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#1
YTD: 123-111 +120.85 Units
Bowl Record: 22-21-1 +80.15 Units
Big Hit with Iowa Hitting for 100 Units....Many know me as a strict Unit Management capper and I always stress that, many have asked have I bailed on that....The answer is NO....As I stated earlier in the year when asked about if I ever go Higher then 10 Units and My answer was yes when the Bank Roll is built High enough, The game is one worth playing that many Units....I will never wager over 10 Units on any Regular Season game and My whole logic with building Units during the year is to have a padded Bank Roll to make this kind of wager at this time of Year.....I did it last year with Florida in The Championship game.....so on to the play with Write Up.......
200 Units: Texas +4
I made my mind up with this game after looking at my computer screen for hours crunching all the numbers, and my conclusion was Texas' Run Defense will make Bama have to pass the ball, which is not their strong point at all on Offense (Ranked 83rd)...Let's face it Bama is a RUN Offense and thats their B&B.....Texas has a Run Defense that allows only 2.0 YPC Ranked #1....
Texas is a Pass team 1st Run 2nd....They rely heavily on their Pass Offense and are very successful with it Ranked #18 in the nation....Bama did beat a Very Very Good Florida team who was a Run Offense 1st and were shut down pretty convincingly by Bama....They have not seen a Pass Offense like they will on Thursday....
Both Teams are not penalized alot and do not turn the ball over that much which to me shows a lot of discipline....Texas Pass attack combined with that stingy Run Defense will be the deciding factor....Because the Beating Bama put on Defending National Champs Florida a couple of weeks ago in the SEC Championship game on National TV, Vegas has the line 4 points higher then it should be......Pressure is on Bama, will their nerves take over?
Good Luck!!!!!
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