I dont post often on there and unlike many of you I am a small bettor. $100-200 per game and finally started betting this season during bowl season. I have been on an unreal best streak of my life for CF and NFL mainly thanks to the feedback and research I do on the Covers Forum. So thanks to all of you who have given your thoughts.
When I first looked up this spread last week my eyes popped out of my head. How is LSU getting points in this game? My feeling is Alabama has a bigger fan base and there are some homer public Bama fans pouring it on. Then I read on Covers that sharp money has been pouring in Vegas on Alabama, yet I have seen ZERO information why????
I know its hard to beat the same team twice in a year, but personally I think these defenses are exactly the same...with LSU maybe having a better front 3 or 4. Offenses look similar as well but I just feel like LSU is better at the QB and WR positions. If the run is stopped by both teams the advantage seems to favor LSU. Combined with the fact that this is a virtual home game for them, I just think the books have this one wrong.
I'd love to know why this spread has moved from LSU -2.5 to LSU +2.5 over the course of the past few weeks. I'm pissed I put in my bet at +2 this morning. Can't believe it moved again. What is even more weird is my book usually only allows you to buy a half point, but has since opened a 1 pt hook now that the spreak is 2.5 so I could buy it up to 3.5 if I wanted. These books must be hurting for LSU juice.
I can't figure it out, but I am going with my instinct on this one. Hoping the hot streak continues. LSU is the play...(Unless some one can convince me otherwise)
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LSU +3 (bought 1/2 point) 1 Unit LSU +8.5 with Giants (Yesterday) +4 - 7pt Teaser 2 Units 0
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