B1G week 1

I don’t have a play on this one, but I’m jonesinnn to talk about a b1g matchup Thursday night 

Nebraska @ Minnesota -7.5 Total: 43.5

This is a tough one to read, lots of new pieces, some drama on both sides recently between Flecks culture and Nebraskas 5* transfer TE getting arrested. I’m on Nebraskas win total over, thought this was one they could steal but idk. 

I like what Nebraska brings back on offense. They’re one of the more experienced OL’s in college football with like 120 careers starts and they roll 3 deep at RB. Have some monsters at TE, expect a lot of 2 TE sets. Last years leading rusher is coming in at third on the depth chart this week. Transfer QB from GT can move a little, good arm but prone to a mistake for sure. I believe you’ll see a lot of running the ball from Nebraska, Rhule wants to win T.O.P. 

Defensively is where my concern is for Nebraska. I need to see it first. Not sure how good they’re going to be up front. Lost a very good freshman LB to transfer. They’ve definitely got some talent on the back end, some DBs making noise in camp supposedly. 

Minnesota lost a lot on the OL, but they look to have reloaded with some huge bodies per usual. Ibrahim is gone, which I thought would be a big deal, but he can’t stick on an NFL roster so my impression is Minnesota is going to churn out productive backs just based on their system. Fleck will pound the rock and pound some more. He wants to win this game in the 2nd half when the opponent is physically battered. Really liked Tanner Morgan, but they seem high on the Greek freak who started a few games in 2022. Like Minnesota’s WR’s and the defense overall. 

Ultimately I think this is 2 teams who want to slug it out in the trenches and both want to control the clock. At this point I just trust Minnesotas ability to do that more. 

I’d probably lean Nebraska plus the points in the first half and the under although it’s not playable at 43.5 imo. New rules so clock doesn’t stop at first downs in college anymore. 

in the end I kinda think Minnesota will pull away in the 2H and win a 24-16 type of game. Lean Huskers +3.5 1H

Back in 1st week of this month I put a small play on Huskers +5.5 @ +110. Sold off a few points.  Figured if they were close it would be 3-4 points. Since then I am not so high on this play. Not going to add anymore. 

Hard to get a handle on this one. 

@UNIMAN

 It really is. Outright Huskers win or Minnesota by 2-3 scores wouldn’t surprise me one bit.

hard to replace what minnesota lost on offense. they are not like ohio state and michigan where they just "re-sharpen" the tool...new tools, new pieces. going to be hard to replicate their offensive success, but there are positive reports out of camp about the greek gunslinger - or whatever they are calling him...

@steponaduck

 I think they’ll be fine this week, they restock the monsters on the OL & have good receivers. QB got several starts last year. 

great insight, should be a grinder 

I’ve decided to roll with this play 

Nebraska/ Minnesota under 43 

pound the rock 

B1G prop of the week: 0-0

Coleston Loveland (MI) over 33.5 yards receiving 

Loveland moves into the TE 1 spot this year and should take the next step. Was productive as a true freshman, and cleared this total in 4 of the last 5 games last year against the better teams on the schedule. 

This is a rough matchup for ECU, they had a pass D last year that ranked near the bottom and they could be worse this year. Up front they’re severely undersized on the DL. Going to get pushed around, so it’s pick your poison really. 

Either way Loveland at 6’5” is going to be a difficult cover, and I do think you’ll see UM throw the ball more often this year. Kirk Campbell gets play calling duties tomorrow (QB coach) - let the QB loose! 

Could go with Roman Wilson at 44 yards as well but I’ll stick with Colston as I see this one coming in with ease. Only concern is a blow out and the targets aren’t there for him early on. 

Side note for those looking to bet this game - UM’s entire secondary looks to be out for this game except for Sainristil. The CB spot is going to be tested here for sure. Both safeties out as well but I love the depth here and can’t want to see what guys like Keon Sabb and Zeke Berry do. ECU lost a ton, but really airing it out is probably their only shot here. Question is will the QB have time. The depth on both lines for Michigan is ridiculous this year. Essentially have 2 starting groups on both lines, so expecting a ton of QB pressure and very little running room. Lean over the game total just bc I feel ecu could potentially find success against the corners. Don’t see many stops if any from ecu defense

@HockeyNight11

 I can get him with an O/u of 29.5….thoughts?

@Bixby17

 Heck yeah. Barring injury or him only playing half a game and no targets - I see this sailing over. He’s a very good receiver. Tough matchup and think JJ will come out ripping it. 

Looking for something in the 4-5 catches for 60-70 yards range today. 

FWIW props are just standard unit bets unless posted otherwise. Too many variables, especially in non-conference games vs overmatched teams

@HockeyNight11

 Appreciate ya my friend! Let’s get it!

i like the prop    i was looking thru and loveland  receiving touchdown  is over a .05  @ +172         and wilson  over 0.5  +129    what u think about those   

@HockeyNight11

 It jumped to 31.5 here this AM but I still locked it in

@shipit_1

From what I’m hearing we can expect down field shots so that means Roman Wilson most likely. But man Loveland as a RZ target will be a good look too. I’d prob just go with the higher odds, both have a good shot to find the end zone today. I favor Loveland though just bc I think he’s gonna be such a difficult cover

@HockeyNight11  i was thinking of taking both  if its gonna be a blow out high scoring game  both would have a shot                                   ty for the play  good luck today bro      i took the over 33.5  @ -106    im a lay off the other props  i learned my lesson betting a million props on the super bowl  

@shipit_1

Yup. I just do one a week. So many look so good - it’s a slippery slope lol. Good luck guys!

props are rough i seen guys run the other way   when the prop gets close  like they are not allowed to touch the ball    i kno how props go  they get the call 

  i degened out  took them both  over .05 touchdown      1 hits im free rolling  if both hit i pick up 600 

@HockeyNight11

Rest of my card for the weekend

Fresno / Purdue under 47

WKU -12.5

Boise St +14

LSU -2

UNC/SC over 63.5

Go blue!

Like that prop. ECU a known run stopping team. Expect McCarthy to open up that defense with the pass. Loveland was coming on pretty good last yr, looks like a winner.

With you on that Purdue Under.

@UNIMAN

BOL today Hockey!

@FelixFermin21