Bags Week 8 **Ohio State vs Indiana**

YTD…XLarge 1-0; Large 5-2

Today’s Play:

Indiana +21.5 (LARGE)

1H Indiana +12 (small)

What folks are seeing on the surface…

-OSU: bye week to help prepare, 26 game win streak vs IU, playing much better ball…won an avg of 40 pts L4, offense is #1 in scoring, Stroud in Heisman contention.

-IU: IU playing bad ball this year, QB Penix out, and backup Tuttle playing bad: 51% completion, 28/52 LG for 188 yards, 3 picks/0TD L2.

What I see & think…

-OSU has Penn State on deck (obvious),

-I like Tuttle better than Penix…yup, heard that right. Kid made some correctable plays LG…3 costly turnovers, but kid has a better head, more confident,  & better leadership skills than Penix. 

-IU has played 4 top 10 teams..Iowa, Cinci, PSU, MSU…OSUs L4 teams played is not better than IU.

-OSU loves to pass to their veteran receivers , but IU DBs haven’t played bad…some injuries, but vs 4 of top 10 teams they’ve played, avg of 175 passing yards!!! Doesn’t compare to OSUs passing game, but definitely something interesting to watch.

-KICKING…IU kicking is solid. Campbell is 10-12 and 5-5 from 40-49 yds. Small part of the game most always misses analyzing. 

My thoughts…IU has nothing to lose. OSU is will try to make a case for the playoffs. Prob thinking auto win today(fine tuning, taking it easy?), and get ready for the big game next weekend. Tuttle and IU, will correct some things..efficient short yardage game, ball control, minimize turnovers, & play good defense. I just see too many underlying variables public isn’t seeing in this game. I’m riding IU +21.5 Large. Seeing this as a much closer game… OSU 28/IU 24.

Fill them bags

@LB_Dirtbags

  Tailing you on this 1!

Thanks for the input, I look for your plays everyday!! 

@LB_Dirtbags

large plays have been cash for you bro. Get another one 

good thoughts 

Just too many points..

dare i say a live dog? 

GL LB

Love the ballsy plays Goodluck my friend. Nice hit last night. 

Bags I am 100% completely with you and proud to say it. This is too many points. Indiana defense keeps these games to reasonable scoring. Their defense is better than Ohio States. No reason Ohio St. risks getting a 21 point lead by passing over Indiana cbs when interceptions cost cost them a win. They will play for the win and not the points, as many contest. Indiana is a very good team and has kept tough opponents to reasonable scores (Iowa 34, Penn St 24). OSU gives up plenty of points, so Indiana will get above 20 here. These teams care about the W/L much more than the points, as so many contend. Getting points is risky. Indiana is not a team you can mess about with and I expect to see solid conservative play from OSU. Otherwise, OSU may make some game costing mistakes. 

Best of Luck LB! 

@LB_Dirtbags

You are capping this based on last years Indiana team.  They are not the same…I am not certain Ohio State will cover, but they will certainly win by more than 4 points…yours is a contrarian play, with nothing to lose…If you are correct, then you are a hero…If you are wrong and Ohio St  blows Indiana out and covers, then no one will care or even remember…a win/win for you…

Good luck bro 

idk man 88% on Ind +21

Another factor is this is a night game...tons of public "chase" bets will be on this fav...doesn't usually end well come 11pm EST for many of those losing day time bettors

@kings_duce

It’s actually 85% on OSU, not Indiana. 

@LonghornHoosier

 You’re useless passive aggression is nauseating. 

@LB_Dirtbags

 Good luck with those DB's covering two 1st round draft picks in both Wilson and Olave. They haven't covered any receiver like that. Just saying, I like everything else you stated above though.

Game can go either way close game or state blow out. 

@LB_Dirtbags