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CFB Picks and Why week 6

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Posted: #1

Overall record stands at 55-30. Last week we went 12-9.  We have had 5 positive weeks. We started off good - had a terrible middle but ended well. 

Let's look at some numbers:

         Smiss   13 105 91 132

6.5 Marshal  108 44  79 158

Mar. opens up as a 6.5 fav currently around 5.  Smiss is better in Total off. and sched. strength hile Mars. is better in total def. and sagarin rank.  When you have this scenario - the away team usually gets the cover and very often wins su.

My plays:  1. Smiss +5   2. 6pt Teaser Houst-20 /Smiss +11

Good luck all

 

 

 
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Posted: #2
Gl this week Bro
 
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Posted: #3
Thanks again
 
Prospect
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Posted: #4
+5 smiss . Stay solid my friend.
 
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Posted: #5
Back at ya - Van, Got, Kiem
 
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Posted: #6
nice work Mr.buddah.......
 
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Posted: #7
Alien - thanks.  I was afraid of the late touchdown situation with Houston last night and thought a teaser would be best vice a straight up play.  Hopefully Smiss can do it for us.
 
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Posted: #8
BOL this week buddah . I don't think a can get somis+5 later on tonight as its already gone down to 3 now. Any thought on the O/U for the games tonight buddy...
 
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Posted: #9
Quote Originally Posted by DRIBBLE4LIFE:


Rain expected for VA Tech, winds blowing sideline to sideline. Im playing under.
Thats what it looked like last week on the VA and Boise game. I am in virginia too and doesn't look like the weather would be that bad and a big factor at all… under seems like the play since Vtech is not a high scoring team but Ncst can put up lots of points too… jimo
 
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Posted: #10
Az- the only lean I have is vt - 3 or doing a teaser between vt and smiss. No other leans on these games. Bol to you.
Dribble - good luck with your under bet
 
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Posted: #11
Buddah, any lean/pick for tomorrow?
i've been following you since week 2 of ncaaf.
thanks
 
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Posted: #12
BOL B!!!
 
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Posted: #13

We had a rough start 0-2.  Let’s see if we can get them tomorrow:

My plays:   3. Indiana +7  4. Indiana M/line +240  5.  Illinois +10.5   6.   Ohio st -31.5  7. Ohio – 15   8.  Ball st +10   9.   Fla Atlantic – 3.5   10.   Ga – 3  11.   Miami Florida + 7.5  12. Tex st +4   13. Under Iowast/TT 74

14. Cal +7.5   15.   Akron – 7.5   16. Under Oklast/Wva 60.5  17.   Over Wash st/ore  73

 

Vet – see above and Bol

Sausage – Back at ya

 
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Posted: #14
GL
 
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Posted: #15
Thanks. BOL
 
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Posted: #16
I m riding with you this week
 
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Posted: #17

Jumped on "The Buddah" bandwagon today and feeling good about all of them.   Really appreciate them being listed in order where I can find them easily.

Good Luck to us both today ! 

 
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Posted: #18

Mjm, Got, - Back at ya

Way, Vet - no problem

 
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Posted: #19
What 's up Buddah!

Can you lay out your method numbers for Indiana vs Penn. State?
and why you like Texas State +4?. 

Thanks

 
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Gl on your plays today Bro
 
 
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Posted: #21

                  Indiana   19   119   64   62

   7     Penn st   118  15   56    104

 

Wins – here are the numbers – Based on the line, based on Indiana being better in total off. And schedule strength, and penn st being better in the other two categories – history has shown very often the away team gets the cover and often wins it straight up.  That’s my rationale for taking Indiana.  

The Tex st game follows a similar pattern as above (the numbers are different), the line is different  5 vice 7, however, the pattern is similar - I find the away team often covers it. 

Wins, Van - Back at ya

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