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🏈🏈🏈 Fubah2's risky CFB bets

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Posted: #1801

I will be updating all my conference rankings later...

 
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Posted: #1802

Definite LEAN to Seminoles.

I expect they win this SU with about 90% certainty.

A spread under 3 scores has merit but only marginal IMO.

 

Will certainly consider an alt-line here, balancing risks...

 
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Posted: #1803

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Definite LEAN to Seminoles. I expect they win this SU with about 90% certainty. A spread under 3 scores has merit but only marginal IMO.   Will certainly consider an alt-line here, balancing risks...

Spread has dropped a full point today.  surprised

 
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Posted: #1804

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Definite LEAN to Seminoles. I expect they win this SU with about 90% certainty. A spread under 3 scores has merit but only marginal IMO.   Will certainly consider an alt-line here, balancing risks... Spread has dropped a full point today.

No injuries for FSU that worry me

 
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Posted: #1805

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Definite LEAN to Seminoles. I expect they win this SU with about 90% certainty. A spread under 3 scores has merit but only marginal IMO.   Will certainly consider an alt-line here, balancing risks... Spread has dropped a full point today. No injuries for FSU that worry me

BC hasn't played yet.   Disadvantage, especially on the road.

 
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Posted: #1806

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Normally I do not bet this early in the football season, but IRISH are playing well enough in a tight game to cover +3.5 -135 Tied at 6 late 2Q

 

LIVE BET: IRISH +3.5 -135 (alt)

WINNER!!!     1 - 0  to start my season.

cool Another RARE, early season bet for me, although I have solid reasons for this one:

- more talented team!!

- angry team, can't wait to right the ship after upset

- home team!!

- opp has not played yet!!

- should FSU fall behind I will likely bet again on FSU (live)

Seminoles -6.5 -375  (alt line)

 
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Posted: #1807

BC  @FSU

 

 

First big (lucky) break goes to FSU as open BC receiver drops the ball in what would likely be a first down in the RZ

 
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Posted: #1808

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

BC  @FSU     First big (lucky) break goes to FSU as open BC receiver drops the ball in what would likely be a first down in the RZ

Breaks even now after FSU receiver also missed a 1st down pass right to him

 
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Posted: #1809

 

I’m not saying anything

 

 
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Posted: #1810

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: BC  @FSU     First big (lucky) break goes to FSU as open BC receiver drops the ball in what would likely be a first down in the RZ

Breaks even now after FSU receiver also missed a 1st down pass right to him

BC looking very poised early! surprised Driving deep!

 

 

 
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Posted: #1811

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Normally I do not bet this early in the football season, but IRISH are playing well enough in a tight game to cover +3.5 -135 Tied at 6 late 2Q   LIVE BET: IRISH +3.5 -135 (alt) WINNER!!!     1 - 0  to start my season. Another RARE, early season bet for me, although I have solid reasons for this one: - more talented team!! - angry team, can't wait to right the ship after upset - home team!! - opp has not played yet!! - should FSU fall behind I will likely bet again on FSU (live) Seminoles -6.5 -375  (alt line)

an_eek2  gl fubah cloverclover     looking early like youre going to need it 

 

eagles look better

 

"I'm the MOST HONEST HUMAN BEING that God has EVER created!!" - Donald Trump
 
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Posted: #1812

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Normally I do not bet this early in the football season, but IRISH are playing well enough in a tight game to cover +3.5 -135 Tied at 6 late 2Q   LIVE BET: IRISH +3.5 -135 (alt) WINNER!!!     1 - 0  to start my season. Another RARE, early season bet for me, although I have solid reasons for this one: - more talented team!! - angry team, can't wait to right the ship after upset - home team!! - opp has not played yet!! - should FSU fall behind I will likely bet again on FSU (live) Seminoles -6.5 -375  (alt line)

Mid 2Q LIVE BET down 0 - 14 ...FSU +3.5 -115

 
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Posted: #1813

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Normally I do not bet this early in the football season, but IRISH are playing well enough in a tight game to cover +3.5 -135 Tied at 6 late 2Q   LIVE BET: IRISH +3.5 -135 (alt) WINNER!!!     1 - 0  to start my season. Another RARE, early season bet for me, although I have solid reasons for this one: - more talented team!! - angry team, can't wait to right the ship after upset - home team!! - opp has not played yet!! - should FSU fall behind I will likely bet again on FSU (live) Seminoles -6.5 -375  (alt line) Mid 2Q LIVE BET down 0 - 14 ...FSU +3.5 -115

seminoles  qb  is awful    an_eek2

"I'm the MOST HONEST HUMAN BEING that God has EVER created!!" - Donald Trump
 
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Posted: #1814

From the 6 yard line with 35 ticks left 1H....Wide open receiver in the EZ and he overthrows him by 5 yards (not hurried)

HUGE LUCKY BREAK for BC...

 
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Posted: #1815

Wtf was that

 
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Posted: #1816

Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Normally I do not bet this early in the football season, but IRISH are playing well enough in a tight game to cover +3.5 -135 Tied at 6 late 2Q   LIVE BET: IRISH +3.5 -135 (alt) WINNER!!!     1 - 0  to start my season. Another RARE, early season bet for me, although I have solid reasons for this one: - more talented team!! - angry team, can't wait to right the ship after upset - home team!! - opp has not played yet!! - should FSU fall behind I will likely bet again on FSU (live) Seminoles -6.5 -375  (alt line) Mid 2Q LIVE BET down 0 - 14 ...FSU +3.5 -115 seminoles  qb  is awful

Unfortunately for all FSU bettors...

 

Then ANOTHER HUGE LUCKY BREAK for BC when the stupid coach gambles on 4th and 5 on his own half of the field.......INT inside the 10, leads to an easy score....

 

BC wins this one game and the 13 - 0 team from last year now has a 1% chance to make the 12 team playoff and I would say about a 50/50 chance just to win 8 games this year

 
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Posted: #1817

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Normally I do not bet this early in the football season, but IRISH are playing well enough in a tight game to cover +3.5 -135 Tied at 6 late 2Q   LIVE BET: IRISH +3.5 -135 (alt) WINNER!!!     1 - 0  to start my season. Another RARE, early season bet for me, although I have solid reasons for this one: - more talented team!! - angry team, can't wait to right the ship after upset - home team!! - opp has not played yet!! - should FSU fall behind I will likely bet again on FSU (live) Seminoles -6.5 -375  (alt line) Mid 2Q LIVE BET down 0 - 14 ...FSU +3.5 -115 seminoles  qb  is awful Unfortunately for all FSU bettors...   Then ANOTHER HUGE LUCKY BREAK for BC when the stupid coach gambles on 4th and 5 on his own half of the field.......INT inside the 10, leads to an easy score....   BC wins this one game and the 13 - 0 team from last year now has a 1% chance to make the 12 team playoff and I would say about a 50/50 chance just to win 8 games this year

 

FSU can't handle an aggressive pass rush as long as the QB sits in the pocket.

They have to get him outside the pocket and a threat to run, or change QBs to make this happen...

 
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Posted: #1818

Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Normally I do not bet this early in the football season, but IRISH are playing well enough in a tight game to cover +3.5 -135 Tied at 6 late 2Q   LIVE BET: IRISH +3.5 -135 (alt) WINNER!!!     1 - 0  to start my season. Another RARE, early season bet for me, although I have solid reasons for this one: - more talented team!! - angry team, can't wait to right the ship after upset - home team!! - opp has not played yet!! - should FSU fall behind I will likely bet again on FSU (live) Seminoles -6.5 -375  (alt line) Mid 2Q LIVE BET down 0 - 14 ...FSU +3.5 -115 seminoles  qb  is awful

I agree he's having a bad game with all his missed passes.  But coaching shares responsibility for NOT getting him out of that collapsing pocket and letting him run.

 

Problem is their QBs are all freshman with one SOPH.

 
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Posted: #1819

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by KellyM_1964: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Normally I do not bet this early in the football season, but IRISH are playing well enough in a tight game to cover +3.5 -135 Tied at 6 late 2Q   LIVE BET: IRISH +3.5 -135 (alt) WINNER!!!     1 - 0  to start my season. Another RARE, early season bet for me, although I have solid reasons for this one: - more talented team!! - angry team, can't wait to right the ship after upset - home team!! - opp has not played yet!! - should FSU fall behind I will likely bet again on FSU (live) Seminoles -6.5 -375  (alt line) Mid 2Q LIVE BET down 0 - 14 ...FSU +3.5 -115 seminoles  qb  is awful I agree he's having a bad game with all his missed passes.  But coaching shares responsibility for NOT getting him out of that collapsing pocket and letting him run.   Problem is their QBs are all freshman with one SOPH.

And their linebackers are having mega difficulties containing the run

 
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Posted: #1820

FSU needs 2 new tackles.  They are getting beaten up and run over on virtually every pass play.

 
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Posted: #1821

4th and 17........ no pooch punt......failure, of course

BC takes over in good field position, as FSU waves goodbye to any shot at a playoff, after being snubbed last year.

 
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Posted: #1822

@fubah2

 FSU waved goodbye when they brought an_laugh DJ over   as Joe Friday would say 'Just the facts ma'am"  an_roll_laugh

"At 50, everyone has the face they deserve" -George Orwell
 
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Posted: #1823

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

FSU needs 2 new tackles.  They are getting beaten up and run over on virtually every pass play.

 

maybe the whole OL  needs replacement

 

 

 

 

 

"I'm the MOST HONEST HUMAN BEING that God has EVER created!!" - Donald Trump
 
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Posted: #1824

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

FSU needs 2 new tackles.  They are getting beaten up and run over on virtually every pass play.

 

maybe the whole OL  needs replacement

 

 

 

 

 

"I'm the MOST HONEST HUMAN BEING that God has EVER created!!" - Donald Trump
 
 
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Posted: #1825

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

FSU needs 2 new tackles.  They are getting beaten up and run over on virtually every pass play.

 

maybe the whole OL  needs replacement

 

 

 

 

 

"I'm the MOST HONEST HUMAN BEING that God has EVER created!!" - Donald Trump
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