ALABAMA vs MICHIGAN 100 unit grand slam

ALABAMA -5 + 185 ( alternative ) 

Time to seperate the men from the boys 

@mjm1012

This is why Michigan -7 would be the wise bet!  

@mtp104

Just like last year when Michigan was laying OVER A TD , -8.5 if i RECALL vs Tcu , they lost by 6 I think , they will lose as the fav again ! 

Michigan is a good team but they don’t have another GEAR 

McCarthy has thrown 1 td in his last 5 games

in this stretch of games it was the only time he faced a top 16 ranked team,3 of them ! He threw 0 td’s and took 6 sacks vs the 3 ranked clubs 

10 of his 19 passes were vs mst,Ind and and east car , wow wee ! 

Well see what he looks like vs bama when  he’s forced to throw the ball more , and he will have to throw the ball more

saban will make him beat bama , not happening !!!  We’ll see if McCarthy even survives this game , he looks kind of SOFT to me 

Bama d has allowed 14 td passes 

Bama d gives up 3.7 rush yards a pop

bama d gives up 4.9 yards per play, wow !!!!!

bama d allows a 59% of com. Rate 

michigan is favoured though ? ? ? ? ? 

This won’t be a contest !!!!!

mich d has allowed 7 td passes

mich d gives up 2.9 rush yards a pop

mich d givues up 4.2 yards per play, wow !!!!!

mich d allows a 55% com. Rate

bama is underdogs though ? ? ? ? ?

This won't be a contest !!!!!

@rosswin97

 
Yes ,all correct ,  however Michigan obviously has faced a ton of bumbs 

You can beat up on bumbs all you want , that pushes set lines in the wrong direction as a result of having easy competition , it’s called a loose line in this business 

the set line vs bama is OFF 

wrong team is laying the points 

Last year Michigan never sniffed a cover vs tcu 

It will be a repeat again this year vs bama 

you can only play who's on your schedule. the thing is when you play those "bums" do you demolish them? in mich's case yes they annihilated those "bumbs". im bama's case not so much. bama only beat usf 17-3 a game in which bama only had one more 1st down than usf and only 46 more total yds, don't care about backup qb youre "bama". bama only beat a 4-8 ark team by 3 pts at home and we know what happened 2 saturdays ago against a barely bowl eligible 6-6 auburn team, only won by a 3 pts on a miracle of the ages. fsu didnt need miracles even with a backup. 

Oddsmakers have been known to make the wrong team

the favorite from time to time. When I first started betting

back in the early '80s , Oddsmakers made the wrong team

the favorite  about 1/3 of the time  . Back then, a Wiseguy

could make a good living on that prospect alone .

Ahhhhhh , the " old days "  

Oddsmakers have improved their skills tremendously , but

they still make the wrong team the favorite about 20 % of

the  time . Bowl season is a time that you will see a few of

these opportunities. Problem for most bettors is that  they

have an aversion to  bet dogs as they feel that Oddsmakers

may know something that they don't . The fact is that historical

data on Bowl matchups is limited and Oddsmakers use their

Power Ratings to guide them. A absence of historical data

actually helps bettors at this time on the year. Don't be afraid

to bet dogs this season , and maybe Train can scare up a

few UDML plays to help you out.

Good Luck

@rosswin97

Couldn’t care less who’s in 

If bama should be out as you say , why is Michigan laying -1 pt only 

since they are the TOP DOG vs bama who shouldn’t be here 

????? I know why , that’s all that matters 

this is an EASY game 

good luck to you also , you will need the bounces to cash your ticket , that’s for sure 

doesn't care who's in yet arguing his ass off for bama. last I checked mich is laying 2.5. there are teams not in playoffs that are still rated higher than bama. mich rated a good bit higher than bama, but bama has sos and recency bias on their side. beating b2b national champ is big in some eyes, not mine because that was the worst uga team of the last 3 years.

@rosswin97

 If you think Michigan has an edge in the trenches your wrong

if you think McCarthy will outplay Milroe your wrong

if you think Wilson will win vs mckintstry your wrong

Love the MATCHUPS in this game 

BIGTIME !

If it were not for the luckiest play of the 2023 season, the Tide would be playing in the Orange Bowl.

@RebelTell2

 Exactly

Michigan -1.5 is a gift for you , you must love the line , good luck 

who's gonna keep corum out of the endzone he averages 2 a game. iowa couldnt do it, he scored 2 against them, penn state couldnt do it he scored 2 against them, and ohio state couldnt do it he scored 2 against them and all of those defenses are better than bama's.

@ArtSchlichterJr

    Smart man ! 

@rosswin97

 Give Saban a month to prepare for a bland, one dimensional team, im sure he will have a plan in place. I'm also big on Bama. Recency "bias" matters. SEC has won 14 of last 20 titles. 

@deeeeezzzzz