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    All Forums | College Football

    ATC's Computer Picks: Week 5 2012

    ATCawsw
    DynastyOne
    rr207
    RedRockets
    GAM
    ...
    Participants:
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    Posts: 18
     
    ATCawsw
    ATCawsw
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    Posted: Sep. 26, 2012 - 9:44 AM ET #1

    Back by demand (won't call it popular, but we'll call it something).  No deployments, no fried computers, no travel this year so let's get the year started on Covers.

    Like in the past, I always like to get 4 weeks of data to get the statistics needed.  I have run many variations of the program over the last 4 weeks, and right now, I have gotten 70%, so I think it is ready to present.  Here is how the weeks have broken down so far (no these weren't posted...so don't bother asking where they are) with the newest formula:

    NOTE:  In the past I have concentrated on Underdogs, this year I have used the both Favs and Dogs.

    Week 1: 2-1

    Week 2: 9-0

    Week 3: 3-4

    Week 4: 7-4-1

    Overall: 21-9-1 for a 70% guess rate. Expect to go down to around 60% by end of year, but would be nice to hover around 70%.

    It's not perfect....but better than outright guessing.  As always please use these computer picks to help you make your own decisions, I don't advocate tailing any one individual, use all your resources and make the best decision that you can make ON YOUR OWN.

    With all that said, here is what the computer posted for me this morning after I adjusted all the lines:

    *** = outright predicted Dog winner

    Colorado State +15 vs Air Force

    Marshall +16.5 vs Purdue

    Idaho +24.5 vs N. Carolina

    Ball State -1 vs Kent State

    Iowa State +2.5 vs Texas Tech  ***

    N Carolina State +2.5 vs Miami (FL)  ***

    Minnesota +7.5 vs Iowa

    Toledo PK vs Western Michigan

    Best of Luck to you all this week, hope you win big!

     

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    Back by demand (won't call it popular, but we'll call it something).  No deployments, no fried computers, no travel this year so let's get the year started on Covers.

    Like in the past, I always like to get 4 weeks of data to get the statistics needed.  I have run many variations of the program over the last 4 weeks, and right now, I have gotten 70%, so I think it is ready to present.  Here is how the weeks have broken down so far (no these weren't posted...so don't bother asking where they are) with the newest formula:

    NOTE:  In the past I have concentrated on Underdogs, this year I have used the both Favs and Dogs.

    Week 1: 2-1

    Week 2: 9-0

    Week 3: 3-4

    Week 4: 7-4-1

    Overall: 21-9-1 for a 70% guess rate. Expect to go down to around 60% by end of year, but would be nice to hover around 70%.

    It's not perfect....but better than outright guessing.  As always please use these computer picks to help you make your own decisions, I don't advocate tailing any one individual, use all your resources and make the best decision that you can make ON YOUR OWN.

    With all that said, here is what the computer posted for me this morning after I adjusted all the lines:

    *** = outright predicted Dog winner

    Colorado State +15 vs Air Force

    Marshall +16.5 vs Purdue

    Idaho +24.5 vs N. Carolina

    Ball State -1 vs Kent State

    Iowa State +2.5 vs Texas Tech  ***

    N Carolina State +2.5 vs Miami (FL)  ***

    Minnesota +7.5 vs Iowa

    Toledo PK vs Western Michigan

    Best of Luck to you all this week, hope you win big!

     

     
    DynastyOne
    DynastyOne
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    Posted: Sep. 26, 2012 - 10:42 AM ET #2



    like a few gems...marshall, nc st, minn

    gluck


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    like a few gems...marshall, nc st, minn

    gluck


     
    rr207
    rr207
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    Posted: Sep. 26, 2012 - 10:48 AM ET #3

    Good work.  Anymore?
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    Good work.  Anymore?
     
    RedRockets
    RedRockets
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    Posts: 1820
    Posted: Sep. 26, 2012 - 11:16 AM ET #4

    Holy Sh*t  He's back..

    Good to see ya around ATC 

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    Holy Sh*t  He's back..

    Good to see ya around ATC 

     
    GAM
    GAM
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    Posted: Sep. 26, 2012 - 11:43 AM ET #5

    Nice to see you around ATC 


    BOL this season  
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    Nice to see you around ATC 


    BOL this season  
     
    SportsFreak69
    SportsFreak69
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    Posted: Sep. 26, 2012 - 1:42 PM ET #6

    Best of Luck 
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    Best of Luck 
     
    frogger360
    frogger360
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    Posts: 38
    Posted: Sep. 26, 2012 - 2:36 PM ET #7

    minny should be golden might think about $ line iowa is terrible this year
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    minny should be golden might think about $ line iowa is terrible this year
     
    whimmy
    whimmy
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    Posted: Sep. 26, 2012 - 10:15 PM ET #8

    good to see you back and posting ATC, BOL this year brother
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    good to see you back and posting ATC, BOL this year brother
     
    ac1971
    ac1971
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    Posts: 232
    Posted: Sep. 26, 2012 - 10:23 PM ET #9

    your picks are very much appreciated...as always,,,,,don't worry about the haters....glad to see you back
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    your picks are very much appreciated...as always,,,,,don't worry about the haters....glad to see you back
     
    houguy28
    houguy28
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    Posted: Sep. 26, 2012 - 10:31 PM ET #10

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    Tonga
    Tonga
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    Posted: Sep. 26, 2012 - 11:21 PM ET #11

     Welcome back
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     Welcome back
     
    sungod95
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    Posted: Sep. 26, 2012 - 11:49 PM ET #12

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    1bajalife
    1bajalife
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    Posted: Sep. 26, 2012 - 11:54 PM ET #13

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    hienkhoi
    hienkhoi
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    Posted: Sep. 27, 2012 - 12:33 AM ET #14

    Iowa-7 just 44%  point= 6.64
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    Iowa-7 just 44%  point= 6.64
     
    Blakeyboy
    Blakeyboy
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    Posted: Sep. 27, 2012 - 3:11 AM ET #15

    Your own formula?

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    Your own formula?

     
    The8ofCups
    The8ofCups
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    Posted: Sep. 27, 2012 - 3:50 AM ET #16

    In using computers/algorithms, you typically need to use data from last year on the first few weeks.  Is this the case for this computer?  Is last year still having an effect at this point?
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    In using computers/algorithms, you typically need to use data from last year on the first few weeks.  Is this the case for this computer?  Is last year still having an effect at this point?
     
    DAWGPRINT
    DAWGPRINT
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    Posts: 4417
    Posted: Sep. 27, 2012 - 7:23 AM ET #17

    MY MAN!  Was just thinking about you last week - great to see you back!


    BOL Bro!


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    MY MAN!  Was just thinking about you last week - great to see you back!


    BOL Bro!


     
     
    footballkelly31
    footballkelly31
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    Posted: Sep. 28, 2012 - 6:27 PM ET #18

    Best of luck man.  With you on Marshall

    Idaho +27 and Toledo +1.5

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    Best of luck man.  With you on Marshall

    Idaho +27 and Toledo +1.5

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