only 1 for 7 passing.....so I bought it back taking Cinci.......Sure enough BYU comes back to win by 8.....sigh.....
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