911 Covers-
I think that line is low as I have Purdue winning by at least 10. Just a very weird line- one that gives me pause. Purdue is under rated and Nebraska was over rated but everyone knows how bad they are now. Yes they are hungry for a win but they still are not a good football team. Busy for the next couple of days and my plays will be slim this week- I agree the over looks good as well. Good luck this week!
911 Covers-
I think that line is low as I have Purdue winning by at least 10. Just a very weird line- one that gives me pause. Purdue is under rated and Nebraska was over rated but everyone knows how bad they are now. Yes they are hungry for a win but they still are not a good football team. Busy for the next couple of days and my plays will be slim this week- I agree the over looks good as well. Good luck this week!
I really like that South Carolina pick. I think Kentucky shot their load last week. South Carolina is hungry and athlete for athlete take the Cocks.
Anybody know what's up with oregon only giving 3? Somebody hurt? I know Cal is improving and i watched the Byu game earlier this year but nothing made me say WOW. O understand it's a road game for Oregon after a big choke but I am not ready to give Cal respect yet. If they win this week I will
Easy on my Gators and Mullen. Come on man haha. As a gator this year you never know what team will show up. Offensive line for Florida is a mess still. Miss St have Sweat and Simmons two future pros and All sec caliber players I am very worried about that. Also the defense was physical last week but prior to that were pushed around by Kentucky so Its to early to tell what defense will show up
Cal has been playing pretty well at home the last couple years (upset Washington state) last year even though it was right after Washington State upset USC. No ones injured that I know from Oregon so the only thing I can think of is that Cal had a bye week, beat BYU, and its a home game. Oregon choked last week and overlooked SJSU the week before for the Stanford game. I still like Oregon in this spot though.
MOODY you said it better than me. You left out the main reason MSU will cover. They circled this game when Mullen bolted to go to Florida. You think KY was ready to play last Saturday against. MSU wait till Saturday evening, you are going to see a very fired up MSU squad will be going all out to bury Florida.
Not sure you'll see this in time. But since apparently you took a few below the belt shots at me last week, I will challenge you to see who performs better picking games the rest of the year. I'll outline out it'll go in the following post. I think the conditions are pretty fair and don't see why you wouldn't agree, but we'll see.
First, on how we got here. Basically, you got mad at me for coming into peoples' posts and offering an alternative view on some games. This is a forum. There is nothing wrong with that. If people come into my posts and trash talk me, it's whatever. I expect it. It's why I stopped posting on here for a while to be honest. But I've basically disputed 3 games this year in 4 weeks - ASU vs MSU, Oregon vs Stanford, Georgia vs Mizzou. I was right on all 3. I don't regularly come into and argue 5 games a week with people. I have better things to do. But if I see a lot of regs on here that people follow on a side that I strongly disagree with, I feel compelled to talk about how I feel. This mainly happens in games with overvalued road favs which is the most common mistake gamblers make in college football. So I try to help people out who I believe are gonna bet a losing side or a side with no value and the fact of the matter is I am right more often than not. I'm 3-0 this year on those games. And I recall last year everyone loving Georgia going into Auburn and I cautioned people home field is huge and most bettors overlook it. Auburn blows em out. I know what I'm talking about.
So anyway, you basically insulted me. Then I said well if you're gonna do that I'm gonna come out and tell you that you analyzed that LSU Auburn game incorrectly and I explained why I believed you did. I mean you asked for it. Then you lost it and demanded I make picks and post them. I hesitantly posted a couple knowing that if they lost you would just berate me based on a ridiculous sample size. I had 10-11 picks that day. It was stupid to randomly only pick a couple. But regardless, they did end up losing and sure enough you went out and called me a loser, etc. Neither were terrible plays either - I just overlooked the fact that LSU and Bama would take their foot off the gas when they got up which they clearly both did because they both nearly were covering the game line at halftime. But it doesn't matter that was last week. The point is I have no problem taking you on and seeing what happens. There was nothing wrong with what I did, yet all your buddies on here are gonna support you no matter what. And probably everyone who replies to your thraet. If I'm gonna be the villain here then fine.
The rules of this challenge -
1. Each person must make a minimum of 5 bets a week and maximum of 15 across NCAA and NFL. You must make at least 2 bets on each one. The reason I have minimum and maximum is if someone gets up and decided to make no picks well that's pretty dumb and similarly you don't want someone chasing with 25 picks either. That just gets a bit ridiculous. With thing being said, expect me to have 10+ most weeks if not every week.
2. Anything that resembles a straight bet is fair game. So if it pays out about even it's good. So basically .85 to 1 is fine. What does this mean? Straight sides are fine. Straight totals are fine. Team totals are fine. 6 point teasers are fine and I will play a ton of teasers. They pay out -110 at most books. Moneyline parlays that end up around even money are fine. So if you got -400, -400, and -500 that's fine. that bet pays out even. 10 point teasers are fine too although you need like 4 sides to make it equivalent to a straight bet.
3. Person who is more games above .500 wins. I think this is the best way to do it. Yeah, we could weight games from like 1 to 3 units, but I believe that just complicates it. For me, it makes no difference because I would weight every the game the max anyway.
4. Get your picks in the day before the game starts.
5. You have to wait till Tuesday or later to make bets. Yeah, I know many people bet on Monday. But limits are lower there and I just think it's a bit stupid. No professional bettor is gonna make a living off that. That's just the truth. Betonline limits are like $500 until later in the week. Obviously, it's different in a casino. But the fact of the matter is there's too much line movement from Monday till Tuesday and I think waiting till at least Tuesday is fair. Personally, I usually will wait till later in the week to post anyway.
6. We use betonline odds. I think many people use their odds here. It's pretty professional and sharp.
7. When you make bets, you use the odds at that given time. You can't state your bets on Thursday using lines from Tuesday. This is fair. Obviously, we have to use the honor system somewhat on this because I won't remember every line on every game every day of the week. But this sounds fair.
8. This will extend through the end of bowl season, which should align with Week 15 or Week 16. I'm open to discuss this. Obviously, this would be at least through the regular season. Then you got a month of bowl games and probably 4 slates of NFL games so I think it would be fun to have this extend to that point and if we want to stop before NFL Week 17 where you get a bunch of teams sitting out I'm fine with that - although I've historically done really well the last 6 weeks of NFL.
I think that's about it. My main concern will be winning myself. If I beat you also then great. Fact is you called me a coward last week and if you want to do that then fine I'll take you on.
If I forgot anything, I'll make another post on it. I think I mentioned everything that's important.
WMI, if my picks beat someone else's picks, I'm putting more money in someone's pocket than that person by definition. I know the guys on here that reply to this thread want to support him no matter what, but good lord be reasonable before you post.
He called me a coward for not posting my picks. Now I'm offering to post all my picks and see who does better. This isn't an ego thing. If it was about that I'd have posted picks earlier this year. I'm simply defending myself.
Every pick I list would be something I personally bet. It's not me throwing out crap for fun and seeing how I do . . . like on cbssports or whatever where people keep records for fun. Pretty much every pick I list would be something I have money on in real life in some form or another.
I'll check back later to see if he responds tonight. If it's a no, fine. But I don't think that's a good look for someone who called me a coward, loser, etc last week.
Established in 1995,
Hot Forum Topics
