Bowl-Eater

I limp into Bowl season with a 47-52-2 record.

BYU  (-11)  5%

D-Town 

Primetime- Right on Brother.

Fresno State (+1.5)  5%

Quote Originally Posted by DaRaiders:

GL Buddy, loved the first oppo on the 2nd.

What's up Raiders. been a while.

Not a bad day. I thought to much about NIU's coach leaving and suckered myself into going with Pat and the girls from Fresno. I plan to make a play on every bowl game. I had shit for time to look at football this year, and most weeks only ran about 40% of the games. I left alot of money out there because of a lack of time and I fully intend to profit nicely during the bowls. Because I'm betting every game I will have 5% bets as the normal amount for games where I identify a team with a nice edge. 1% for all the others and sides.

Card as it Stands

Troy  (-2) 

BYU  (-11) 

Fresno  (+1.5) 

Tuesday :  Louisville/Southern Miss   Under 57  1%

Best of luck, but the under in So Miss scares me... their defense is very suspect. 

GL BUD

I hear ya Brother. In an attempt to find somethin on every game, I'm reaching a little on some of these. Southern Miss had 5 games go under 57 this year. In those 5 games the faced defenses currently rank 68.8 in total defense. Louisville is currently ranked 12th. I only have 2 of those defenses (UCF and South caro) with positive ratings in my "defensive points" rating, but Marshall and La. Tech are both very close to even.

The 6 teams they went over against have an average total defense of 100, with none higher than 80, and 3 ranked 103 or lower. They are negative in my "defensive points" and none are even close to positive.

The 5 under teams ran an average of 819 (per team) offensive plays this year, with just one(La Tech) above 889. The rest were all under 843. Louisville ran just 774 plays this year. The teams So Miss went over with ran an average of 873 with 5 above 894.

The under is 24-12 in the last 3 years when CUSA teams face BCS conference schools.

I look for Strong to try and shorten this game using his big back to eat clock. He's not gonna want a shootout against a fast paced offense with plenty of speed.

It's the only angle I like in this game.  

Card as it Stands

Troy  (-2) 

BYU  (-11) 

Fresno  (+1.5) 

Louisville/Southern Miss   Under 57  1%

Boise/Utah  Under 60.5  1%

Florida International  (+1.5)  1%

NCSU  (+3)  5%

Illinois (+1.5)  1%

Okie State/Arizona  under 65.5 1%

KSU  (-1)  1%

Adding: Florida (-7) 1%

Card as it Stands

Troy  (-2) 

BYU  (-11) 

Fresno  (+1.5) 

Louisville/Southern Miss   Under 57  1%  

Boise/Utah  Under 60.5  1%  

Florida International  (+1.5)  1%

NCSU  (+3)  5%

Illinois (+1.5)  1%

Okie State/Arizona  under 65.5 1%

KSU  (-1)  1%

Clemson  (-5.5)

Florida  (-7)

Card as it Stands

Troy  (-2) 

BYU  (-11) 

Fresno  (+1.5) 

Louisville/Southern Miss   Under 57  1%  

Boise/Utah  Under 60.5  1%  

Florida International  (+1.5)  1%  

NCSU  (+3)  5%

Illinois (+1.5)  1%

Okie State/Arizona  under 65.5 1%

KSU  (-1)  1%

Clemson  (-5.5)  1%

Florida  (-7)  1%

Air Force (-3) -105  5%