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#1
Getting heavily into NHL (just watching, not betting) has really cut into my capping time, and it's shown in my record. Watching all five seasons of Breaking Bad in the last two months probably didn't help either.
But with a 4-2 week last week, I'm still keeping barely afloat at 38-35 overall (thanks, -105 pricing!). Have a few more thoughts for this week, and I'd like to get some thoughts if you folks have them.
*Tennessee +13. This one has been locked in since Sunday, but I still like it at +10. This will be the first time I've bet on my Vols all season, but I think Mizzou is likely as not to come out flat after a heartbreaking loss last week. Also, Tennessee is starting a true freshman QB this week, who is significantly more talent than the guy he's replacing. The Vols have had some success with this over the years (see: Manning, Clausen, Bray), and I expect to see them move the ball more consistently this week.
The rest of these are not locked in, but they're all on my consideration list. I'd like to solicit thoughts from elsewhere. Hit me if you've got 'em.
*Pittsburgh +10.5. I think playing option teams two weeks in a row will provide a significant benefit, and GT is a bit Jekyll and Hyde anyways.
*Syracuse -5. Buy low, sell high. Can't see Wake stopping the run here.
*MTSU -3.5. I think this is a mismatch. MTSU is a mid-tier CUSA team, and UAB is a bottom-tier one.
*UTSA +3.5. I'm not sure at what point Tulsa mails it in after an awful season by their standards, but even if they haven't, the Roadrunners are playing just as well at this point.
*Tulane +2. Better team is an underdog here. I'm honestly not sure why, but I'll take it.
*ECU -26. Pure mismatch, should be murder.
*Indiana -8.5. Minnesota has looked really good the last couple weeks, but Indiana has the kind of team that can get a lead and get you away from what you want to do. Minnesota isn't built to come back.
*WVU +13. TCU didn't even beat Kansas by this margin. I know the Mountaineers are a bit schizo, but I don't trust the Frogs.
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