WEEK 12 RECAP
BP 3-3, 26-31 YTD
SM 3-0, 45-32 YTD
BRIDGE PLAYS
WYOMING -14
MARYLAND +21.5
BOISE STATE -3.5
AUBURN -20.5 .. HOLY SMOKES ..
MISSOURI -11
VIRGINIA TECH -2.5
SMALLER
ARMY +6
LOUISVILLE -1
APP STATE +12.5
WEEK 12 RECAP
BP 3-3, 26-31 YTD
SM 3-0, 45-32 YTD
BRIDGE PLAYS
WYOMING -14
MARYLAND +21.5
BOISE STATE -3.5
AUBURN -20.5 .. HOLY SMOKES ..
MISSOURI -11
VIRGINIA TECH -2.5
SMALLER
ARMY +6
LOUISVILLE -1
APP STATE +12.5
WEEK 12 RECAP
BP 3-3, 26-31 YTD
SM 3-0, 45-32 YTD
BRIDGE PLAYS
WYOMING -14
MARYLAND +21.5
BOISE STATE -3.5
AUBURN -20.5 .. HOLY SMOKES ..
MISSOURI -11
VIRGINIA TECH -2.5
SMALLER
ARMY +6
LOUISVILLE -1
APP STATE +12.5
BRIDGE PLAYS
BOSTON COLLEGE +8.5
Seein miami actually show up last week made me feel like this is an even worse spot .. gunna be a cold trip nobody wants to be on and we got a good OL / gamer qb in BC that was at least playin hard last week .. hard to judge year end spots we have mostly two dead ones here but Miami feels like a real fish outta water in this one and no reason BC won't want a crack at these guys to close what was actually not a bad season for em .. good luck!
BRIDGE PLAYS
BOSTON COLLEGE +8.5
Seein miami actually show up last week made me feel like this is an even worse spot .. gunna be a cold trip nobody wants to be on and we got a good OL / gamer qb in BC that was at least playin hard last week .. hard to judge year end spots we have mostly two dead ones here but Miami feels like a real fish outta water in this one and no reason BC won't want a crack at these guys to close what was actually not a bad season for em .. good luck!
SMALLER
TEMPLE +12.5
Shoulda made all my smallers bigger this year huh?! .. well good spot for what was another bad season for Temple and im obvi assuming EJ plays at QB .. Pass games have had no problem working vs Memphis this year and what a great ending if they can compete vs a solid AAC foe to close out the year .. if not win .. Memphis off such a massive heartbreaker bubble bust at home .. I expect hennigan to play but hard to imagine the team is really at all into this just EPIC dead spot and layin over 10 like yeah gimme temple here points and ML ..
SMALLER
TEMPLE +12.5
Shoulda made all my smallers bigger this year huh?! .. well good spot for what was another bad season for Temple and im obvi assuming EJ plays at QB .. Pass games have had no problem working vs Memphis this year and what a great ending if they can compete vs a solid AAC foe to close out the year .. if not win .. Memphis off such a massive heartbreaker bubble bust at home .. I expect hennigan to play but hard to imagine the team is really at all into this just EPIC dead spot and layin over 10 like yeah gimme temple here points and ML ..
BRIDGE PLAY
UTAH -21.5
My two worst nightmares fading colorado and laying over 3 TD's .. well yeah doing it even w utah being hit and miss the play up play down spots for these two seem to be predictable and for CU on the road to Utah w no bowl shot anymore this seems like a rollover and die spot w the roster .. Utah w the main ingredients to ruin the Buffs day besides tough, physical well coached team they have a strong dynamic run game buffs won't know how to stop and pass rushing .. Sanders most sacked QB in CFB and Deion doing the right thing taking him out before something really bad happens and I suspect we could get that here too but really not all that worried w Morgan Scallywag callin it for da Utes he'll have a good plan .. This obvi isin't a huge motivational spot but really tough year w many bad breaks and no way Utes fans arent showin up in appreciation as usual because they wayyyyyy out performed for them once again .. think we saw other finales vs CU as more/less a full play down spot as Utes would just need a win for the CCG or full on dead spot and play all backups .. This on the other hand feels much different and beating up the Buffs this year seems like a great way to cap a season to be really proud of .. could get backdoor'd again but think wash state put the writing on the wall now .. slaughter .. good luck!
BRIDGE PLAY
UTAH -21.5
My two worst nightmares fading colorado and laying over 3 TD's .. well yeah doing it even w utah being hit and miss the play up play down spots for these two seem to be predictable and for CU on the road to Utah w no bowl shot anymore this seems like a rollover and die spot w the roster .. Utah w the main ingredients to ruin the Buffs day besides tough, physical well coached team they have a strong dynamic run game buffs won't know how to stop and pass rushing .. Sanders most sacked QB in CFB and Deion doing the right thing taking him out before something really bad happens and I suspect we could get that here too but really not all that worried w Morgan Scallywag callin it for da Utes he'll have a good plan .. This obvi isin't a huge motivational spot but really tough year w many bad breaks and no way Utes fans arent showin up in appreciation as usual because they wayyyyyy out performed for them once again .. think we saw other finales vs CU as more/less a full play down spot as Utes would just need a win for the CCG or full on dead spot and play all backups .. This on the other hand feels much different and beating up the Buffs this year seems like a great way to cap a season to be really proud of .. could get backdoor'd again but think wash state put the writing on the wall now .. slaughter .. good luck!
SMALLER
SOUTH FLORIDA -4.5
Can't say I know all the little angles to these teams .. I can say USF needs one for a most improbable bowl run and really did show up last week @UTSA only to get predictably slaughtered .. but that shouldn't deter them or HC Golesh in the least.. Bynum Brown is a legit dude at QB and maybe their D does stink but I think the way to look at this is biggest punch of the year at home night game saturday thanksgiving .. on the flip side I check around Charlotte's stats and as figured I see RB's and WR's in their last game who you'd never have seen in any of their mid ssn conf games .. whole new lineup, and that makes sense Biff got a ton of xfers in the door new roster and part of that deal is when there's nothing to play for ya gotta step aside and let next years' crop take over .. i'm sure there's plenty of injuries on both sides but the main thing here is one team in a spot to achieve a lofty goal and the other just gotta be lookin to next year esp in a TG night road spot like this one .. always possible a coach says let's go for one more win but we also know Biff to realllly use that portal and this is just a likely spot where the staff maybe is starting gettin ahead of schedule on the off season work ..
this is smaller for now but when I start peepin around them this week and get a worse feeling then idk like what's a dead team worth in this spot vs a motivated team, hard to set the line high enough .. all that considered yeah USF's defense is 100% puuuure dog sheeeeit and ya know its always possible Char has some sorta backups that can play, new QB runs it all over em etc .. so yeah can't go too wild here but will if it reallllly looks like a true downer for the 9'ers because only reason they should hang in this one is the D has been at least somewhat capable and USF's is just nothing we can rely that much on .. we get 2 crappy D's in this one and man Brown prob turns into Jayden Daniels in this one .. - good luck!
SMALLER
SOUTH FLORIDA -4.5
Can't say I know all the little angles to these teams .. I can say USF needs one for a most improbable bowl run and really did show up last week @UTSA only to get predictably slaughtered .. but that shouldn't deter them or HC Golesh in the least.. Bynum Brown is a legit dude at QB and maybe their D does stink but I think the way to look at this is biggest punch of the year at home night game saturday thanksgiving .. on the flip side I check around Charlotte's stats and as figured I see RB's and WR's in their last game who you'd never have seen in any of their mid ssn conf games .. whole new lineup, and that makes sense Biff got a ton of xfers in the door new roster and part of that deal is when there's nothing to play for ya gotta step aside and let next years' crop take over .. i'm sure there's plenty of injuries on both sides but the main thing here is one team in a spot to achieve a lofty goal and the other just gotta be lookin to next year esp in a TG night road spot like this one .. always possible a coach says let's go for one more win but we also know Biff to realllly use that portal and this is just a likely spot where the staff maybe is starting gettin ahead of schedule on the off season work ..
this is smaller for now but when I start peepin around them this week and get a worse feeling then idk like what's a dead team worth in this spot vs a motivated team, hard to set the line high enough .. all that considered yeah USF's defense is 100% puuuure dog sheeeeit and ya know its always possible Char has some sorta backups that can play, new QB runs it all over em etc .. so yeah can't go too wild here but will if it reallllly looks like a true downer for the 9'ers because only reason they should hang in this one is the D has been at least somewhat capable and USF's is just nothing we can rely that much on .. we get 2 crappy D's in this one and man Brown prob turns into Jayden Daniels in this one .. - good luck!
SMALLER
NEBRASKA +1.5
Its a rivalry and shot at a bowl at home .. my read is if we get + anything then take it .. Brasky is not good and injured up in so many ways now .. but the BIG MO spot sits w them as they have narrowly avoided a 6th win for a number of weeks now .. Iowa played a string of tough games too they are banged up, EPIC CB Cooper DeJean is out for the year and while the rest of the D is stout n good Nebraskas is pretty good too and we're gunna have 2 weak offenses looking for any points they can get .. Illinois had their last game virtually in the bag up 13-9 in they stopped 8 drives short of 20 yds and lotta 3 n outs in H2 basically a virtual lock w 5 mins left .. Iowa gets a PI and a 30 yds catch for a TD to seal a 2 pt win .. the 2 pts came on a safety .. been seat of the pants like that in quite a few Minny gets DeJean's punt return called back and they win a super squeeker .. yeah division locked up now and while its a blood curdling revenge spot, Neb booted them from their virtual lock for the division last year heading into Iowa as 11 pt dogs .. and man Iowa could barely score 11 it was a sure thing .. welp Nebraska always the dog and covered 4 outta 5 .. maybe payback coming from last year pulling a shocker we'll see it could land a few ways even if Iowa showed up motivated the offensive situation just allows too many ways for Huskers to pull off a win or just a 1 pt loss here .. good luck!
SMALLER
NEBRASKA +1.5
Its a rivalry and shot at a bowl at home .. my read is if we get + anything then take it .. Brasky is not good and injured up in so many ways now .. but the BIG MO spot sits w them as they have narrowly avoided a 6th win for a number of weeks now .. Iowa played a string of tough games too they are banged up, EPIC CB Cooper DeJean is out for the year and while the rest of the D is stout n good Nebraskas is pretty good too and we're gunna have 2 weak offenses looking for any points they can get .. Illinois had their last game virtually in the bag up 13-9 in they stopped 8 drives short of 20 yds and lotta 3 n outs in H2 basically a virtual lock w 5 mins left .. Iowa gets a PI and a 30 yds catch for a TD to seal a 2 pt win .. the 2 pts came on a safety .. been seat of the pants like that in quite a few Minny gets DeJean's punt return called back and they win a super squeeker .. yeah division locked up now and while its a blood curdling revenge spot, Neb booted them from their virtual lock for the division last year heading into Iowa as 11 pt dogs .. and man Iowa could barely score 11 it was a sure thing .. welp Nebraska always the dog and covered 4 outta 5 .. maybe payback coming from last year pulling a shocker we'll see it could land a few ways even if Iowa showed up motivated the offensive situation just allows too many ways for Huskers to pull off a win or just a 1 pt loss here .. good luck!
SMALLER
MICH STATE / PENN ST UNDER 43.5
Can't call it more than smaller even if I wanted too .. this one's at Fan D and w news of Allar's 'significant' injury I think we can start leaning under in a game featuring guys deeeep down the QB lineup .. Nitney's backup FR Beau Pribula went 3/5 vs Delaware for 20 yds and that's his best day so far .. couple 1 att games too but mostly used in mop up duty as a dual run QB has some legs and maybe can throw but maaaan we didn't see it as he played H2 last game and threw 1 pass for 9 yds .. if it wasn't apparent Penn State doesn't have any receiving targets before just nothing to throw at down the stretch they have some major probs all over the rec corps from injuries and depth is real limited they have 2 WR's and use their 2 TE's quite a bit .. nobody else goes in and the starters clearly not that good .. Dante Cephus was billed as the piece theyve been missing xfer from Kent State and no surprise he's not much of a B10 WR .. I also though I saw one of their good RB's get hurt but maybe he came back in idk ..
Mich State has maybe the biggest laundry list of injuries to a CFB team in history and on what woulda been their 3rd or 4th QB now if Thorn wasn't busy losing to NMSU at his new SEC gig .. coach gone ton of guys out and this team found a way to play for themselves vs an equally not good but still playin Hoosiers team .. and one things for sure MSU shows up in this one basically 6-2-2 ATS last 10 gms w two ties being half pt one way or another .. point is they don't fall over two losses were throttles and otherwise they have caught penn state end of a disappointing season and have often surprised winning as a big dog a few times recently .. even at home w PSU's backup QB MSU is still a 3 TD DOG!!!! .. man okay MSU must reallllly suck again but yeah throw out what'cha know feels like Sparty will show up and if PSU is unmotivated and one dimensional and really the pass D is what has stunk so idk if Sparty can bolster their run D and not worry about a pass attack then man I give sparty a fightin chance to eek one out too .. Nebraska was one dimensional and played Iowa Minny close enough .. Wash, OSU, Mich all THROTTLED them thru the air .. run stop unit isin't necessarily good but under 4 yds/carry on the year OSU / Wash had over 5/carry but even Mich was under 4 so .. funnnny feelin and gettin INSAINO odds here for maybe the sneakiest BOMB of da week ..
SMALLER
MICH STATE / PENN ST UNDER 43.5
Can't call it more than smaller even if I wanted too .. this one's at Fan D and w news of Allar's 'significant' injury I think we can start leaning under in a game featuring guys deeeep down the QB lineup .. Nitney's backup FR Beau Pribula went 3/5 vs Delaware for 20 yds and that's his best day so far .. couple 1 att games too but mostly used in mop up duty as a dual run QB has some legs and maybe can throw but maaaan we didn't see it as he played H2 last game and threw 1 pass for 9 yds .. if it wasn't apparent Penn State doesn't have any receiving targets before just nothing to throw at down the stretch they have some major probs all over the rec corps from injuries and depth is real limited they have 2 WR's and use their 2 TE's quite a bit .. nobody else goes in and the starters clearly not that good .. Dante Cephus was billed as the piece theyve been missing xfer from Kent State and no surprise he's not much of a B10 WR .. I also though I saw one of their good RB's get hurt but maybe he came back in idk ..
Mich State has maybe the biggest laundry list of injuries to a CFB team in history and on what woulda been their 3rd or 4th QB now if Thorn wasn't busy losing to NMSU at his new SEC gig .. coach gone ton of guys out and this team found a way to play for themselves vs an equally not good but still playin Hoosiers team .. and one things for sure MSU shows up in this one basically 6-2-2 ATS last 10 gms w two ties being half pt one way or another .. point is they don't fall over two losses were throttles and otherwise they have caught penn state end of a disappointing season and have often surprised winning as a big dog a few times recently .. even at home w PSU's backup QB MSU is still a 3 TD DOG!!!! .. man okay MSU must reallllly suck again but yeah throw out what'cha know feels like Sparty will show up and if PSU is unmotivated and one dimensional and really the pass D is what has stunk so idk if Sparty can bolster their run D and not worry about a pass attack then man I give sparty a fightin chance to eek one out too .. Nebraska was one dimensional and played Iowa Minny close enough .. Wash, OSU, Mich all THROTTLED them thru the air .. run stop unit isin't necessarily good but under 4 yds/carry on the year OSU / Wash had over 5/carry but even Mich was under 4 so .. funnnny feelin and gettin INSAINO odds here for maybe the sneakiest BOMB of da week ..
Bridge you are a good capper but I must ask - is it unusual for your smaller plays to outperform your Bridge plays? That seems to have happened most of the year and continues to happen. What about past seasons?
No disrespect and thanks in advance.
Super Chicken
Bridge you are a good capper but I must ask - is it unusual for your smaller plays to outperform your Bridge plays? That seems to have happened most of the year and continues to happen. What about past seasons?
No disrespect and thanks in advance.
Super Chicken
@Super_Chicken
Usually over 50% on both of them idk if the smallers have done better would have to check but I doubt significantly .. total anomaly and just some games think I got a better beat on how things will go and agree too many didn't pan this time.. too many stinkers and think quite a few 50/50 balls in there managed to hit the L column .. yeah grabbed some real stinkers and can't have too many of those, want winners or at least something to get luck on .. that said I also had like copious line value on a number of plays that just got murdered like had a couple 10 point movers early hawaii week zero and another one was a big mover dog team didn't show up .. Auburn went from 20.5 and I saw a 27.5 pre-kick .. the angle there is hope Freeze gets paid enough to remember what Pavia did to him last year same spot 2nd to last gm at liberty 28 pt dog showed up and got a 28 point win .. heard Pavia was playin hurt last week and thought yeah 13 gm reg season, just made champ gm, crazy road schedule w Liberty and Hawaii within a week of each other then conf kicked in .. will be 15 game season after the bowl gm .. got a 12-0 Lib squad that beat em already just waitin for them ... like why the heck risk an injury w so much on the line no rest in months etc.. welp now we know why and Freeze clearly didn't think to practice for them .. sometimes I see a spot like Wyoming last week .. Hawaii beats a struggling AF team in at home in just a totally nasty spot for them getting +4 turnovers and they're also a 13 gm schedule long stretch since a bye and they show up in laramie and my sense says they won't last long.. Wyo beat em on the first play TD bomb and dominated em .. I BP'd that immediately on Sunday at -14 and it was sittin -13.5 all week .. wth!!! .. but yeah too many bad reads in the BP pile this year thinkin a team will show up but dick around instead play a bad game .. yeah smaller stuff maybe more of a gut feel and those have come thru .. maybe continues maybe changes up we'll see .. good luck buddy
@Super_Chicken
Usually over 50% on both of them idk if the smallers have done better would have to check but I doubt significantly .. total anomaly and just some games think I got a better beat on how things will go and agree too many didn't pan this time.. too many stinkers and think quite a few 50/50 balls in there managed to hit the L column .. yeah grabbed some real stinkers and can't have too many of those, want winners or at least something to get luck on .. that said I also had like copious line value on a number of plays that just got murdered like had a couple 10 point movers early hawaii week zero and another one was a big mover dog team didn't show up .. Auburn went from 20.5 and I saw a 27.5 pre-kick .. the angle there is hope Freeze gets paid enough to remember what Pavia did to him last year same spot 2nd to last gm at liberty 28 pt dog showed up and got a 28 point win .. heard Pavia was playin hurt last week and thought yeah 13 gm reg season, just made champ gm, crazy road schedule w Liberty and Hawaii within a week of each other then conf kicked in .. will be 15 game season after the bowl gm .. got a 12-0 Lib squad that beat em already just waitin for them ... like why the heck risk an injury w so much on the line no rest in months etc.. welp now we know why and Freeze clearly didn't think to practice for them .. sometimes I see a spot like Wyoming last week .. Hawaii beats a struggling AF team in at home in just a totally nasty spot for them getting +4 turnovers and they're also a 13 gm schedule long stretch since a bye and they show up in laramie and my sense says they won't last long.. Wyo beat em on the first play TD bomb and dominated em .. I BP'd that immediately on Sunday at -14 and it was sittin -13.5 all week .. wth!!! .. but yeah too many bad reads in the BP pile this year thinkin a team will show up but dick around instead play a bad game .. yeah smaller stuff maybe more of a gut feel and those have come thru .. maybe continues maybe changes up we'll see .. good luck buddy
BRIDGE PLAY
NAVY +20.5
Okay now this is the bridgiest of bridge plays just so everyone knows lol .. So first things first maybe the best way to play this one is wait to see what happens w UTSA/Tulane on Friday as the reallly strong value here is if Tulane wins Friday this game becomes almost a moot point as SMU is way ahead of UTSA in the average computer rankings that would determine a tiebreaker for the AAC and Home field would go to Tulane with certainty as the only team in the CFP .. if UTSA wins then it is possible SMU seeks to throttle these guys thinking they could be overtaken in the cpu ratings w a quality win although it does seem like all SMU would need to do is just win and they'd get home field .. they def can't lose .. there's a good article about this posted below .. so there are contingencies and SMU in a perfect world should be super prepped for Navy and wax em good but reality is this is a perfect down spot and/or rest stop for a long season that featured OU, TCU and just off an intense squeeker win vs Memphis on the road .. its a legit down spot for SMU and seems unavoidable you know both teams you'll face in the champ game you're def gunna take time from Navy plans to plan for those teams .. and while SMU may put a big score up there's only so much risk you wanna take leavin Stone out there and other guys so backdoor is kinda left open already ..
Anyway I think its real easy for SMU to have a tough time here Navy is already tough to plan for, took SMU to the wire last year and tricky spot makes it worse see UCF last year in not quite the exact same but similar big home fav looking ahead forgetting about these guys and got stung at the bounce house.. one of the reasons is Middies have a really good run D and SMU pumps out big numbers leading w their run gm 40+ runs to 20-30 passes / gm .. don't expect their best game and Navy has a unit that can stop em and blitz is able to get home to the QB in almost every game .. 8 times vs UNT! .. tough to keep up w Navy QB's but xavier arline been in last 3 games and both running and passing had a better 3 gm stretch than anyone else has had this year .. Think we'd have seen him earlier but he didn't get spring ball w the new OC playing lacross and welp seems to have picked the O up at this point.. doesn't seem to be any significant injuries and Middies sittin at 5 games w Army to go but bowl bids go out and if there's enough teams filling in then they'll get skipped even if they win .. so yeah lock it up now guys ..
I hit the ML on this one early w closer to 10-1 odds yeah those plummeted to 6.5-1 quickly and can't recommend that but would say shop around this looks like a great spot for an upset and yeah could be a total drubbing if navy has too many miscues .. but all things considerred yeah think Middys hang here and maybe real close .. +14 in turnovers this year, total lost 9 total gained 23 .. Ponies don't turn it over much .. 9 lost but only 13 gained +4 overall .. last 2 weeks of the season (excl Army gm) Navy is 26-14 ATS since 2000 .. for last wk vs conf opponents 16-6 .. and on the road 9-2 .. and as a dog 4-1 .. Middies as a conf dog 14 pts or more in any week they are 13-4 ATS .. 8-1 on the road .. so spot checks out .. good luck!
https://www.underdogdynasty.com/2023/11/19/23967550/breaking-down-every-2023-aac-championship-game-scenario-tulane-smu-utsa-tiebreakers-title-american
BRIDGE PLAY
NAVY +20.5
Okay now this is the bridgiest of bridge plays just so everyone knows lol .. So first things first maybe the best way to play this one is wait to see what happens w UTSA/Tulane on Friday as the reallly strong value here is if Tulane wins Friday this game becomes almost a moot point as SMU is way ahead of UTSA in the average computer rankings that would determine a tiebreaker for the AAC and Home field would go to Tulane with certainty as the only team in the CFP .. if UTSA wins then it is possible SMU seeks to throttle these guys thinking they could be overtaken in the cpu ratings w a quality win although it does seem like all SMU would need to do is just win and they'd get home field .. they def can't lose .. there's a good article about this posted below .. so there are contingencies and SMU in a perfect world should be super prepped for Navy and wax em good but reality is this is a perfect down spot and/or rest stop for a long season that featured OU, TCU and just off an intense squeeker win vs Memphis on the road .. its a legit down spot for SMU and seems unavoidable you know both teams you'll face in the champ game you're def gunna take time from Navy plans to plan for those teams .. and while SMU may put a big score up there's only so much risk you wanna take leavin Stone out there and other guys so backdoor is kinda left open already ..
Anyway I think its real easy for SMU to have a tough time here Navy is already tough to plan for, took SMU to the wire last year and tricky spot makes it worse see UCF last year in not quite the exact same but similar big home fav looking ahead forgetting about these guys and got stung at the bounce house.. one of the reasons is Middies have a really good run D and SMU pumps out big numbers leading w their run gm 40+ runs to 20-30 passes / gm .. don't expect their best game and Navy has a unit that can stop em and blitz is able to get home to the QB in almost every game .. 8 times vs UNT! .. tough to keep up w Navy QB's but xavier arline been in last 3 games and both running and passing had a better 3 gm stretch than anyone else has had this year .. Think we'd have seen him earlier but he didn't get spring ball w the new OC playing lacross and welp seems to have picked the O up at this point.. doesn't seem to be any significant injuries and Middies sittin at 5 games w Army to go but bowl bids go out and if there's enough teams filling in then they'll get skipped even if they win .. so yeah lock it up now guys ..
I hit the ML on this one early w closer to 10-1 odds yeah those plummeted to 6.5-1 quickly and can't recommend that but would say shop around this looks like a great spot for an upset and yeah could be a total drubbing if navy has too many miscues .. but all things considerred yeah think Middys hang here and maybe real close .. +14 in turnovers this year, total lost 9 total gained 23 .. Ponies don't turn it over much .. 9 lost but only 13 gained +4 overall .. last 2 weeks of the season (excl Army gm) Navy is 26-14 ATS since 2000 .. for last wk vs conf opponents 16-6 .. and on the road 9-2 .. and as a dog 4-1 .. Middies as a conf dog 14 pts or more in any week they are 13-4 ATS .. 8-1 on the road .. so spot checks out .. good luck!
https://www.underdogdynasty.com/2023/11/19/23967550/breaking-down-every-2023-aac-championship-game-scenario-tulane-smu-utsa-tiebreakers-title-american
Valuable info
Any thoughts on New Mexico St? I was eyeing them in this spot then they messed around and beat Auburn and that screwed up my plans. Then line opens super low which now screams take Jax st
Valuable info
Any thoughts on New Mexico St? I was eyeing them in this spot then they messed around and beat Auburn and that screwed up my plans. Then line opens super low which now screams take Jax st
BRIDGE PLAY
DUKE -6
Man what a wild year for the dukies huh, things turned fast w Leonard injured in that FSU game but lookin like a team that was gunna beat the noles and find a way into the champ game .. then it turned .. and not just leonard injury but look at that schedule .. ND, NC.ST, @FSU, @VILLE, WAKE @UNC, @UVA .. insanely tough stretch w 4/5 on the road w a huge QB injury in the middle of it .. Dukies were still figurting out the QB sitch when they beat Wake and took UNC to overtime in an epic comeback in the huge rivalry on the road .. very tough spot last week w a surging UVA team and really mistakes cost duke was not a good spot or game for them but no doubt UVA has a QB and that WR they got has challenged every D had a huge day .. so yeah string of losses but they got up in the big spots besides @Ville where the floor caved in on em .. Thats the reason we get a decent line here I think .. that and Pitt team bagged a big win last week home finale vs BC .. Pitt had 3rd string QB Nate Yarnell first start 207 yds and the run game broke a few big ones for their best day of the season .. string of games under 100 yds coming into this one .. BC's D especially their pass D hasn't been good against anything breathing they had Uconn and Army and Cuse's backup Del Rio stunk .. but Holy Cross w a good QB had a nice day nearly won, UVA, Ville and VT had no problem .. and yeah Pitt put a few yards up too .. But keep in mind that Cuse with a TE at QB who didn't throw the ball RAN ALLLL OVER these guys 400 yds 6/carry in yankee stadium like Pitt wasn't ready for that big game lol and no pass game, load the box didn't matter and seems like duke w 2 and maybe 3 really good RB's if Coleman plays just has a field day and if needed some solid WR's and a decent enough QB ..
Also if there's a coach worth trusting to show up and bag a win in a good spot without bowls or championships on the line feels like Elko is the guy .. no sign of him leaving to AM sounds like that's at least TBD after the season and man is duke just starving for a good quality win at this point .. great news that Leonard says he might be back for the bowl game .. Duke showed up to theirs last year big time players aren't jettin they want to play and win .. their new QB did well vs UNC and vs UVA after a trial by fire early he should be fine here and I don't see any real holes from injuries anywhere else team is virtually in tact from week 1 .. don't think Pitt is "surging" late been a horror show year its a horrible spot roadie after big home win and Narduzzi is gunna make Yarnell the starter here I just do not see this going well against a real secondary Duke given up 9 TD's to 8 picks this year theyre gunna get this guy I think .. also .. Duke also 0-7 vs Pitt .. last win 2014 .. Beat Elko in 2nd to last gm last year playing much better D and man Elko bustin all the ugly duke losing streaks no way he and the troops aren't rallying to what looks like a really great spot for them vs pretty ugly one for Pitt hittin the road on TG weekend for non rivalry after just a huuuge win in their home finale .. yeah go duke!
BRIDGE PLAY
DUKE -6
Man what a wild year for the dukies huh, things turned fast w Leonard injured in that FSU game but lookin like a team that was gunna beat the noles and find a way into the champ game .. then it turned .. and not just leonard injury but look at that schedule .. ND, NC.ST, @FSU, @VILLE, WAKE @UNC, @UVA .. insanely tough stretch w 4/5 on the road w a huge QB injury in the middle of it .. Dukies were still figurting out the QB sitch when they beat Wake and took UNC to overtime in an epic comeback in the huge rivalry on the road .. very tough spot last week w a surging UVA team and really mistakes cost duke was not a good spot or game for them but no doubt UVA has a QB and that WR they got has challenged every D had a huge day .. so yeah string of losses but they got up in the big spots besides @Ville where the floor caved in on em .. Thats the reason we get a decent line here I think .. that and Pitt team bagged a big win last week home finale vs BC .. Pitt had 3rd string QB Nate Yarnell first start 207 yds and the run game broke a few big ones for their best day of the season .. string of games under 100 yds coming into this one .. BC's D especially their pass D hasn't been good against anything breathing they had Uconn and Army and Cuse's backup Del Rio stunk .. but Holy Cross w a good QB had a nice day nearly won, UVA, Ville and VT had no problem .. and yeah Pitt put a few yards up too .. But keep in mind that Cuse with a TE at QB who didn't throw the ball RAN ALLLL OVER these guys 400 yds 6/carry in yankee stadium like Pitt wasn't ready for that big game lol and no pass game, load the box didn't matter and seems like duke w 2 and maybe 3 really good RB's if Coleman plays just has a field day and if needed some solid WR's and a decent enough QB ..
Also if there's a coach worth trusting to show up and bag a win in a good spot without bowls or championships on the line feels like Elko is the guy .. no sign of him leaving to AM sounds like that's at least TBD after the season and man is duke just starving for a good quality win at this point .. great news that Leonard says he might be back for the bowl game .. Duke showed up to theirs last year big time players aren't jettin they want to play and win .. their new QB did well vs UNC and vs UVA after a trial by fire early he should be fine here and I don't see any real holes from injuries anywhere else team is virtually in tact from week 1 .. don't think Pitt is "surging" late been a horror show year its a horrible spot roadie after big home win and Narduzzi is gunna make Yarnell the starter here I just do not see this going well against a real secondary Duke given up 9 TD's to 8 picks this year theyre gunna get this guy I think .. also .. Duke also 0-7 vs Pitt .. last win 2014 .. Beat Elko in 2nd to last gm last year playing much better D and man Elko bustin all the ugly duke losing streaks no way he and the troops aren't rallying to what looks like a really great spot for them vs pretty ugly one for Pitt hittin the road on TG weekend for non rivalry after just a huuuge win in their home finale .. yeah go duke!
BRIDGE PLAY
SOUTH FLORIDA -5.5
Heard the presser from Biff and kinda confirms what I was thinking here Charlotte w a ton of injuries .. "10 starters out" .. eek .. very thin at positions playin backups already guys on D getting no subs, great time to see who wants to play next year, disappointing year, off a really disappointing game and on and on .. so yeah this is the spot I was kinda expecting here ..
All that said disappointed coach wanting to see whose wanting to play doesn't mean guys won't play hard .. Biff wants to see who will play hard here .. that can be dangerous too but again all told we got a super duper dead spot w guys falling off the depth chart and roster vs USF team who only care about a win here .. Also need to know USF's D is super duper dog sheeeit .. Charlotte QB gets hot here and maybe he's running in TD's left and right .. maybe gets them competitive or backdoor shot here idk ..
I'd anticipate a line move well over a TD by kickoff maybe -10 for USF, we'll see there .. think best way to play this one is now, or maybe USF's TT or wait for in-game see if Charlotte can get a wacky score and blast it .. might do all of em lol .. good luck!
BRIDGE PLAY
SOUTH FLORIDA -5.5
Heard the presser from Biff and kinda confirms what I was thinking here Charlotte w a ton of injuries .. "10 starters out" .. eek .. very thin at positions playin backups already guys on D getting no subs, great time to see who wants to play next year, disappointing year, off a really disappointing game and on and on .. so yeah this is the spot I was kinda expecting here ..
All that said disappointed coach wanting to see whose wanting to play doesn't mean guys won't play hard .. Biff wants to see who will play hard here .. that can be dangerous too but again all told we got a super duper dead spot w guys falling off the depth chart and roster vs USF team who only care about a win here .. Also need to know USF's D is super duper dog sheeeit .. Charlotte QB gets hot here and maybe he's running in TD's left and right .. maybe gets them competitive or backdoor shot here idk ..
I'd anticipate a line move well over a TD by kickoff maybe -10 for USF, we'll see there .. think best way to play this one is now, or maybe USF's TT or wait for in-game see if Charlotte can get a wacky score and blast it .. might do all of em lol .. good luck!
@inFAMOUS-STYLE
Ha yeah well I can tell you I'm like -40 ATS points picking NMSU games so prob not the guy to ask .. I thought they wouldn't show last week recall NM's 13 game schedule and insane travel schedule and decided to play the game of their lives at auburn .. Jax aint playin for a bowl their playin for the record and wouldn't it be a feather in the cap to knock these guys off here and think they're off a bye too .. gun to head Jax in what is a legit meaningless game and just about the most insane down spot one could dream up .. but thought last week was too so ..
All I can say is def wait till ya know whose playin here Pavia is an absolute MACHINE so maybe he's not even phased .. also .. NMSU racked up a few top 25 AP votes and not that that should be a consideration to play or not it does kinda seem like if the team has a voice on the matter they're like heck yeah we're showin up and then we're gunna beat Liberty who just cracked the CFP ranking .. ya know if Tulane loses and they beat Lib there does sorta seem like a case for NMSU in that NY6 bowl huh?! .. feels like UTSA or SMU will ultimately take it if Tulane loses this week or in the champ gm .. but man if they run this stretch and wax Lib and Auburn idk man why not give em another crack at a big team huh?! .. SMU couldn't handle TCU or OU .. UTSA couldnt handle Houston or Army .. NMSU could have a pretty great case if they romp to the end and I'd love to see it!
@inFAMOUS-STYLE
Ha yeah well I can tell you I'm like -40 ATS points picking NMSU games so prob not the guy to ask .. I thought they wouldn't show last week recall NM's 13 game schedule and insane travel schedule and decided to play the game of their lives at auburn .. Jax aint playin for a bowl their playin for the record and wouldn't it be a feather in the cap to knock these guys off here and think they're off a bye too .. gun to head Jax in what is a legit meaningless game and just about the most insane down spot one could dream up .. but thought last week was too so ..
All I can say is def wait till ya know whose playin here Pavia is an absolute MACHINE so maybe he's not even phased .. also .. NMSU racked up a few top 25 AP votes and not that that should be a consideration to play or not it does kinda seem like if the team has a voice on the matter they're like heck yeah we're showin up and then we're gunna beat Liberty who just cracked the CFP ranking .. ya know if Tulane loses and they beat Lib there does sorta seem like a case for NMSU in that NY6 bowl huh?! .. feels like UTSA or SMU will ultimately take it if Tulane loses this week or in the champ gm .. but man if they run this stretch and wax Lib and Auburn idk man why not give em another crack at a big team huh?! .. SMU couldn't handle TCU or OU .. UTSA couldnt handle Houston or Army .. NMSU could have a pretty great case if they romp to the end and I'd love to see it!
FUTURES UPDATE
Welp ... 13-6 heading into the finale .. will it be 13-9?.... 16-6??!!!!...
App w a miracle shot to have a chance to beat that one, part of the reason for playin em last week vs JMU but figured they'd fall apart after that Wyoming trip and man a few games in there like the ULM return roadie coulda sealed this one off ..
Fresno really did surprise me pulling themselves together we had a chance to kill this vs UNLV and thx NM for steppin up .. sounds like Keene is in this week but man o man trip to SDSU for the late night TG weekend finale after a TOTAL DEFLATOR and TECS are lookin to send coach out a winner .. feels like empty stadium won't get them more excited I'm hoping to hedge in game if SDSU can land a quick punch .. line will drop quick if Fres shows up flat ..
Oreg State .. no prob at all if the Beavs get to 9 wins! .. see conf futures for that!!! GO CATS!!!
REG SSN WINS:
APP STATE UNDER 7 -115
FRESNO ST UNDER 8.5 -110
OREG. STATE UNDER 8.5 -142
RICE OVER 4 -130
CAL OVER 4.5 -140
UMASS OVER 2 -120
UAB UNDER 5.5 -110
KENT ST UNDER 3 -125
KENT ST UNDER 2.5 -118
CINCY UNDER 5.5 -150
TOLEDO OVER 8.5 -115
ARIZONA OVER 4.5 -122
GA TECH OVER 4.5 +120
N.TEXAS UNDER 7.5 -130
ARKANSAS UNDER 7 -125
E.CAROLINA UNDER 6.5 -134
WASHINGTON UNDER 9.5 -134
LOUISVILLE UNDER 8.5 -140
WISCONSIN OVER 8.5 -110
LIBERTY UNDER 9 +100
UCONN OVER 4.5 -130
UTEP OVER 5.5 -110
FUTURES UPDATE
Welp ... 13-6 heading into the finale .. will it be 13-9?.... 16-6??!!!!...
App w a miracle shot to have a chance to beat that one, part of the reason for playin em last week vs JMU but figured they'd fall apart after that Wyoming trip and man a few games in there like the ULM return roadie coulda sealed this one off ..
Fresno really did surprise me pulling themselves together we had a chance to kill this vs UNLV and thx NM for steppin up .. sounds like Keene is in this week but man o man trip to SDSU for the late night TG weekend finale after a TOTAL DEFLATOR and TECS are lookin to send coach out a winner .. feels like empty stadium won't get them more excited I'm hoping to hedge in game if SDSU can land a quick punch .. line will drop quick if Fres shows up flat ..
Oreg State .. no prob at all if the Beavs get to 9 wins! .. see conf futures for that!!! GO CATS!!!
REG SSN WINS:
APP STATE UNDER 7 -115
FRESNO ST UNDER 8.5 -110
OREG. STATE UNDER 8.5 -142
RICE OVER 4 -130
CAL OVER 4.5 -140
UMASS OVER 2 -120
UAB UNDER 5.5 -110
KENT ST UNDER 3 -125
KENT ST UNDER 2.5 -118
CINCY UNDER 5.5 -150
TOLEDO OVER 8.5 -115
ARIZONA OVER 4.5 -122
GA TECH OVER 4.5 +120
N.TEXAS UNDER 7.5 -130
ARKANSAS UNDER 7 -125
E.CAROLINA UNDER 6.5 -134
WASHINGTON UNDER 9.5 -134
LOUISVILLE UNDER 8.5 -140
WISCONSIN OVER 8.5 -110
LIBERTY UNDER 9 +100
UCONN OVER 4.5 -130
UTEP OVER 5.5 -110
PRE-SSN FUTURES UPDATE CONT'D ..
CONF CHAMPS:
CUSA NMSU 30-1
PAC ARIZ 100-1
B12 IA ST 50-1
B12 TCU 16-1
PAC UTAH 6-1
PAC CAL 100-1
PAC UCLA 16-1
ACC DUKE 50-1
ACC MIAMI 20-1
ACC GTECH 200-1
MAC AKR 50-1
MAC N.ILL 25-1
AAC FAU 10-1
AAC NAVY 40-1
SUN TX.ST 75-1
SUN GA.SO 18-1
CUSA UTEP 16-1
SEC-WEST OLE MISS 22-1
SEC-EAST KENTUCKY 75-1
HEISMAN:
CARSON BECK 40-1 .. miracle??
GRAYSON MCCALL 250-1
TANNER MORDECHAI 125-1
NATTY:
TEXAS 30-1
OHIO ST 8.5-1
TEXAS A&M 60-1
CONF CHAMP PARLAYS:
UGA, CLEM, WISCO.. 43-1
WKY, TOLEDO, BOISE.. 17-1
WKY, UGA, BOISE, TOLEDO, TEXAS, SMU.. 498-1
PRE-SSN FUTURES UPDATE CONT'D ..
CONF CHAMPS:
CUSA NMSU 30-1
PAC ARIZ 100-1
B12 IA ST 50-1
B12 TCU 16-1
PAC UTAH 6-1
PAC CAL 100-1
PAC UCLA 16-1
ACC DUKE 50-1
ACC MIAMI 20-1
ACC GTECH 200-1
MAC AKR 50-1
MAC N.ILL 25-1
AAC FAU 10-1
AAC NAVY 40-1
SUN TX.ST 75-1
SUN GA.SO 18-1
CUSA UTEP 16-1
SEC-WEST OLE MISS 22-1
SEC-EAST KENTUCKY 75-1
HEISMAN:
CARSON BECK 40-1 .. miracle??
GRAYSON MCCALL 250-1
TANNER MORDECHAI 125-1
NATTY:
TEXAS 30-1
OHIO ST 8.5-1
TEXAS A&M 60-1
CONF CHAMP PARLAYS:
UGA, CLEM, WISCO.. 43-1
WKY, TOLEDO, BOISE.. 17-1
WKY, UGA, BOISE, TOLEDO, TEXAS, SMU.. 498-1
Texas / Ohio State Natty Shots look umm.. about the same as they did when I bet them lol .. be fun if we got both in there huh?!
AZ need da Beavs to win and Cats to beat ASU to make the champ game .. WOW did they turn RED HOT .. whats wild is I saw their backup QB in the spring gm and thought he looked great and no prob takin a stab on the RSW and CONF just knowing there's a guy that can take over incase Delaura gets hurt .. man o man if only he started wk 1 instead of vs Wash I think we're just hangin out this week waiting to know who we're playing .. GO CATS! .. (AND BEAVS!!) ..
NMSU loses at home to UMASS wk zero lol another EPIC turnaround and really did us a favor last week knocking the Lib Look ahead line down from +21 to +10 lol .. realllllly hope we get a shot in game to hedge our action its still real expensive .. I will say if NMSU strikes first like they did in their week 2 game that in-gm line is droppin real fast .. wish NM had home field but man o man happy to be backin Pavia right now .. and at 11-0 Liberty has a realllly tricky spot here @UTEP which should be easy but 30+days since last roadie long trip, elevation, UTEP off a bye, perfect record on the line, cracked the CFP 25 maybe shot at the NY6 now oh and our conf champ game on deck ..
Special thx to Iowa State, Duke, Texas State .. fun while it lasted and had a few hedges in there recoup some of the futures failures .. special F.U. to G-Southern w a total meltdown shoulda locked up the division weeks ago .. extra special F.U. to WKY, kills my conf parlays .. youuu guyyyss suuuuuck!!! .. oh and UTEP for F sake .. you better win this week .. or else ..
Texas / Ohio State Natty Shots look umm.. about the same as they did when I bet them lol .. be fun if we got both in there huh?!
AZ need da Beavs to win and Cats to beat ASU to make the champ game .. WOW did they turn RED HOT .. whats wild is I saw their backup QB in the spring gm and thought he looked great and no prob takin a stab on the RSW and CONF just knowing there's a guy that can take over incase Delaura gets hurt .. man o man if only he started wk 1 instead of vs Wash I think we're just hangin out this week waiting to know who we're playing .. GO CATS! .. (AND BEAVS!!) ..
NMSU loses at home to UMASS wk zero lol another EPIC turnaround and really did us a favor last week knocking the Lib Look ahead line down from +21 to +10 lol .. realllllly hope we get a shot in game to hedge our action its still real expensive .. I will say if NMSU strikes first like they did in their week 2 game that in-gm line is droppin real fast .. wish NM had home field but man o man happy to be backin Pavia right now .. and at 11-0 Liberty has a realllly tricky spot here @UTEP which should be easy but 30+days since last roadie long trip, elevation, UTEP off a bye, perfect record on the line, cracked the CFP 25 maybe shot at the NY6 now oh and our conf champ game on deck ..
Special thx to Iowa State, Duke, Texas State .. fun while it lasted and had a few hedges in there recoup some of the futures failures .. special F.U. to G-Southern w a total meltdown shoulda locked up the division weeks ago .. extra special F.U. to WKY, kills my conf parlays .. youuu guyyyss suuuuuck!!! .. oh and UTEP for F sake .. you better win this week .. or else ..
BRIDGE PLAY
N.ILLINOIS -19
Layin a big line but NILL lookin to land a bowl game, RO-CKY RO-CKY lookin to go out w a post-ssn win .. there's a ton of guys from the offense still there from the MAC champ team 2 years ago along w all the coaches and year got exciting early w the win @BC and things fell flat w the FOR ALL THE MARBLES game vs Toledo .. so close there maybe a diff season for em if they bag that one .. but hit a 3 game win streak after incl beating Ohio and lost the last two going -3 turnovers in each and drives stalling .. can't say there won't be turnovers but only negative in those games and vs SIU after the big BC win .. and lotta want for this win and got the ship turned at the right moment blowing out W.Mich last gm in a battle of 4 win tms loser misses a bowl .. W.Mich isin't great but the offense isin't terrible and they really got pinned down .. NIU's pass D is sneaky good 57% 9-9 and run D only really beat in a few games Toledo, CMU, Neb, BC but not bad to quite good elsewhere .. team also very in tact from week 1 and getting a couple WR's back this gm they were short .. Ball State ran all over Kent St last week 300 yds 50 carries and that was going 4/17 passing still added 74 yds there .. NIU shouldn't have any difficulty solid OL, 2 good RB's QB can tote it and 1 very good WR target and couple more guys return this week ..
Kent State has too many problems to list we're hoping the #3 QB plays again presser made it seem like they're re-gearing the O to his pocket passing style .. possible one of the other QB's play but Tommy U twisted his ankle last week and didn't return it didn't look promising .. Mike Alaimo been out for weeks and coach basically said he's ready to turn the O over to QB#3 who was awful in relief and will be this week .. even if a QB returns best WR OFY, short on RB's w Xavier out, OL is maybe the worst mess I've seen jumbling positions in game and playing true freshman for the first time last week they have numerous starters gone and real light weight line avg 285 or so, couple guys 265, 2 true FR other RS FR backups are young too and lotta mixing up the line and changing positions even in game = ton of sacks and TFL's this year.. The OL situation was the clincher for taking RSW under 3 and then taking it Under 2.5 also .. Defense maybe in just as bad a shape w numerous starters dropped out during the year .. couple LB's were out last game, starting safety hurtl ast game .. its also Senior day and quite a few guys in the 2-deep and backups should see more action and I'd imagine the starters won't complain at all about that lol .. NIU doesn't fumble this away think its full blown HURT LOCKER .. think If Kent manages to gets lucky drive 1 w a few points, could they actually have an ace kicker, get this to 14 think it'll be a double quarter pounder if not a whopper in game for me .. good luck!
BRIDGE PLAY
N.ILLINOIS -19
Layin a big line but NILL lookin to land a bowl game, RO-CKY RO-CKY lookin to go out w a post-ssn win .. there's a ton of guys from the offense still there from the MAC champ team 2 years ago along w all the coaches and year got exciting early w the win @BC and things fell flat w the FOR ALL THE MARBLES game vs Toledo .. so close there maybe a diff season for em if they bag that one .. but hit a 3 game win streak after incl beating Ohio and lost the last two going -3 turnovers in each and drives stalling .. can't say there won't be turnovers but only negative in those games and vs SIU after the big BC win .. and lotta want for this win and got the ship turned at the right moment blowing out W.Mich last gm in a battle of 4 win tms loser misses a bowl .. W.Mich isin't great but the offense isin't terrible and they really got pinned down .. NIU's pass D is sneaky good 57% 9-9 and run D only really beat in a few games Toledo, CMU, Neb, BC but not bad to quite good elsewhere .. team also very in tact from week 1 and getting a couple WR's back this gm they were short .. Ball State ran all over Kent St last week 300 yds 50 carries and that was going 4/17 passing still added 74 yds there .. NIU shouldn't have any difficulty solid OL, 2 good RB's QB can tote it and 1 very good WR target and couple more guys return this week ..
Kent State has too many problems to list we're hoping the #3 QB plays again presser made it seem like they're re-gearing the O to his pocket passing style .. possible one of the other QB's play but Tommy U twisted his ankle last week and didn't return it didn't look promising .. Mike Alaimo been out for weeks and coach basically said he's ready to turn the O over to QB#3 who was awful in relief and will be this week .. even if a QB returns best WR OFY, short on RB's w Xavier out, OL is maybe the worst mess I've seen jumbling positions in game and playing true freshman for the first time last week they have numerous starters gone and real light weight line avg 285 or so, couple guys 265, 2 true FR other RS FR backups are young too and lotta mixing up the line and changing positions even in game = ton of sacks and TFL's this year.. The OL situation was the clincher for taking RSW under 3 and then taking it Under 2.5 also .. Defense maybe in just as bad a shape w numerous starters dropped out during the year .. couple LB's were out last game, starting safety hurtl ast game .. its also Senior day and quite a few guys in the 2-deep and backups should see more action and I'd imagine the starters won't complain at all about that lol .. NIU doesn't fumble this away think its full blown HURT LOCKER .. think If Kent manages to gets lucky drive 1 w a few points, could they actually have an ace kicker, get this to 14 think it'll be a double quarter pounder if not a whopper in game for me .. good luck!
BRIDGE PLAYS:
DUKE -6
UTAH -21.5
NAVY +20.5
N.ILLINOIS -19
SOUTH FLORIDA -5.5
BOSTON COLLEGE +8.5
SMALLER:
TEMPLE +12.5
NEBRASKA +1.5
SOUTH FLORIDA -4.5
MSU / PSU UNDER 43.5
BRIDGE PLAYS:
DUKE -6
UTAH -21.5
NAVY +20.5
N.ILLINOIS -19
SOUTH FLORIDA -5.5
BOSTON COLLEGE +8.5
SMALLER:
TEMPLE +12.5
NEBRASKA +1.5
SOUTH FLORIDA -4.5
MSU / PSU UNDER 43.5
NOTES ..
BC .. played this one out the gate on Sunday because the spot looked pretty ugly for Miami .. saw it pre-ssn and just figured I'd take it and did .. that said more I look at this one the less I like it .. not gunna be cold as we were hoping .. heard the coach press conf and gotta say Haftly is not a great messenger in the sense that I have much confidence he's workin on a big plan here .. Cristobal will never live down his coaching blunder and 3L's in a row here there's no way he's not wanting a win here .. Haftly didn't know last time Miami came to BC says they used to play in the Big East like wth .. Cristobal says this is their Up North Rivalry and that means the coordinators who are so much better than anyone BC has should have a good plan for this one .. Further .. Van Dyke playing and undecided if he goes pro but he needs a good game here and Miami's speed can absolutely shred this BUM secondary .. Pitt's 3rd QB had a decent day vs them won the game .. and truth be told a team that travels on thanksgiving has the holiday w their team and dialed in over a day before .. BC kids maybe out in far flung little MASS towns or maybe partyin out in Boston Wednesday stuffin their faces Thursday .. plus VERY good TE Arroyo back for UM whether he plays or not idk but he's a PROBLEM for a D .. There's too many things to not like and I get why the line moved to 10.5 .. wouldnt suggest it at this point .. My move is hope BC can land the first punch and will be middling a decent amount of the BP hopefully get it Miami -4 or so ..
UTAH .. team had the flu vs AZ which explains why lot of guys esp on D were out .. as of yesterday coach says lot of guys still out if they played today .. im guessing they'll have recovered by gameday .. but never know and this feels a bit dangerous .. would def keep yer ear to the ground .. COLO also got sick, Prime was sick and Shedeur was not feeling well this week after multiple injuries .. keep yer ear to the ground if we get Shedeur playing and Utes roster is still in bad shape then I don't wanna be layin 21.5 into a sitch like that! ..
DUKE .. ELKO confirmed saying to everyone he's staying in Durham .. Riley Leonard also talkin about playing the bowl game .. hard to like this news more and bodes well for them showing up to romp on Saturday ..
NEBRASKA .. omg tell me we might land a middle of +1.5 and +3 w a 25 point total gm?!!!!? .. yeah I have noooo problem middling this btw..
NOTES ..
BC .. played this one out the gate on Sunday because the spot looked pretty ugly for Miami .. saw it pre-ssn and just figured I'd take it and did .. that said more I look at this one the less I like it .. not gunna be cold as we were hoping .. heard the coach press conf and gotta say Haftly is not a great messenger in the sense that I have much confidence he's workin on a big plan here .. Cristobal will never live down his coaching blunder and 3L's in a row here there's no way he's not wanting a win here .. Haftly didn't know last time Miami came to BC says they used to play in the Big East like wth .. Cristobal says this is their Up North Rivalry and that means the coordinators who are so much better than anyone BC has should have a good plan for this one .. Further .. Van Dyke playing and undecided if he goes pro but he needs a good game here and Miami's speed can absolutely shred this BUM secondary .. Pitt's 3rd QB had a decent day vs them won the game .. and truth be told a team that travels on thanksgiving has the holiday w their team and dialed in over a day before .. BC kids maybe out in far flung little MASS towns or maybe partyin out in Boston Wednesday stuffin their faces Thursday .. plus VERY good TE Arroyo back for UM whether he plays or not idk but he's a PROBLEM for a D .. There's too many things to not like and I get why the line moved to 10.5 .. wouldnt suggest it at this point .. My move is hope BC can land the first punch and will be middling a decent amount of the BP hopefully get it Miami -4 or so ..
UTAH .. team had the flu vs AZ which explains why lot of guys esp on D were out .. as of yesterday coach says lot of guys still out if they played today .. im guessing they'll have recovered by gameday .. but never know and this feels a bit dangerous .. would def keep yer ear to the ground .. COLO also got sick, Prime was sick and Shedeur was not feeling well this week after multiple injuries .. keep yer ear to the ground if we get Shedeur playing and Utes roster is still in bad shape then I don't wanna be layin 21.5 into a sitch like that! ..
DUKE .. ELKO confirmed saying to everyone he's staying in Durham .. Riley Leonard also talkin about playing the bowl game .. hard to like this news more and bodes well for them showing up to romp on Saturday ..
NEBRASKA .. omg tell me we might land a middle of +1.5 and +3 w a 25 point total gm?!!!!? .. yeah I have noooo problem middling this btw..
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.