BRIDGE PLAY
IOWA -1.5 (FAN)
Like the big effort from Wash last week ... if ya saw the end I think it sure looked like there was some big significance to that game .. not sure exactly what tho .. lol .. anyway we saw Jack Tuttle in the game nearly make it a game on them and on the road now vs another strong D off the biiiiiig NATTY REMATCH and Iowa needs to shore themselves up .. like it .. let's go!!!
SMALLER
IOWA / WASHINGTON OVER 39.5
It's true that Wash realllllly has some problems scoring and Iowa should hold them down .. but Wash also does have a dynamic and capable offense and I feel like Iowa will also find ways to score here that they just had no chance on vs Ohio State .. I don't BP on totals but I'd kinda consider it here I think both teams land some offensive punches and we'll maybe have to hope Wash doesn't go full retard in the red zone as they have the last few weeks .. don't want em full normal either but doubt they turn around all the way in this big tough road spot .. good luck!
SMALLER
RUTGERS -2.5
Rutgers not a great game last week but considering off the MASSIVE home game .. into Nebraska with a really tough D and that WIND WAS WIPPIN and took them from limited pass game to completely one dimensional vs a Husker D that could absolutely exploit that dynamic .. I can't BP or go big here I need to know more about Wisco but funny feeling that we're getting a better line here simply because they kicked Purdue in the teeth and that really doesn't mean much .. Feel like Wisco is basically still the team that struggled to put W.Michigan away except that was before Van Dyke got injured so .. you can do the math there .. not posting the total but I'm also on over 42.5 for a couple bucks Rutgers shoulda given up more points vs Wash .. Wisco plays a normal team I think they give up a few more than we're seeing .. 42.5 is pretty low for teams that are at least not totally inept and total is low for sure because of the SUPER HEAVY WIND game rutty was in last week .. good luck!
SMALLER
KENTUCKY -11.5
Gunna be sorry I did this but the spot is so nasty for Vandy playing an all time program level game and now on the road to a real defense here and probably be quaking in my boots needing Kentucky to score 2 TD's or so but maaaan SEC is totally on notice here and if UK wants to be a victim of what should be a totally hungover and malfunctioning vandy squad then be my guest I'd actually enjoy that just as winning smaller here .. ###HAIL-LORD-PAVIA!!!
SMALLER
MINNESOTA -6.5
Realllllllly wanted Minny showing up to Pasadena laying -3 at the most and TOASTING this line .. but here we are what probably woulda been catching a TD pre-ssn is now laying almost a TD and UCLA off B2B2B2B2B2 BLOOD BATHS and Minny off just an EPPPPPPIC home game and the post game win mood that felt like every bit a NATTY REMATCH or a Vandy pulling a BAMA SLAMMA as any of those other moods did .. Minny reallllllly needed that big home win that's been eluding them and now we're laying 6.5 on the road to UCLA .. will be watching to see if that line can dip a little .. can we get -4 ?... I doubt it ..
But if we do there's alot to like about Minny in this spot, this game was an under the radar CIRCLED UP game pre-ssn media and coaches talking alot about it and expecting a reallllly solid Minny crowd travelling to the game .. that crowd can only get bigger now off the big win and no doubt there will be plenty of room and very cheap tickets to the game there .. the reason for the hype and excitement was Minny using this as a sentimental throwback to the many many years ago since they played in the rose bowl and it did seem to catch on .. we know the coach has had this on his radar and outside of UCLA trying to just keep a game close I don't think there's anything close to the same sentiments for UCLA in this game .. With a large travel contingency of old time GOPHS waiting hundreds of millions of years to experience a big win in the rose bowl like their great great great great great grandpa did you best believe coach is guunna win this one or dude don't even get on the plane just jump in the ocean and start swimmin ... siiiigh ..
ok I'll play for light money .. could be stepping ahead of a shrinking line so if market doesn't see the I think decent minny spot here then fine get it to -3 and I'll try to BP it there .. good luck!
SMALLER
PENN STATE -3 (DK)
I'm severely limited at DK and don't want to even plug these losers but they have the best early line and think its the right play so want them to lose money and letting you know about it .. either way its not a BP level bomb even if I could do it .. but I don't hate the line here USC while solid has still just felt like a half wit team this year and losing Bear Alexander .. yer ROCK on the DL kinda tells ya what some other sentiments might be .. that's not a UNLV situation where there's a 100X BETTER guy and need to get BEAR out the way or it causes problems with the NIL and Alumni and my state sponsored chinese private equity partners and other money grubbers hovering around the team, no this was a guy seeing that USC wasn't viable playoff level candidate and wants to leverage his skills to be on a squad that reallllly needs that player next year .. Penn St I don't think has any of these problems and I think they show up prepared and ready to roll over these guys .. good luck!
Ehhh I like it but not totally falling over myself to lay any more than -3 .. DK had it -3 and I got a super small on it with my little limit there .. reallly doubt we see too many -3's when circa opens hard to imagine there's tons of USC backers just dying to play them +3 lol .. welp, good luck !
Bridge, kudos on Vandy man. What a win to seal the team win OVER. You've been hot at identifying spots - Rutgers into Washington into now Iowa. I tailed your UDub and that team was simply better last night. My own spot was fading the Trojans having to play beat em up at Minny... Which brings me to the pro/con report for Penn St heading to the Coliseum. I think you are on the right side here laying a FG.
USC cannot block Penn State. Miller Moss will likely have quick pass success (but Penn St will attack screens). If PSU gets a lead, USC is in trouble. Penn states weakness right now may be coverage after losing all Big safety and Tom Allen is doing some weird stuff with the back, but again if PSU gets a lead it's gonna be a nightmare.. see script of Illinois who has a decent passing game.
On the other side, Penn State can block USC. USC will be the most team speed they've seen and that'll potentially cause some issues (Illini and UCLA aren't there, WVU is a level below the athlete I saw at Illinois), but I think Penn State can crockpot them. Key point - Singleton needs to be healthy to feel good about it
@JozKnows
Could be again it was super smaller and I was just interested at -3 its not some rabbit out the hat spot play .. if anything it makes me a little worried that everyone would love the idea of PSU -3 and why the hell wouldn't books make us pay for the joy of playing the team we want .. I'd make ya pay for it lol ..
SMALLER
ARKANSAS STATE +14.5
It's big conf showdown time and even i this is x division its a biiig game .. I like that Raynor was on fire last game and feels like these guys even vs a real high powered offense can maybe keep up .. note that he was playin So Bama last week and I might look good doing that lol .. on the flip side what felt like TEXAS STATE BLOWOUT CITY earlier in the year can't be doing it for allll the same reasons now I mean loses to ASU and Sammy hoo make it pretty tough to compose a playoff resume ..eh? .. also .. texas state you gotta learn to nurse a lead a little bit .. play some FP and close out a win .. twice now the big lead slipped thru their fingers and if they don't shape up they'll let their conf champ game ticket slip away just as easy .. not a BP but getting requisite points .. GO REDWOLVES!!
SMALLER
WAKE FOREST +21
Big huge spot for them and Clem off their big huge revenge roadie now back on the road here .. Wake 0-10 SU vs the Tigers last 10 games and probably if we really looked they're like 0-50 now .. and its not from lack of trying they were realllly close at least once or twice now and this is a great spot to rekindle a shot at the magic off a big win, at home, clem B2B roadies they still have a conf game on deck, albeit it UVA .. go gettem wake ..
SMALLER
NORTH TEXAS -6
On the road to FAU I'm not falling overmyself to lay points in this spot but I realllly did like UNT this year and the best part is while the D has gotten throttled by some capable offenses .. so bama and texas tech you can forget it that was a blood bath from the first minute .. I'm also seeing some defensive stats that tell me this is not the same D as last year that just gets run over the entire game, a team you dont even need to pass on yer getting 10 yards per carry .. nah they actually can do a couple things on that side of the ball .. what we've seen from FAU thus far has been horrid on offense and idk maybe this is the game they keep up with someone but if UNT's offense does its thing I just kinda think somewhere down the line they;ll pull away and maybe its too tough to keep up .. hopefully anyway .. good luck!
SMALLER
NEW MEXICO -4
Bit real hard at the opener -7 and sudden drop -4 I hit it again here but dumb me couldn't believe I had just seen that AF changed up the QB's last game and the one TD they had came from their backup who could actually run / scramble and throw the ball around a little bit .. my problem w NM layin points is last gm vs horrrid NMSU team they keep scoring TD's the line is only -8.5 and just at no point was I ever comfortable in a total shootout .. and I'm pretty sure I'll be sweating out this play and my totally retarded wasn't thinking at all play laying a full TD like an idiot .. anyway I'd never reommend laying more than 4 here and now its a little scary with the prospect of a new QB who can ACTUALLY SCORE A TD FOR AIR FORCE!!! .. but end of the day its NM with a week off and Bronco has every bit of motivation out of his guys now off the big rivalry win finally got one, and now you have a totalllly beatable AF team coming to town and all you gotta do is literally what everyone else they played has done including totally downtrodden really awful teams like Wyoming and even what Merrimack was able to do to these guys .. sweat w me if ya want doesn't matter i we're up like CAL was we'll be sweating the whole game .. eesh .. really wanted to BP this one for ya but can't with the prospect of a new dynamic QB potentially crushing us .. idk why they didn't keep him in the entire Navy game either someone should find out why they pulled him for the 3rd guy last week .. yeah layin points deep in the gutter w this one .. eek..
I like Wake too, that was the first play that jumped off the page to me but my book has 20.5 now so i was waiting to see if it can go back to 21. Also like Arky State a lot and my book is at 13.5 now so trying to see if we can go back to 14.
I actually really liked Wisconsin this week, maybe I need to reconsider that.
@Yanasaur
Ehhh idk I mean I'm hitting Rutgers here because yer going for a real program defining season and while the first loss is hard and kills that undefeated momentum there's still a whole lot more to play for here and I'm hoping they just don't show up flat at home .. if so then shame on Schiano he should have them plenty motivated considering where they are at this pt in the season .. usually they're 1-5 or something ..
.. that said idk much about Wisco im trusting the line is just matching them up on the strengths of the team which might be off now w Rutgers looking offensively inept in that EPIC WINDY NASTY road spot and Wisco looking like maybe they can hang w USC to totally BOMBING H2 and going from up 2 TD's to not even covering the 2 TD spread .. eesh you gotta beat someone up after that i think and perfect because Purdue is TOTALLLY PUTRID and looked great at home beating them up .. Wisco very often finds a next level gear at Camp Randall btw .. welp .. like the spot for Rutgers and think the power ratings aren't the whole story for this matchup ..
We kinda know what Rutgers is and is not at this point .. Wisco losing their QB early and we don't really know much about them now .. if Wisco is the play I'd take a good look at their USC / Purdue games and clearly a computer would say 'they're vastly improved' but is there really anything to suggest they found something to rely on in their pass game, run game, is their run D finding some next level stoppage .. feels liek Wisco been searching for some kinda identity on offense since they brought in Fickell and already a tough spot with the QB going down .. been a few games now is there something to really like there .. if I knew the O was toast now I'd make Rutgers a bridge play .. and if I thought oh maaan wisco actually brewing up a 2nd act to this season that nobody sees coming .. well then I'd probably lay off the game entirely, wait for a better spot to play them .. good luck!
PRE-SSN FUTURES ROUNDUP .. LOVE IT ..
SSN WINS:
VANDY OVER 2.5 -120 
.. BOOMHAMMER!!!
INDIANA OVER 5.5 +125 ..6 UP .. 6 DOWN .. BOOM
FLORIDA ST UNDER 9.5 -115 .. INSTA WIN ..
SAM HOUSTON OVER 4.5 -130 .. MACHINE!!
MICHIGAN UNDER 9 -140 
.. SOOON ..
UCLA UNDER 5.5 +120 .. BRUINS STAAAANK!!!
GA SOUTHERN OVER 4.5 -175 .. RADAR LOCK ....
GA SOUTHERN OVER 5 -115 
.. 3 down and 6-7 more winnable ..
MINNESOTA OVER 5.5 +115 .. 3 down .. 5 more winnable ..
LSU UNDER 9.5 -110 .. decent shape ..
CAL OVER 5.5 -135 ... still decent shape but sheesh guys ..
S.CAROLINA OVER 5.5 -120 .. get up or die ..
E. CAROLINA OVER 5.5 -150 
.. get up you f'#!@ 
PITT UNDER 5.5 -125 
.. funeral next week ..
^^ CONT'D ..
CONF CHAMPS:
SMU 22-1 .. hey.. yer back!! .. and yer lookin goood!
IOWA STATE 12-1 .. Clones just takin that respect!!
SAM HOUSTON 30-1 .. who knew .. we did ..
INDIANA 80-1 .. PATTON'S TANK DIVISION ROLLS ON!!
COASTAL 14-1 . big week .. lets go!!
W.MICHIGAN 10-1 .. ready for launch! .. D you awake? .. D..?..
GA SOUTHERN 25-1 .. gettin interesting!!!!..
ARIZONA STATE 100-1 .. never say neverrrrrr!!
E. CAROLINA 16-1 
.. honestly .. i wish i never friggin met you ..
CAL 50-1 .. just go ..
NC STATE 12-1 
.. DOA ..
HEISMAN:
TRAVIS HUNTER 75-1 .. KEEP BANGIN!!
5 others are all done ..
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