Week 7 Vegas lines vs my number on the right, went 2-3-1 last week on raw yards but we adjusted for the Michigan schedule spot and chose Indiana so that flipped it to 3-2-1 ATS. Illinois was a push, probably the right side though if DeVito doesn't go out really early.
Penn St @ Michigan -7.5 --- Michigan by 13 Minnesota -3.5 @ Illinois --- Minnesota by 10 Maryland -10.5 @ Indiana --- Maryland by 22 Wisconsin -5.5 @ MSU --- Wisconsin by 20 Nebraska @ Purdue -11.5 --- Purdue by 12
Lots to unpack on these. LOVE my wolverines next weekend and hope we get the drop to 7, if it goes up it goes up just want 9.5 or better really. If no DeVito then love Minnesota here. The Hoosiers getting a bad rap so far, but lots of injuries, I think they're a little better than the ratings suggest so far. Pay attention to the injury news on Cam Jones and the WR's. Wisconsin should pummel MSU, pummel.
B1G Prop 'O The Week: 3-0 on the season, all laughers hitting within the first minutes of the game. LOVE some possible matchups this week and can't wait to see the numbers!!
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Week 7 Vegas lines vs my number on the right, went 2-3-1 last week on raw yards but we adjusted for the Michigan schedule spot and chose Indiana so that flipped it to 3-2-1 ATS. Illinois was a push, probably the right side though if DeVito doesn't go out really early.
Penn St @ Michigan -7.5 --- Michigan by 13 Minnesota -3.5 @ Illinois --- Minnesota by 10 Maryland -10.5 @ Indiana --- Maryland by 22 Wisconsin -5.5 @ MSU --- Wisconsin by 20 Nebraska @ Purdue -11.5 --- Purdue by 12
Lots to unpack on these. LOVE my wolverines next weekend and hope we get the drop to 7, if it goes up it goes up just want 9.5 or better really. If no DeVito then love Minnesota here. The Hoosiers getting a bad rap so far, but lots of injuries, I think they're a little better than the ratings suggest so far. Pay attention to the injury news on Cam Jones and the WR's. Wisconsin should pummel MSU, pummel.
B1G Prop 'O The Week: 3-0 on the season, all laughers hitting within the first minutes of the game. LOVE some possible matchups this week and can't wait to see the numbers!!
Same to you buddy! My thought is the only thing the Spartans do well is play physical up front witch Wisconsin can match. They’ll run it all over msu. The secondary is awful and will make the Badger weakness (Mertz) look like a god.
Badger defense physical, msu likely won’t be able to run it well so then we have to trust Thorne…. To me this is a poor man’s Minnesota vs MSU so I’ll lay anything under a TD without hesitation.
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@Last2thirst
Same to you buddy! My thought is the only thing the Spartans do well is play physical up front witch Wisconsin can match. They’ll run it all over msu. The secondary is awful and will make the Badger weakness (Mertz) look like a god.
Badger defense physical, msu likely won’t be able to run it well so then we have to trust Thorne…. To me this is a poor man’s Minnesota vs MSU so I’ll lay anything under a TD without hesitation.
Just being conservative. -4.5 a bad number in my book.
Wisconsin got into a rhythm vs NW, I took an inplay of -21.5 when it was 14-0, saw the blowout coming. Will Mertz be as good this Sat? Judging by Sparty defense would say yes, but he could just flat out miss his targets again. So I decided give me under -3.
Can always add an inplay if the rout is on.
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@HockeyNight11
Just being conservative. -4.5 a bad number in my book.
Wisconsin got into a rhythm vs NW, I took an inplay of -21.5 when it was 14-0, saw the blowout coming. Will Mertz be as good this Sat? Judging by Sparty defense would say yes, but he could just flat out miss his targets again. So I decided give me under -3.
I don’t think so. Looks like DeVito has a high ankle sprain so he’s likely not playing. Line already up to 6.5. The backup is horrific. Gophers off a bye so hopefully Ibrahim is good to go.
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@FatCheeks
I don’t think so. Looks like DeVito has a high ankle sprain so he’s likely not playing. Line already up to 6.5. The backup is horrific. Gophers off a bye so hopefully Ibrahim is good to go.
For sure heavy dose of Chase Brown, he’s been very good. Minnesota giving up 3.9 ypc on the year and have essentially forced teams to abandon the run. Weak schedule likely contributing but disagree on DeVito. Completing nearly 70% of his passes, 1100+ yards and a 9:2 TD:INT ratio. His escapability is something that defense have to respect and I think the downgrade is significant at QB. Should allow the Gophers to focus on CB.
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@camicom
For sure heavy dose of Chase Brown, he’s been very good. Minnesota giving up 3.9 ypc on the year and have essentially forced teams to abandon the run. Weak schedule likely contributing but disagree on DeVito. Completing nearly 70% of his passes, 1100+ yards and a 9:2 TD:INT ratio. His escapability is something that defense have to respect and I think the downgrade is significant at QB. Should allow the Gophers to focus on CB.
My statement, "with Ibrahim" was meant to say IF he plays. Have no idea at this point, bye week makes it more probable. I may wait until right before kickoff if we don't get any info.
My statement, "with Ibrahim" was meant to say IF he plays. Have no idea at this point, bye week makes it more probable. I may wait until right before kickoff if we don't get any info.
What is this Purdue line -14? Purdue is priced like an elite team here vs Nebraska priced like a MAC team. It appears 60%+ of the public is betting Nebraska and the line goes up. Makes no sense, but hate that public action trend.
Purdue never does well in the favorite role. One of the crazier lines of the year. Off by 7 points objectively imo
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What is this Purdue line -14? Purdue is priced like an elite team here vs Nebraska priced like a MAC team. It appears 60%+ of the public is betting Nebraska and the line goes up. Makes no sense, but hate that public action trend.
Purdue never does well in the favorite role. One of the crazier lines of the year. Off by 7 points objectively imo
What is this Purdue line -14? Purdue is priced like an elite team here vs Nebraska priced like a MAC team. It appears 60%+ of the public is betting Nebraska and the line goes up. Makes no sense, but hate that public action trend. Purdue never does well in the favorite role. One of the crazier lines of the year. Off by 7 points objectively imo
Agree...
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Quote Originally Posted by BarrelledIn:
What is this Purdue line -14? Purdue is priced like an elite team here vs Nebraska priced like a MAC team. It appears 60%+ of the public is betting Nebraska and the line goes up. Makes no sense, but hate that public action trend. Purdue never does well in the favorite role. One of the crazier lines of the year. Off by 7 points objectively imo
Well Nebraska closed at +14.5 so these suggestions went 2-3. Big win with Michigan, and prop o the week cashed early 2Q to move to 4-0. Best bet in college football! None of the 4 have made it to halftime.
Mertz is so bad. That near INT in OT was the worst read I’ve seen in years.
Illinois is sweet, didn’t think DeVito would play but the Illini rolled Minnesota!
Indiana was competitive. The one number I was kind of against the projected number. As long as they’re healthy think there will be some value moving ahead in certain spots.
Michigan might be the best, most complete team in college football. It’s week 8 now and people still don’t understand how good #9 is under center because they literally can be one dimensional and demolish teams. I think PSU was overrated anyway, but the OL yesterday was opening up lanes a semi could have driven through. Defensively, the team had quite a few holes in 2021, so teams could say ok focus on Hutch/ Ojabo and attack the weaknesses. This years team doesn’t really have those holes. The pass rush is still very good, interior is very good. Secondary very good. Some young guys stepping into bigger roles second half of the season, nice job by Will Johnson yesterday!
Still a long shot today, but the B1G could have a legitimate case to send 2 teams to the playoff when December rolls around. The Alabama/UT game was fun but when you’re giving up 50+ your team has some issues. See my wolverines vs OSU in 2018/2019 giving up 56-62 points.
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Well Nebraska closed at +14.5 so these suggestions went 2-3. Big win with Michigan, and prop o the week cashed early 2Q to move to 4-0. Best bet in college football! None of the 4 have made it to halftime.
Mertz is so bad. That near INT in OT was the worst read I’ve seen in years.
Illinois is sweet, didn’t think DeVito would play but the Illini rolled Minnesota!
Indiana was competitive. The one number I was kind of against the projected number. As long as they’re healthy think there will be some value moving ahead in certain spots.
Michigan might be the best, most complete team in college football. It’s week 8 now and people still don’t understand how good #9 is under center because they literally can be one dimensional and demolish teams. I think PSU was overrated anyway, but the OL yesterday was opening up lanes a semi could have driven through. Defensively, the team had quite a few holes in 2021, so teams could say ok focus on Hutch/ Ojabo and attack the weaknesses. This years team doesn’t really have those holes. The pass rush is still very good, interior is very good. Secondary very good. Some young guys stepping into bigger roles second half of the season, nice job by Will Johnson yesterday!
Still a long shot today, but the B1G could have a legitimate case to send 2 teams to the playoff when December rolls around. The Alabama/UT game was fun but when you’re giving up 50+ your team has some issues. See my wolverines vs OSU in 2018/2019 giving up 56-62 points.
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