I wish everyone a great season and may you be on the plus side. You always want to becareful the first week as you have current lines but data from last year. I have found it does work but you want to be very selective. Let's look at some numbers:
Mass 130 58 188 103
-10 Nmx St 109 31 136 148
Nmxst opens up as a 10 pt fav. - dropped to 6.5 and seems to have settled at 7 currently. Last years data indicates Nmxst is better in Total Off., Total Def, Sagarin rank, and Mass is only better in Sched Strength.
I would prefer my history had some Week 1 games vs week 1 games, that would be more of a apples to apples comparison, didn't have any games with a -10 line and similar scenario for week 1; however, found many similar games that were not week 1 but games representing other weeks. The data is telling me Mass should cover the 7 pts spread and possibly win it su. I think Mass is the best pick on the board this weekend in my opinion. Here are my plays:
1. Mass +7
2. Over Fiu/Ltech Over 58
3. Usc-30
Best of Luck All.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
I wish everyone a great season and may you be on the plus side. You always want to becareful the first week as you have current lines but data from last year. I have found it does work but you want to be very selective. Let's look at some numbers:
Mass 130 58 188 103
-10 Nmx St 109 31 136 148
Nmxst opens up as a 10 pt fav. - dropped to 6.5 and seems to have settled at 7 currently. Last years data indicates Nmxst is better in Total Off., Total Def, Sagarin rank, and Mass is only better in Sched Strength.
I would prefer my history had some Week 1 games vs week 1 games, that would be more of a apples to apples comparison, didn't have any games with a -10 line and similar scenario for week 1; however, found many similar games that were not week 1 but games representing other weeks. The data is telling me Mass should cover the 7 pts spread and possibly win it su. I think Mass is the best pick on the board this weekend in my opinion. Here are my plays:
We are 3-5 on the season - I can do better. Let's look at some numbers:
Nill 80 80 133 109
-10 BC 120 68 112 49
Line opened at -10 (madduxsports.com) currently 8.5 -8 . Looking at last years numbers is all we have at this point. Nill is only better in Total off 80 vs 120 BC is better in Total Def., Sagarin rank and Schedule strength. Based on the opening line and this scenarion - I think BC will man handle Nill just like Mich st yesterday.
My Plays:
1. Bc -8
2. Purd -4
More to come - good luck today all
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We are 3-5 on the season - I can do better. Let's look at some numbers:
Nill 80 80 133 109
-10 BC 120 68 112 49
Line opened at -10 (madduxsports.com) currently 8.5 -8 . Looking at last years numbers is all we have at this point. Nill is only better in Total off 80 vs 120 BC is better in Total Def., Sagarin rank and Schedule strength. Based on the opening line and this scenarion - I think BC will man handle Nill just like Mich st yesterday.
We are 4-8 thru week 1. Good news, now we have current year numbers. Based on my numbers and patterns, I like Kansas . Line opened up at 4, currently 3.5 or 3. On paper Illinois would appear to be the better team, however, my numbers and patterns indicate Kansas should get the cover. My first play for week 2:
1. Kansas -3.5.
good luck all
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We are 4-8 thru week 1. Good news, now we have current year numbers. Based on my numbers and patterns, I like Kansas . Line opened up at 4, currently 3.5 or 3. On paper Illinois would appear to be the better team, however, my numbers and patterns indicate Kansas should get the cover. My first play for week 2:
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