2-4 the last two days so be warned. Let's look at some numbers:
Ala 55 15 6 5
-2.5 Mich 70 1 1 59
Mich opens up as a 2.5 fav currently the same. Ala is better in total off at 55 vs 70 and schedule strength at 5 vs 59. Mich is better in to. def at 1 vs 15 and sagarin rank at 1 vs 6.
What's it all mean - nothing at this point. However, once you start looking at bowl games with opening lines of 2.5 and this scenario, along with regular season games and bowl games with this scenario and different lines - the data is telling me to take Bama as they should take it su. This scenario is similar to what he had with Miss and Pennst - different line but similar scenario - Miss won su.
-5 Texas 9 25 4 3
Wash 10 94 9 14
Texas opened up as 5 pt fav currently 3.5 . In this case Texas is better in T.off T.def sagarin rank and sagarin sched strength. Once again looking at the numbers for previous bowl games where the top team is better in all 4 categories with opening lines of 5 - I didn't have any. However, regular season games and similar scenarios with different opening lines the data strongly suggest take the top team as they typically get the win and cover.
Side note: Often when folks anticipate a re-match it doesn't usually pan out - however, I think we might just get one this time around.
2-4 the last two days so be warned. Let's look at some numbers:
Ala 55 15 6 5
-2.5 Mich 70 1 1 59
Mich opens up as a 2.5 fav currently the same. Ala is better in total off at 55 vs 70 and schedule strength at 5 vs 59. Mich is better in to. def at 1 vs 15 and sagarin rank at 1 vs 6.
What's it all mean - nothing at this point. However, once you start looking at bowl games with opening lines of 2.5 and this scenario, along with regular season games and bowl games with this scenario and different lines - the data is telling me to take Bama as they should take it su. This scenario is similar to what he had with Miss and Pennst - different line but similar scenario - Miss won su.
-5 Texas 9 25 4 3
Wash 10 94 9 14
Texas opened up as 5 pt fav currently 3.5 . In this case Texas is better in T.off T.def sagarin rank and sagarin sched strength. Once again looking at the numbers for previous bowl games where the top team is better in all 4 categories with opening lines of 5 - I didn't have any. However, regular season games and similar scenarios with different opening lines the data strongly suggest take the top team as they typically get the win and cover.
Side note: Often when folks anticipate a re-match it doesn't usually pan out - however, I think we might just get one this time around.
That's the beauty of sportsbetting, we all have our ways of analyzing a particular game - using our own methodologies in coming up with an answer - bol in whatever way you go about finding the answer.
@andyv19
LOL - I understand - i'm just a number cruncher - either way bol bud.
That's the beauty of sportsbetting, we all have our ways of analyzing a particular game - using our own methodologies in coming up with an answer - bol in whatever way you go about finding the answer.
@andyv19
LOL - I understand - i'm just a number cruncher - either way bol bud.
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