*** Bowl Challenge ***

Quote Originally Posted by Boom_Boom:

Jimmy....I went before the board of Boom & Boom and Boom.......They all said picks are final. They said to tell you sorry but this is a very strict and serious competition and all picks that were posted are final...

BTW.... You better catch up with me....  I might be walking away with this thing...

Dude, I never really looked at you picks until this morning, and you have some of the most insane picks I've ever seen!!!  Let's review your top plays.

20.  Baylor - Are you for real???  They may win, but Illy is the more talented team.  This game is no better than a coin flip.

19.  FIU - Absolutely friggin' INSANE!!!

18.  Ohio State - Wrong side . . . LOSER

17.  Tulsa/Hawaii - Good play, and 17 confidence points is about right.

16.  Louisville - Another ridiculous play.  You had a horseshoe stuck up your ass on this one.    Replay ref.

15.  TCU - They have about as much chance of winning as I have of getting a shoot of ass from the girl in my avatar (Kayleigh Pearson)!!!

14.  Bama (OVER) - You better hope Bama hires Todd Graham between now and kickoff, cuz Michigan St will be lucky to hit DD.

13.  Michigan ain't beating Miss St.  Doubt that game is even close.

For real, did you draw this shit out of hat???    We have to make this interesting with a side bet between me and you or something.  You're beating me 33-3 right now, but if those picks you made beat me when this is all said and done, I'll kiss you MFin' ass.  No way in hell!!!

We need a side bet on this.  Not only does the loser lose money, but if I lose I will sport a Clemson avatar for 1-year, and if you lose, you have to sport a Bama avatar for a year!!!

Quote Originally Posted by Boom_Boom:

Jimmy, there is no reason to question my picks... You have known me for nearly 3 years now and have I been very successful every season? Right?? I think your only down fall is Blindly picking the SEC in every matchup... AND NO WAY DOES ARKANSAS BEAT OHIO S.T  FIU and Baylor are my two favorite picks of the bowl season..WHY??? Because I m damn winner thats why!!

You damn right we will take that side bet of Avatars for a YEAR...

ALL I can say is " We welcome you to Clemson Nation Brother"

You know I love you like a brotha Boom, and you are a winner, but . . .

It's not the picks I question so much as the number of confidence points you have assigned to them.  Your top three plays are at best coin flips, and calling the OSU/Arky game a coin flip is being generous.  As badly as the Yuckeyes want to get the SEC monkey off their backs, and as much as the NCAA is rooting for OSU to win, when it's all said and done, they WILL lose by DD.

I didn't blindly take all SEC teams.  I like UNC over Tennessee quite a bit.  But the SEC playing OOC teams is about a 70-80% angle, so if I did it blindly (and I don't do anything blindly), it's a pretty good thing to do blindly.

Baylor is very capable of beating Illy.  I doubt any sane person would argue that point.  Baylor probably played a tougher schedule, but they are pretty much the Robert Griffin show.  From top to bottom Illy is probably the more talented team, and are also quite capable of winning.  I made a bit of a contrarian play on Illy but again, this is a coin flip game.

Oregon and Michigan will not only lose, they will both get drilled.

Head-to-head, the Oregon/Auburn, OSU/Arky and Michigan/Miss St. games (all easy winners for me) are worth +87 points for me.

Ok, so we have an avatar bet then right?

Are we also going to put a little cash on it too to make it interesting?    If so, you name the amount.

Quote Originally Posted by Boom_Boom:

Jimmy, Bowl Season is where I see most people lose there money. You know that. Most people ( Most, I m not saying you ) But for the most part...

Bowls are a different animal. suspension, motivation...ETC.. This is where I think the game changes. For example: If Auburn and Oregon played the week after the regular season, then yes Auburn wins that game. But 30 something days later a lot can change. That's why I believe Oregon benefits from the break more than Auburn. More time to prepare for cam can only help IMO.. and the FIU and Baylor plays are my favorite plays...Why, I think there mis matches..

Avatar bet sounds about right.... we will talk later..

 

Yeah, there are things that factor into bowl capping that are not factors during the regular season.  As you mentioned, extra preparation time is one of those factors that sometimes confers a large advantage to certain teams.  This angle typically works against teams who run non-conventional offenses.  This is one of the biggest angles I exploit year after year.

Last season I posted about two games that fit this angle:  Ohio State/Oregon and Iowa/GT.  Despite many good cappers being on the Ducks, I posted that the extra prep time would be a huge advantage for OSU.

Like OSU, Iowa was another dog that I thought would gain a huge advantage with the extra prep time.  I was so confident that Iowa would be able to shut GT's option attack down that I bet Iowa/UNDER 1st half, 2nd half and game, plus I did 3 2-team parlays.  I won all 9 bets!!!  GT offense scored 1 offensive TD the entire game.

Just as the extra prep time heavily favored OSU last season vesus Oregon, the same applies to Auburn this year.  Although both offenses may look similar because they both utilize a spread philosophy, they are really quite different.

Chip Kelly runs a read offense which means that the QB determines who gets the ball based on his reads.  They also utilize a zone blocking scheme.  Auburn, on the other hand, utilizes a downhill, power running attack that frequently pulls linemen.  To complicate things even more for opposing defenses is the Cam factor.  With Cam playing QB, Auburn is essentially running a Wildcat offense on every play, except their Wildcat RB is a very accurate passer with a huge arm.  That forces opposing defenses to dedicate defensive assets on every play to account for Cam.

For Oregon, it doesn't matter how much time their smallish defense has to prepare for Auburn's power attack, they won't be able to stop it.  But giving Auburn extra time to get learn Oregon's reads, is a gigantic advantage for Auburn.

Auburn will not only win this game, they will win it HUGE . . . 3-4 TDs minimum.

Besides Auburn, extra prep time heavily favors two other teams this bowl season.  San Diego State was one of them, and posted this angle in my thread on that game.  The other team is Boston College.  Nevada won't score 20 points on BC.  BC wins that game.

Quote Originally Posted by Boom_Boom:

man jimmy thats a big statement vs Nevada.. i dont have a dog in the fight other than I need Nevada in my bowl pool. But what most people dont know about that game is BC has a Great run Defense But Me and Jimmy know that..

I think it will be a low scoring game, I m leaning on the under right now.

Matchup-wise this game reminds me of the Notre Dame/Nevada game from opening day last season.  Notre Dame had all summer to prepare for Colin Kaepernick and the pistol, and completely shut him down.  I don't think this game will be quite the blowout that the ND game was, but I think this game will have a very similar feel.

Yeah Boom, BC is not a WAC defense.  The Catholics are very, very sound defensively.  BC wins this game convincingly.  BC and the UNDER for me.

BOOM, any thoughts on the over/under in GT game?

Quote Originally Posted by Boom_Boom:

btw jimmy.... I noticed that you are on the NCST game too.... I think thats a sneaky good pick.. only a few of us are on NCST.

Yeah Boom, the only reason I went with one of your garbage ACC teams is because they are playing a team from an even more garbage conference - the Big Least.  LOL!!!  jk bro.

Naw, for real, I lean NC State, but I'm not really 10-confidence points confident that they'll win.  They certainly have a big coaching advantage IMO.  Let's hope they pull through.

Go Wolfpack baby!!!

Not Boom, but I LOVE the UNDER.  Both defenses should be able to defend the option well.

Easy UNDER!!!

How come you don't have any of these easy ones in the Boom Boom Bowl Bonanza?